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Richard Lake

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Posts posted by Richard Lake

  1. Often easterlies produce nothing more than cold dry conditions. Ideally want we want to be looking for is continued easterlies cooling the UK and Ireland reaching beyond were the Gulf Stream splits North and South. Then we need to see some activity over Scandinavia and see winds turning to a NE. If cold conditions persist further and continue to block any attacks from the Atlantic a Northerly would be most welcome (without any Westerly element) and eventually would lead to widespread snow.

    Someone posted a chart yesterday showing how far the Jetstream has travelled South this winter with low after low hitting Portugal and Spain - a great spectacle in this day and age and long may it continue through Jan-April.

  2. As has been stated many times we need the LOW to miss the UK or stay as far to the south as possible to allow to allow cold from the NE to build and come towards the UK. The further south this LP dives into Southern France, Northern Spain and Portugal the better are chances are of prolonged cold as the Jet to the south becomes 'distracted'.

    Oh Kold just posted the same thing. :):p

  3. Hi,

    I'd like to have a brief comment on the angle that many posters take within the Model Discussion thread.

    Often I read on day X this may or may not happen, this needs to happen, hopefully this will happen; people always looking to the future; there often seems to be a distinct lack of 'the now'. What did happen against what was projected? Are we experiencing weather today that was projected 3 days ago?

    If today's weather was forecasted to be 5c, but actually turned out to be 2c surely this has some bearing on upstream developments and could be viewed as a good thing for an upcoming cold period being progged. Surely the journey is just as important as the destination?

  4. Nice one, well I am quietly confident that it will be snow. How often can you say that Grimsby in the past joins in with 5-10cms of snow with the likes of Louth coupled with some days were the temperature has never risen above freezing point?

    Interesting for a coastal location you must admit. Out of interest how far is Conisholme from the coast? Not a lot right? I assume thats the place with the reservoir.

    Heres hoping for the white stuff. :(

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