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SussexSnowman

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Posts posted by SussexSnowman

    Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    56 minutes ago, topo said:

    Hi all and happy new year!

    Indeed, coastal southern Norway is buried after a historic snowstorm that left more than 1-1.5m of snow with some astonishing snowdrifts of 2-3m. Some pictures of my area

    By the way December was the 3rd consecutive month with below the average mean temperature and probably January will end up the same.

     

     

     

     

     

    That is nuts! If we had that here, I have visions of axe-wilding novelists stalking the streets at night! 😛 

    • Like 1

    Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    2 hours ago, In Absence of True Seasons said:

    After 2/3 hours of partly sunny, dry weather this morning, lo and behold, the rain has returned once again!

    We did have a break from it for about 10 hours, so can't complain eh...

    This climate is a joke.

    I have to say the climate like the government and current living standards is just crap. Nothing Great in Great Britain and that really adds to the what feels like a bleak time in our history. Feels like we are getting the worst of everything at the moment. I really want the weather to be our friend in need and it ain't happening. Truly crud weather last few months. 

    • Like 4

    Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Weather-history said:

    The Model thread this morning......there are too many people who think that weather comes down to one season......winter. They disappear  when snow and cold prospects disappear as well.  Why? Some even lurk without actually posting anything the rest of the year. Why? 

    They give all this technical  analysis all during the winter season, why don't they do it all year around?  Do they do it to get as many like as possible? There is no such thing as the "closed season" when it comes to the weather.

     

    From my own personal perspective, I find winter the more polarising season because of the potential of snow and given it's scarce rarity these days, I have the mindset of even if there is a whiff of a chance at snow, it peaks my interest given it's appearance chances. With Spring, Summer and Autumn as straightforward weather wise, it's dry or wet. You will get days that are reflective of the season. You may see something wintry in early spring or late autumn, but they are rare as hens teeth. The dry or wet weather doesn't quite fill with the excitement like a snow event does, but again that's just me and that might be the case for others who seem to come alive with interest when Winter rolls around. I don't wish for a historical deep freeze event, far from it in fact. Just more a couple of snow days and a few good days of frosts and I am good. 

    I peek in the model thread, but I mainly avoid it as I am nowhere clued up about models and that thread is to discuss models rather than reading tea leaves. Without a doubt, that thread goes bonkers in winter. My biggest gripe with that thread is that many try to get to carried away and hung up on what the models don't show rather than what they do (by both cold lovers and doom merchants) and that always seems to end up derailing the thread. I don't envy the mods. Snow seems to be the weather that drives the most emotive responses (whether we get snow or don't). 

    I guess with the other seasons, mainly summer for example. If we have a whacking ridge of high pressure over us and into Europe, I am assuming pattern changes are slower to come by and hence probably the tumbleweed effect we see in activity in the model thread and plus I imagine many of us are enjoying long summer days outside 🙂 

    Enough of my rambling 😉 

    • Like 1

    Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I am somewhat happier today as this marks the start of a drier spell of weather 🤣

    Had a few more heavy downpours this weekend and yesterday and there's literally nowhere else for all the water to go. I know some want some proper snowmageddon, but given the sheer amount of water we've absorbed, can we hold that off for a few weeks more whilst we dry out 😉 

    • Like 1

    Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    12 minutes ago, Metwatch said:

    A bit of a shame there isn't more snow for inland areas with this spell, but the drier and sunnier conditions that are brought with the colder airmass is still well needed / nice to see after the very wet autumn! Lengths spell of mild and dry with sunshine won't be an option until early spring (February 2019 the rare exception), so this is the next best weather type in winter for me i'd say with snow on top of course!

    Majority of the time it's the shorter cold snaps that bring the most snow in recent years. End of November 2021, end of January 2021 and December 2017 etc, which didn't last more than a week here for all of them, as the Atlantic tries to introduce milder air which brings good amounts of snow for central areas rather than showers, but the cold often doesn't last long after those events.

    For anyone confused about my weather preferences during winter in order from most to least preferred it would be like this:

    snow

    mild, dry, sunshine

    cold, dry, sunshine

    mild, no, sunshine, worse with rain

    cold, no sunshine, worse with rain

    For me I like winters to have a chillier feel with a mix of dry spells and the odd snow event. Can't say you'll see me pining for a 62/63 type of winter. The winter of 2010/11 was exceptional and I know those are rare life events for sure. If there is to be snowless winters, I'd rather cold and dry days. Nothing worse than mild and wet dross and that really brings out the SAD in me. 

    • Thanks 1

    Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, johncam said:

    Even that will gone soon , used to love winter as an older member you were always guaranteed at least one good cold spell with snow on the ground and a few transient shorter spells,  now it's high 5's all round if we get a few frosts. Back in the day 8C was termed mild in winter now some think this is cold , sad times. Forgive the ramblings of an old git🤣

    Don't even get the 1 day snow events much these days neither. Becoming rarer and rarer and hence why there is so much excitement when we do get some 🤣 me Mum bless her says Autumn is a 6 month season as Winter's aren't becoming of their name 🤣

    • Thanks 1

    Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    3oc here today. Brisk to say the least. Cloudy, but no chance of meatballs. Looks like this dry crisp spell ends Wednesday. It's a most welcome spell of dry weather and my hope is it continues even if it warms up a tad. Did like the Deep Dive video by the Met yesterday where Alex Deakin did a good little piece on the complexity of forecasting snow. 

    • Like 2

    11th December 2022 central and southern England snowfall event

    in Historic Weather

    Posted

    Remember that event well. Started snowing in East Sussex round about 1pm on the 11th and carried on for about 4 hours. Will upload some pics later. Was only about 3 cm, but I'd take that. Plus the rest of the week it remained as temps were sharp! Mild muck returned soon after before mid Jan and Feb was drier. Overall just for that snow event, I'd take it as past the BOTE in 2018, we've only had 1 snow day essentially and that was Feb 2019. We missed out on the Feb 2021 snow event for being too far south! So for me that 6 day cold snap was fantastic given the recent barren spell 🙂 

    • Thanks 1

    Model Output Discussion - Into Winter

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, BremX said:

    I always get the downers when I see the charts flip, but there's no point in letting it get you down. It's part of the chase. In fact without the charts we don't want to see, there is no chase. 

    The models are always going to want to put us back in our usual weather cycles, we are here to chase the unusual. Besides, it's not even December yet, so let's just enjoy the ride! 

    I also just want to say a thank you to the many knowledgeable people on here that make every day a school day. It's nice to read people's thoughts on the models and contributing factors, because I generally have no idea about most of the charts!

    Agree with this. I get sometimes its frustrating the models dangle carrot after carrot and never give it, but sometimes when we least expect we get the goods. Had that down here for 6 days last year. 

    Like you I salute the knowledgeable posters who day after day and even hour after hour provide insights that help me understand the great complexity that is British Weather a bit more! 

    • Like 2

    Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    On 26/11/2023 at 18:20, Mcconnor8 said:

    But then sometimes you get the reverse, the snow last year in the SE wasn't really forecast much in advance at all and there were no amber warnings out despite it leading to people abandoning stuck vehicles etc and very little gritting done.

    So true this. December 11th last year I was out with family in Bognor Regis, started snowing, but turned to rain. As we drove back to Brighton through some small villages, it was snowing. As we got home (outskirts of Brighton inland 4 miles off the coast) we had heavy snow for 4 hours. Enough that it settled and we had lying snow for 6 days. There were no pre-warnings. Shows how unpredictable snow can be and why so difficult to forecast.

    • Like 1

    Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    The model thread has certainly been lively this last week 😂 watched it unfold last Wednesday when I was in the office.

    All I would really like is just a dry spell of weather. Down here just as the ground has begun to firm up after relentless rain, we've had days of rain that follows. So some restbite will be nice. Yes most would enjoy snow, but right now I'd take dry and cold.

    • Like 1

    Autumn 2023

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    That time of year again when Autumn and Winter encourage me out of hibernation! Showers, showers and more showers. Been a proper washout here just inland off the southern coast. The sun is out. 9oc here. I don't mind the chilly edge to this weather, feels a tad more seasonal. Plus side is my dogs love the soft ground and shown that through rolling in the leaves! 🙂 

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    Model Output Discussion - Snow Watch limited edition

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    Loving the pictures. Whilst it might not be winter, it’s safe to assume that everyone over the last few months has had a dose of snow 👍🏻

    Who doesn’t love dog related snow videos. Here’s mine from December when we got the white stuff. My Westie just loves it! She may be getting on in years and hampered by arthritis, she’s still young at heart and I hope she has more snow days left.

     

     

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