Mariescb
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Model discussion: Hunt for cold - The start of 2022
Mariescb replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Very interesting and completely at odds with some recent posts by very respected people on here. The plot thickens. -
Model discussion: Hunt for cold - The start of 2022
Mariescb replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's why we love it so -
Model discussion: Hunt for cold - The start of 2022
Mariescb replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Anyone else reading the last few pages of this thread and utterly confused? We've gone from best chance of cold to be in March to jaw dropping charts only a couple of weeks away. Only in the model thread lol. -
It has to be a specific part of the city in question not just in someone's suburb I.e for Leeds it's the airport. I'm pretty sure for Sheffield it's Weston Park weather station, that's where they take their readings for temperature data etc. So falling snow there would count as a white Christmas but a quarter of a mile up the road in Broomhill, it wouldn't count if that makes sense. I live about a mile from weston Park and we did get a slight covering but it was around midnight so couldn't say for sure if it wasn't actually boxing day. Regards
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Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
Mariescb replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
75% of the time the mild Atlantic posts are one liners and even the more detailed ones shouldn't be in a "hunt for cold thread" It's like constantly posting about rugby in a football thread, just doesn't fit. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
Mariescb replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I am new to the forum but netweather is only one avenue of many available weather discussion outlets, forcasters, twitterers and so on. My point is there are many out there that do see building blocks and possibilities(with detailed explanations as to why) for a notable change to cold over the coming 10 weeks or so of winter. I don't know your weather knowledge level but to say people are hopecasting is a little unfair imo. Regards -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
Mariescb replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It should do for us all tbh. People get so caught up in begging and praying for an extreme cold event that they forget to ponder the consequences of how crippling(in so many ways with the current state of things) said event would be. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
Mariescb replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
There's a lot of downbeat, sniping and unnecessary posts these last few hours. As a long time lurker of this thread I was really hoping some might see a new year as a new opportunity to play nice, alas doesn't seem the case. I know some of you take this weather hobby quite seriously but it's only weather guys and gals, there really is more important things to worry about . Sorry not model related but here's to a more optimistic new year and a sprinkling of snow here and there(not too much tho, we still need to get to work and manage those extortionate heating bills) x -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
Mariescb replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Didn't melt too quick in March 2013. Sun strength means nothing if you've got an ice day. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
Mariescb replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Can a deep freeze suddenly appear tho Mr snow? Surely it's possible even if the bigger picture doesn't look too peachy. Hny -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
Mariescb replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Your name is not Luke Bett by any chance is it?! -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
Mariescb replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It did indeed -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
Mariescb replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
But don't forget there is a considerable lag with a ssw, so even if there was one in a couple of weeks time we wouldn't see any potential effects from it until February anyway. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
Mariescb replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is it a fault in the models then that they are much more likely to flip from a consistent cold signal to mild but not the other way round? I know that outlooks can suddenly go cold at short notice but people are so much more confident that a long range mild outcome will verify more successfully over a cold one. Tia -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
Mariescb replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Could being the operative word, seen as we are many weeks away from anyone or any organisation being congratulated on calling this winter right. Will be an interesting post mortem indeed come April. -
Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread
Mariescb replied to damianslaw's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It was a joke. Sorry for appearing uneducated. -
Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread
Mariescb replied to damianslaw's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Even California and Nevada are snowed in at the minute. Typical -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
Mariescb replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'm game if you are. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold Christmas period 2021
Mariescb replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Technically yes the sun is stronger in February but you are talking about transient/marginal snowfall, the snow is never going to melt if we are locked into a cold pattern. Many cold spells over the years have happened in February. If anything I would say that December has become an autumnal month and the beginning of February is now mid winter. Certainly in my lifetime, February has had more cold spells than December. The failed chase just gone would have been an unusual, not expected bonus but give it a few weeks or so and then winter is more likely to kick off imo. We shall see what happens -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Mariescb replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So are we talking a genuine chance at a possible colder outlook going forward are is it making a mountain out of a molehill. Tia