CoventryWeather
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Posts posted by CoventryWeather
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Didn't think we were expecting storms in the south tonight?
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Josh Rubio humid day here, albeit rather overcast.
Some showers around Corby from the mid levels. Not expecting a whole lot until after 4, most models have storms by 5.
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Is that cell even moving near Beauvais?
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Something has gone in the channel.
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Best of luck to all anyways tonight! And anyone chasing, stay safe, considering the severity expected.
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Fair bit of convection on satellite around that cell near Ostend. This seems to be moving straight west by the looks of radar.
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North of ostend?
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Storm back in the Netherlands.
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Lovely lone cell in the Netherlands. Potent, likely producing hail.
Got some weak convection visible to my north.
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Do wonder if the storms over the Dutch German border are possible developments to watch tonight. Know they are surface based, but could develop storms around them as they approach the southern north sea..
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Southern Storm True. Would have storm chased for the first time if it weren't for college. And the long distances.. would be happier to wait to chase something a little closer.
Still a long time in this storm season to go!
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Northwards trend on the latest UKV. Better for no one really.
Does seem to fizzle out quicker though.
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A touch further north would probably make me see some distant lightning. Other than that I doubt I'd see much unless there's considerable amounts of storms developing in front which models are starting to show.
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Eagle Eye still no shower development before the main feature.
I would have thought there would be storm development from sunset, easily across the Belgium and French coasts. Feel there could be a fair bit missing from modelling.
Unless there's dry air or something interfering with that in the NE?
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The new Arome 15z hits the Midlands.
Back builds new cells during the day too.. but the cape isn't great for the majority of that band.
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Those couple of cells over France definitely a good sign for the upcoming days.
The recent Arome only showing 700 CAPE around that area too, which seems low to be producing lightning at that intensity.
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Met4Cast would you expect a more northerly path then through the West Midlands and North Wales?
Still surprised to see no elevated showers or storms before that suspected MCS. Would have thought there would be considering the airmass and instability.
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Been down for a while. I've had problems since mid day.
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I can't access the UKV on here for some reason.
Anyways that's most likely the way plumes go. Northwards then south and they flip a ton before the final solution.
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Could we nudge it forwards a couple of hours please?
Just so the rest of the country could get a night time storm rather than 5/6 when it's starting to become less dark.
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ChannelThunder the weather outlooks UKV only updates twice a day, 3z and 15z.
Mogreps hasn't updated as far as I'm aware.
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Arpege is really nice for the midlands. Wednesday Evening there is a batch of showers and then overnight. Thursday more showers.
The UKV 12z via the 7 day model (UKMO) was unappealing, as it had things straight through the channel. Only model which also has this is the Swiss 4x4 on the 6z, but don't know how reliable that model is.
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Moans, ramps and banter
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
In Absence of True Seasons this weekend is looking decent for 90% of people in England. Seems to be projecting a bit of southern bias in this post.
The odd shower in the south east possibly, most models have nothing. It's looking much drier and sunnier next week too, so not quite sure where you're looking.
17/18 degrees is reasonable, add a degree or two as models struggle and 20 degrees in the east is more than doable. Nothing terrible there?