CoventryWeather
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Posts posted by CoventryWeather
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Mentioned the other day about a low anomaly to our south west and highs over Europe.
GFS keen on this again in FI on the 6z, and is the solution I'd bet on for the latter part of the month.
Backed by ECM Hov-moller from last night again, very consistent with the forecasts. A wet spell looking even more unlikely this morning, mainly showers for the vast majority and generally these overnight.
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Certainty a trend I've noticed over the past few days is the Azores Low. Seems that we are heading back to a typical summer pattern where us and Europe are likely to see constant plume scenarios.
The ECM day 10 chart this morning likely to be a start of a warm dry spell, likely intervened with a breakdown or two if it went on. Got a holiday down to Torbay early June so would love a dry warm pattern to set up by then.
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Showers didn't electrify, but did have some big raindrops and the odd bit of small hail. Seems the Tamworth cell took the rest of the energy and left the rest with none.
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Now raining. No more rumbles heard.
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Just had a rumble. Distant though.
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Cheltenham cells have collapsed
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WeatherArc Not exceptional, considering the pace they developed at. Seriously hoping for another few cells to develop before it.
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WeatherArc Now we need a few frequent storms to kick off. Lightning seems limited atm
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Ah, Cirencester returns. right in the path now.
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Starting to see a few updrafts on satellite around the Cotswold region - might be an area of interest for central midlands.
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North of Salisbury there's an echo - could be a blip mind you.
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Ross on wye cell is a right mover I believe. Past few frames are suspicious with all the activity.
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Ross on wye cell producing a lot of small cells around it. Might get messy with that soon.
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Got some decent convection towards Leicester, now being obscured by low towering cumulus. It has definitely improved over the last half an hour here.
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Plenty of towering cumulus to my south, even a few to my north. Think its reasonable to say showers or storms will develop around 3 widely.
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The welsh shower hasn't broken the cap, it seems like its developed through orographic lift (Brecon Beacons)
Edit: seems it has, strikes nearby.
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samadamsuk that's great to know! Hopefully can start breaking the cap over the next couple of hours!
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Alderc 2.0 Think theres the potential for some showers or storms towards Kent/South east coasts this evening and overnight.
I'd imagine those currently over there are surface based.
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Few towers from the mid level accas but collapsing rather quickly.
I've got a temperature reading of 23 on the extremely reliable Google Home but it's more likely 21/22. Radar watching from now.
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Latest Arome still further east with the main area of storms. Has it tracking from Somerset through the midlands (12-6)
Be interesting to see whether it's picked up a new signal or something, or it's being a big outlier.
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Josh Rubio seems to be on its own at the moment. Although considering the instability expected I wouldn't be surprised to see a few bands develop.
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Yessssssssssssss
Look at that!!!!!
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Place my few absolutely terrible shots here.
Can't see anything with my own eyes sadly
. Atleast I've picked a little something up
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Metwatch which direction are you looking?
Looking North and can grab photos on phone showing a weak green and red tint.
Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Josh Rubio looks to be convergence.. some decent shear and cape so perhaps the odd potent/active cell. A low risk however.