[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Halstead always does well. I lived there in Feb 1991 and the snow was incredible. 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

19 minutes ago, Mcconnor8 said:

UKV 18z brings the snow a tiny bit further inland than the 15z, at least it is adjusting the right way more in line with current radar

A tiny bit being 50 miles?

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Looking at the latest models and radar, I reckon parts of Kent will see light snow tomorrow. 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

1 hour ago, SnowBorder said:

although unlikely. 

And it’s gone. 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

28 minutes ago, Kentspur said:

31 minutes ago, SnowBorder said:

The lone ranger will it prevail

Expand  

although unlikely. 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Just now, Kentspur said:

Mine says 10% sleet

 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

9 minutes ago, lewis028 said:

Still keeping an eye on the low down south, although it does seem very unlikely now all models are siding with a southward shift, we have seen lows modelled shift north/south a further 50/75 miles during a nowcasting situation. This should come into view later tonight. If i was on the south coast, i'd still be feeling optimistic...

 

 

Accuweather phone app still suggesting light snow here for Wednesday morning. 

Just now, SnowBorder said:

Accuweather phone app still suggesting light snow here for Wednesday morning. 

60% probability of precipitation 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

13 hours ago, Kentspur said:

Interesting some of my ex colleagues it was a random job I took to get out of a completely diff career ive since worked in a completely different career since them days much better. I like the areas around their Borough Green was where the depot relocated too loved driving through Meopham and Wrotham Hill when it snowed there like a different world to here!

Wrotham, Meopham, Vigo and West Kingsdown are great for the snow.

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

22 minutes ago, Kentspur said:

I need to relocate your sorta way always do so much better than low lying parts of our side of the county by the Thames here! Did u have any accumulation a week back? Nothing settled at all here I used to work for a company Chapmans of Sevenoaks for a few years I remember getting stuck in the snow during the beast there was way more that way than here then too

I often see the Chapmans van making deliveries - last Monday, we had lying snow on rooftops and grass but nothing on the pavements. Knockholt and Halstead on the north downs probably did better. As you drive up Star Lane towards Knockholt, you can often see the snow line half way across the farmers field. 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

From the 6 weather apps on my phone, only accuweather is showing snow for Wednesday morning, although the app does claim to have ‘superior accuracy’

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

At this stage, I’d be happy for a 5 minutes sleet shower on Wednesday afternoon. 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

My hope is building for a push north from Wednesdays low. 100 miles is a small but required margin in these scenarios. It’s still very possible.  

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Couple of this mornings Models showing there ‘might’ be snow on Wednesday. Fingers crossed.  

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Stopped here

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Heavy snow here

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Very light sleet here now - 1/10 on the SM scale. 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

My iPhone Met office app is predicting heavy snow here from 9am until midday.  

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

43 minutes ago, Turnedoutniceagain said:

I'm still skeptical. I remember the great E'ly of Jan/Feb' 2006 - potentially an event to rival 1963 - a monster that literally disappeared from the charts with 36hrs to go. I'm still having counselling. 

Was that the infamous Kettley Easterly? 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Steady as she goes for this mornings output. Minor changes as to be expected, but certainly not a capitulation to mild SW’s.
More runs needed. 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Jam tomorrow.

At least the models are showing drier conditions, and a few frosts will help firm up the sodden ground. 

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

Snowing here, albeit getting lighter. 

[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

I suspect, sadly, there’s a halfway house coming - the ECM is rarely incorrect. 

[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

For the next 2 weeks - it’s typical post 1985 November Fayre weather - jet stream driven: mild, wet and windy. 

[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

Too early for cold on these shores. Although I feel the pattern is shaping up nicely for the coming winter. As others have already mentioned, the models are reminiscent of 2009, which delivered pre Christmas snow, and a very cold and snowy January 2010. 

[Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards]

ECM was spot on for today. Beautiful in the south east - played golf and the weather was delightful. I’m enjoying the alleged Global Warming during an El Niño year.