RhHh
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Posts posted by RhHh
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10 minutes ago, markw2680 said:
Why does many on here take every run as gospel? Wasn’t long ago we was staring down the barrel to a massive freeze, kept hearing the words locked in? Yes we had a couple of weeks or so of cold frosty winters weather but was mainly dry and boring in my book.
All I’m saying is the model runs will and do change pretty rapidly once a signal is picked up, so yes may look pretty uninspiring for the foreseeable at present but things will look different in a week or so….maybe time for a little break
I think you'll find that most people look at the models together with the met Office long range forecast and lose all hope of seeing snow.
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15 minutes ago, TheOgre said:
How come this is called Winter 2022 and not Winter 2022/23?
Well looking at the forecast Spring is starting on 1st January 2023!
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My nephew lives near Helsinki and whilst he has snow at the moment they are expecting it to warm up shortly with rain at the weekend. Not sure that a Scandi high would be much use to us even if it were to happen.
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6 hours ago, MATTWOLVES said:
Is it just me,or do many of you feel that special sense of occasion on Xmas day. A togetherness and the one real day where you get all your bitterness,frustrations and anger and sweep them all up and put them under the carpet! The one day where your perhaps gonna make it up with a loved one,or a long lost friend who you swore blind that you would never speak to again.
And to think that if your year as been truelly bad with many a bad memory,or your hoping that when that New Year bell sounds this time next week,that a new year will hopefully bring you much more joy and better fortune! For health reasons...for money reasons...and obviously for all things meteorological.
The year is about to wind down and we face a rut of unfavourable weather conditions for at least a 10-14 day period...beyond this anything goes..its a different year and anything is possible to change for the better for both us as persons and yes...weather events that may bring us much joy! We just don't know yet because these events have yet to get started..This for me is the big excitement,not knowing what is coming next! The anticipation of what could happen..yes we could 2nd guess and make a prediction....but until said events materialise we just don't know.
Things may look poor right now,but how will things look this time next week? They could be looking dire...but they could be looking sublime!
So on this fantastic Xmas day I send you hope...goodwill and the strength and fight to get through 2023 with more vigour than ever before.
And fresh off the grapevine I detect a little hint of some colder ensembles amongst those mogreps 6z runs. Yes it may be a toppler but sometimes small tadpoles become giant
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Keep positive my friends.
Nope
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33 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:
Disastrous for the South!
Looks like it sadly.
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11 hours ago, Summer Sun said:
Quite likely that most parts of the UK will be as warm or warmer than Orlando on Christmas Day!
No wonder Darren is smiling!
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16 minutes ago, LetItSnow! said:
This spell very much reminds me of our recent events and quite a few events in recent years. I’ve spoken at great length recently about how I think that a warmer planet has had double an effect on our winter weather, how cold patterns in America end up forcing the Atlantic to become more active and how under a normal pattern that would more often lead to undercutting due to less prominent blocking to our south. Nowadays blocking is almost permanently to our south in some way so it leads to more chance of things going wrong.
However this did also happen before (just not as much) and February 1899 is quite a good example. The closing days of January 1899 were by no means exceptional, with a cold high centred around the U.K. At this time the cold spell was getting going across Canada.By the 1st of February we actually had a decent pattern. We had blocking up to Iceland and a potential cold spell was on its way.
However, the temperature contrast on the East Coast spawned an area of low pressure which rapidly deepened and allowed moist, balmy southwesterly winds into western Europe by the 4th
By the 8th it had turned exceptionally mild and the aforementioned warm spell started to take place, just as the cold really got going in America.
The chart for the 13th when those exceptionally cold temperatures occurred in America, all due to frigid air under an anticyclone. Very mild and wet for us though.
The rest of February 1899 was dominated by Euro heights. They did try to go up to Scandinavia but never really made it. It did turn drier though for us and probably with cold nights but fair days. The C.E.T. for February 1899 ended up at 5.1. The winter of 1898/1899 was exceptionally mild overall.
That sounds like most of our winters to be honest!
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48 minutes ago, Ms Rock & Blues said:
I'm needing to moan & I believe this is the thread to do so.... I allowed myself to get excited by the ramping up of a possible snowy xmas. So, today I despair that it is not happening, not only that but not even cold! And that hideous word MILD is being bandied about again. " At least it's mild, could be worse, could be snowing " How is drizzle & no sun better than pretty snow or at least frost & beautiful sunshine? Murky like now is awful
At least Darren Bett is happy!
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1 minute ago, blizzard81 said:
They are but it's a very temporary affair by the looks of it.
OK thanks. I still want to move to Marquette, Michigan!
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17 minutes ago, blizzard81 said:
Looks like we will be cooler than the whole of the United States for New Year. Bet it's not often that happens.
I thought that the US was heading into the freezer?
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5 minutes ago, Cymro said:
I'm talking about January 2021 not last year at 2022
Both 2021 and 2022 were snowless Januarys here. Been very poor since 2013 in fact.
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9 minutes ago, Cymro said:
There's a lot of talk of poor Januarys for the past decade yet Jan 2021 was a fantastic month for snowfall here in Wales, where it snowed and layed 3 weekends out of 4. No deep freeze but plenty of winter weather
Snow-free for us here last January.
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5 hours ago, Weather-history said:
Remember the days when you wanted to know the possiibilty of the weather so far ahead, you had to
a) read a long range newspaper forecast at the start of the month or by some pundit such as Bill Foggitt
b) watch BBC Sunday lunchtime forecast or the BBC lunchtime Wednesday forecast
c) phone up some weather company who gave long range forecasts.
Sometimes I wish we were back to those days
I used to look forward to the weather for farmers on the BBC Sunday lunchtime. Always detailed and reasonably accurate. Watched it today with Stav and it was pathetic, short on detail and incredibly vague.
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I keep hearing about the severe cold about to hit the US but looking at the forecast for Marquette in Michigan they are only showing a low of -9. I'm sure they have had much colder than that that most years.
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21 minutes ago, bluearmy said:Those of us who are of a certain vintage will recall winters way back when
Clear the snow into a big enough pile and it won’t disappear before the next lot turns up ……
of course you need some snow to begin with
gefs mean early into T200 finds a weak mid Atlantic wedge - those euro heights need to do one !
My late father always used to say that if piles of snow remained then more snow was likely to follow.
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Had just over 1 inch here last night, lovely to see. Happy with that!
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16 minutes ago, clark3r said:
This is really annoying as we have everything in place for snow now will be massive let down if we get nothing before the cold snap is out.
need a nudge north west in next 12 hours otherwise tomorrow nights snow chance is over for me
Keep the faith, I'm sure we'll all get at least a dusting.
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I hope and suspect that we will all see some snow during the next 4 or 5 days. Probably not much but at least a pretty dusting.
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Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Ditto that. Had zilch measurable snow here since March 2013 until December 11th 2022. Onwards to the next snow,whenever that may be.