Addicks Fan 1981

Lowering my CET guess now to 11.6 thanks to the negative AO/NAO.

WYorksWeather wonder if the ECM clusters support that? I think also the weather in the tropics should be taken note of. i reckon the warm IOD is also causing problems as well with the atmosphere. If I'm honest we need something a bit more neutral across all areas so something more sustained can come off. According to world climate service it'll be a while before we get a positive AO/NAO combination. To be fair also I am starting to find them very credible indeed.

TwisterGirl81 summer of 2007 was very busy for insurance companies because people got flooded out of their houses, many were irked as their houses were literally damaged, mind you it was also you could say a good season to canoe on the street sort of thing.

TwisterGirl81 was summer 2007 one of your horror summers you can remember? It certainly was a notorious season alright, yet the summer overall had average amounts of sunshine and temperatures close to normal too, nevertheless though it was still a washout and coincided with rihanna featuring jay z with umbrella being number one in the charts for ages.

CryoraptorA303 the year of 2007 was actually sunnier than average too albeit to the skin of its teeth. I think the second warmest april and the benign autum of that year counteracted the infamous washout of summer of 2007. I would suggest you watch Gavs Weather Vids on summer 2007, it was probably the joker in the pack summer of the noughties decade and heralded a climate change hiatus until July 2013 came round.

danm thing is in may 2018 the weather sustained itself well into the summer and may I say it was one of my most favourite summers of all time. When the weather got into gear in 2018 it just didn't stop.

baddie I think Augusts of 1993 and 2007 were great if you like dry weather but can't stomach the heat. Cool and sunny months arent exactly a bad thing and at least you feel you dont get shortness of breath when you sleep.

Harry233 think august of 2007 was very similar to 1993 in terms of temperature, sunshine and rainfall. So confusing why summer of 1993 has barely been mentioned, it wasn't brilliantly hot but not exactly a total disaster either.

Metwatch I think summer 1993 was quite similar too although slightly wetter than 1913. If anything i may consider doing a summer 1993 thread, as yes it wasn't brilliantly hot but it wasn't as wet as summer 1992 and felt pleasant when the sun did emerge.

WYorksWeather I agree with @summer blizzardon this to be honest with you. Hovmoller plots are probably a better proxy to look at than ensembles. We need to be careful with what we use and interpret. if we can get some westerly interia going then it shouldn't be too bad at all. I also supported the very sensible post by @Mike Pooleearlier as well and think that clusters should never be dismissed. I feel also that the ECMWF 0Z ensemble mean was encouraging today, not necessarily for heatwaves but shall we say for a bit of a drying trend with a mid Atlantic ridge.

WYorksWeather it all depends now I think on the zonal winds and if a zonal winds recovery is predicted. At the moment our zonal winds are negative, i did see on world climate service x account that next month that we are meant to be having a negative AO/NAO combo. The way i see it is they are probably right.

Methuselah I think she will come online at an appropriate time.

Rain All Night I think @Tamaraneeds to shed some light here for what is going on at this stage, we need to know coherently on the goings on and that.

CryoraptorA303 august 2007 was the coolest at the time since 1993 so both months were very similar, you couldn't make it up. On the other hand the autumn colours came a lot quicker because summer of 2007 was so poor overall.

SunSean my county is in the top five.