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TauntonRoss

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Everything posted by TauntonRoss

  1. Yeah Scotland looks nailed on even if it turned mild again, I'd like the UKMO then it would get a higher chance
  2. The ICON is good as is the GFS, I'd still like to see the UKMO on board though to have more confidence, we've been here before so could easily flip back, I'd say its 50-50 for a wintry Christmas.
  3. Subtle differences in the GFS with the high to our South having less influence on us thus allowing colder air to flood further South, all good signs this morning, if the ECM could get on board it would help ease the worries
  4. ECM looks good, not sure why all negative, seems to be heading down the colder route for Christmas eve...
  5. I think the charts look good this morning, everything is trending downwards to a colder outlook, the PV displacement is good and what is happening in the states seems to be on our side for once.
  6. Pretty epic run this but I suspect a bit isolated compared to other charts..but it's perfect.
  7. 14th or 15th December onwards is thr dates to be watching, I reckon we'll tap into colder air again and if high pressure stays to our west it'll be ideal.
  8. I was wondering the same, it's a good 5oC colder than predicted and it was tight as it was so I wonder....
  9. Low is too far North, I'll almost guarantee you it's further South, GFS always blows Lows out of proportion
  10. I'd have to say from what I've seen the UKMO is over playing the Atlantic return, think the GFS is better and more realistic, the Meto did mention this is in the 10 day trend. It'll definitely return to an Atlantic influence but I don't see any really mild air coming over the next week, maybe some of the low will be further South and maybe slide a bit but I don't see them barrelling across us like it's been showing. I'd suggest it'll turn milder yes, but further North the cold air doesn't really move very far so you might find it produces a fair amount of snow up North, down South it'll be probably too mild for snow. But temperatures staying about average and below average across the North...certainly plenty of interest for snow lovers...oh and then there's Saturday night into Sunday *Said in my best Rob Mcelwee voice*
  11. Pretty evident that it'll turn milder from the west by Wednesday close of play, still chances of snow though before then so not all lost.
  12. Yeah Thursday could be better than first thought, even I might get some.
  13. Think we can put that GFS run in the bin, the last 3 or 4 frames from it aren't good really, whole run ruined
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