Not really sure we any closer to resolving the first few days of the new year yet and in it’s latter stages the ECM looks rudderless, with a S Scandi High and a massive N Atlantic dartboard Low.
The ENS from GFS still show plenty of scatter, but the mean never drifts to far from average in the new year and the Op still manages to be one of the coldest members later in the run.
As for the minor models all show a variation on the ‘colder’ theme without demonstrating any kind of inter run consistency, so imo the 12 suite continues to ask more questions than it answers…. and I suspect that situation will persist for several days yet.