Sherry
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ukv was a lot closer to the mark than any other model, gfs and ecm generally had low twenties as max seems places widely reached mid twenties today, 26 recorded here looking at the week ahead chance of reaching low twenties is still possible so not a cool week -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Monday does look a whole lot better than what was showing especially here in London should reach low twenties as the rain band seems to arrive later than what was previously shown! -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Feel like temps are reasonable tbh looks like high teens in London not too shabby -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ANYWEATHER average temps in London area, ukv still has 17/18 for London area, hardly cool -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Already had the best storm in years in south Essex was insane -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gfs still manages to give us average temps in London area next week 17/18 so not a complete disaster -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes does look warmth will continue although more unsettled but get some sunny spells and temps still low twenties in spots with the risk of thunderstorms quite a good outlook tbh especially if you like warmth and storms -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like turning unsettled again pretty quickly -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Lovely set of runs this evening -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ANYWEATHER sometimes low pressure don’t always mean days of rain, can be showers and some places may miss it altogether -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
There was no cross model agreement for bank holiday weekend? I don’t understand why people go by just one model! Unless there is cross model agreement then it’s pretty much no man’s land! This coming weekend may have looked good on ECM but GFS didn’t wanna take interest, hence the uncertainty, so why people then moan is beyond me! There is more cross model agreement for things to improve next week, which has been showing on more than just 1 model -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
raz.org.rain well gfs has been consistently showing 15/16 for London next week which I see as being average tbh nothing particular cold -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So currently looks like warm sun between rain from weekend or that’s my take on it -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Daniel* just as well the general theme is for average to slightly above overall across most models -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Amazing gfs 06z run towards the end -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like a return to the usual Atlantic driven rain fronts again later next week, but does look to warm up! So warm rain rather than cold rain! -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Scorcher it don’t look particularly dry tbh, the only good thing would be with it being warmer and the sun stronger it should help evaporate some of it so things should dry out easier and quicker -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gfs ensembles do show more average temps maybe a bit above and tbh heading into may thats not a bad temp to be at looking at 16/17 in the south! Any sunshine should feel nice! But does also show unsettled with rain spikes -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like temps recover as we head into may but unsettled with it more rain -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Daniel* those temps graph you bring up always end up lower than the real temp -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Andrea spring sprung ages ago we’ve not had a below average month, leaves are open, flowers open, it’s very much a typical spring one day warm one day cold that is spring -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Amazingly average down here in south east is 13 degrees, really goes to show how much warmer it has been! Next week 12/13 top temp, however; that’s pretty much normal the dry signal on the ensembles is the best part though -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Sherry replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
damianslaw the gfs op was right at the bottom of the pack at the end of the run, so currently 0% chance of happening -
Quite a nice weekend for the south east coming up, windy, but warm with sunny spells
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We also had 50mm of rain here at shoeburyness in march average was 36mm so above average but not dramatically so unlike other areas