-
Posts
251 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by Luke Best
-
Model output discussion - winter proper underway
Luke Best replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Personally interested in any snow reports linked to model verification.- 2,328 replies
-
- 1
-
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
Luke Best replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I don't believe that this is correct. As I understand it, the op is run at a high resolution and the control at a lower resolution. The 'GEFS members' are run with slightly adjusted starting data (and also at a lower resolution). -
Even as it's snowing outside, we'll all be glued to this forum discussing when the breakdown is coming!
-
I wouldn't worry about output from UKMO and ECM - they'll surely fall into line with this morning's stellar output from the GFS! (Tongue firmly in cheek).
-
What followed? If memory serves me right we got a proper big dump of snow that winter. (Bournemouth).
-
And the year was?
-
Boo hoo, you sound of reason you!
-
Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st August onwards
Luke Best replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Wow. Just driven through very heavy rain shower by Poole Harbour. Why wow? Rain falling from high level Ac Cas. Thought the radar was showing a large blobof ana prop, and then the rain came down, seemingly out of nowhere! -
That storm over Switzerland is an absolute beast! Interesting analysis from Estofex: http://www.estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygon/showforecast.cgi?text=yes&fcstfile=2017080118_201708011501_-_mesoscalediscussion.xml
-
Watched the show from Kefalonia - was absolutely incredible! Forks coming down constantly - returns on Blitzortung significantly underdoing the actual number of strikes.
-
Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 8th July onwards
Luke Best replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Meanwhile, on holiday in Greece... It started overhead but kicked off on the mainland - just the most amazing lightshow, huge forks coming down all over the place! Still going on in the distance - can still see forks coming down well inland in the Peloponnese. Good luck back in Blighty this week folks. God how I wish I had the money to spend my summers chasing these hot weather beasts in the Mediterranean - what a life that would be! -
Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards
Luke Best replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
-
Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards
Luke Best replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
-
Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards
Luke Best replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Nothing to do with the current outbreak, but this is well worth a watch. https://a.msn.com/r/2/BBCZYeq?m=en-gb&ocid=News -
Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards
Luke Best replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Horizon now filled with cirro-cumulus with virga. Clearly significant high-level wind as they are far from static. And another - just loving these skies: -
Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards
Luke Best replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
-
Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards
Luke Best replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
-
Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards
Luke Best replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Interesting. Got some convection going on at cirrus level. Cirro-cumulus here with virga, if you can pick it out from my crappy phone camera photo... -
Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards
Luke Best replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I have absolutely nothing to back this up, but I've just got a nagging feeling Bournemouth is well positioned. I've actually got relatively high hopes of getting a storm early morning tomorrow. Anyhow - good luck to all, wherever you are. -
Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards
Luke Best replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I used to be a member of Met Monkey. I get what people saying about hyperbole but in my experience Keithy Joe has a particularly good understanding and track record of forecasting thunderstorm events, so whilst I understand what people are saying I also note with interest Keithy Joe's thoughts on the situation. Let's not forget that in recent years there have been some tragic incidents involving young children where bouncy castles have been taken high into the air by sudden gusts of wind. Maybe it's not such a bad idea to make people vigilant where the POTENTIAL is as severe as perhaps it is today? -
Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards
Luke Best replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
-
Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 27th Feb onwards
Luke Best replied to Nick F's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
@Robbie Garrett @James1979 Is this the document you're after? http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/j.1477-8696.1998.tb06352.x/pdf -
Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 27th Feb onwards
Luke Best replied to Nick F's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Friday night might have been one hell of a light show. But tonight - the thunder, whilst infrequent, is incredibly loud!