wolves78

temp 18.7c not much cloud very close and muggy ATM

T0602 (JELAWAT) Issued at 12:00 UTC 28 Jun 2006RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0602 JELAWAT (0602) ANALYSIS PSTN 281200UTC 19.8N 111.4E FAIR MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 70NM FORECAST 24HF 291200UTC 20.9N 109.6E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT 48HF 301200UTC 22.0N 108.0E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION

cloudy misty crap realy temp at 14.1c

ty PK i did try but forgot the link to the site i had an old bookmark cheers

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/image_...06.06062612.gif http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn/tc_p...1162E.100pc.jpg

...TROPICAL WAVES... A TROPICAL WAVE IS ADDED TO THE 12 UTC ANALYSIS ALONG 32W/33W SOUTH OF 12N BASED ON VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ALONG AND BEHIND THE WAVE AXIS FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 30W-33W. A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAK 1013 MB LOW PRESSURE AREA IS ALONG 43W/44W. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. A CLUSTER OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ON THE NORTHERN END OF THE WAVE FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 42W-45W. TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 79W/80W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WEAK WAVE SIGNATURE CURVATURE IS OBSERVED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. WAVE IS BENEATH A BROAD UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CARIBBEAN...LIMITING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE. THIS WAVE IS PROBABLY ENHANCING THE SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY OVER PANAMA. ...THE ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 10N14W 8N32W 8N40W 4N53W. SCATTERED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION DOT THE AREA WITHIN 100/150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 30W-41W AND WEST OF 46W. http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2...mp;STYLE=tables http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc06/A...umb/Latest.html

louby for me great shot but close with john cox's was close i think it was seeing all that type of views last week and no storms that done it for me

the net weather team hire a van when they get to the usa in this pic the one paul and the team used is the one nearest on the left http://www.netweather.tv/forum/index.php?a...st&id=16792

cloudburst 3 louby 2 John Cox 3 Lightening Ed 1 & wolves78 3 :lol:

my 3rd

2nd pic

i noticed on friday as i stayed up till about 03:30am never seemed to go dark once. there was always a visable light in the sky from sunset to sunrise didnt take any pics as batteries were on charge wanted to time lapse it aswell

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATW...ml/041659.shtml?

AT 200 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.8 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES... 45 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 10 MPH... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION COULD MOVE INLAND BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED... AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE SYSTEM COULD DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

no probs andy just done a quick search seems some sites use it but most of them are out of date last one i looked at was 1999 then 2001 think they need an update regards paul

dunno if you have looked here andy? this tells you all about it http://www.weathershop.com/lightning2k.htm

thanks paul and Hank thank him for that image what an amazing close call that would have been just what you have on vid but if you had of been at a distance you would have caught on cam amazing pic ty

as its only the 1st day of the month ill start with this stunning sunset i got tonight

crmsone & grey-wolf yep i got confused had a few lastnight :lol: i moved the world around in one night :blush: anyway back to what could be TS BUD http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HPIR.JPG seems to be bubbling away nicely could this be number 2 on the way? FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE... CONTINUES A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST.

dunno about the merciful part though as i think the ring of fire in the atlantic will play a part in activity this year SST'S look to support this aswell some decent activity in the east atlantic ATM just hope 4 the US its not like last serason but i fear records will fall again this season

Bud lots of convection looks like building from aletta aletta seems to have fueld this stom from the nothern edge but lots of convection ATM

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2115 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W N OF 2N IS DIFFICULT TO IDENTIFY BUT APPEARS TO BE STRETCHING THE ITCZ N ALONG 105W WITH CONVECTION DESCRIBED IN THE ITCZ PARAGRAPH BELOW. ..ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG...8N78W 11N96W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 6N77W 6N93W 10N98W 7N109W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS W OF 132W. ...DISCUSSION... A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIES ALONG 32N131W 23N127W. A SECOND SHORTWAVE LIES ALONG 32N105W 20N96W. AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE IS NEAR 14N113 WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING SW TO BEYOND 10N140W. A RIDGE ALSO EXTENDS E TO A CREST NEAR 11N97W. THE ASSOCIATED ANTICYCLONIC FLOW CRESTS ALONG POINTS 18N140W 24N123W 21N106W. RESULTANT DRY UPPER AIR IS INDICATED WITHIN 270 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 20N140W 27N123W 23N100W. DEBRIS MOISTURE FROM ITCZ CONVECTION W OF 85W IS ADVECTED ENE UNDER THE RIDGE WITH A PLUME TURNING N OVER THE W GULF OF MEXICO ALONG 18N94W 30N91W. AT THE LOW LEVELS A HIGH PRES IS AT 30N134W 1024 MB WITH RIDGE SE TO 11N115W. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS IS OBSERVED N OF 16N W OF 122W. AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED OVER S AMERICA AT 11S67W WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING NW TO 7N78W. UPPER DIFFLUENCE UNDER THIS RIDGE ENHANCED CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ E OF 80W WITH THE DEBRIS MOISTURE STILL SPREADING NE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS S ALONG 80W TO NEAR PANAMA. BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1715 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W/45W S OF 14N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. THE WAVE IS NOT AS WELL DEFINED AS YESTERDAY BUT THERE IS STILL SOME CYCLONIC TURNING EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS FEATURE IS ENHANCING CONVECTION NEAR THE WAVE AXIS WITHIN THE ITCZ. A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG THE W COAST OF COLOMBIA ALONG 77W S OF 12N. WAVE PLACEMENT IS ONCE AGAIN BASED UPON CONTINUITY OF THE MOVEMENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AS LITTLE CURVATURE IS EVIDENT. ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS MAINLY WITHIN 180 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. THIS WAVE WILL ENTER THE EPAC LATER TODAY. ...ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 9N13W 7N22W 5N35W 4N51W. THE ITCZ REMAINS FAIRLY ACTIVE TODAY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS W OF 20W. THE STRONGEST CLUSTERS ARE NEAR THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 44W/45W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... A SHARP NARROW UPPER TROUGH IS IN THE NW GULF WITH AN UPPER LOW FORMING NEAR 27N86W. AN AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE LIES JUST E OF THE TROUGH COVERING THE CENTRAL AND E GULF. A PLUME OF MOISTURE IS ADVECTED OUT OF THE EPAC STREAMING NWD ACROSS THE GULF BETWEEN 88W-95W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS SWATH OF MOISTURE...MOST ORGANIZED IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WHERE A WEAK SFC REFLECTION AS A TROUGH HAS DEVELOPED. MORE IMPRESSIVE ACTIVITY HAS FORMED NEAR THE UPPER LOW N OF 26N W OF 95W. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS...SOME OF THEM STRONG TO SEVERE...IN S TEXAS AND THE COASTAL WATERS. STRONG SUBSIDENCE DUE TO UPPER LEVEL CONFLUENCE IS WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE GULF E OF 88W KEEPING THIS AREA FAIR TO MOSTLY CLEAR. A FEW SHOWERS ARE MOVING INLAND ACROSS FLORIDA. THESE SHOWERS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A SFC TROUGH IN THE BAHAMAS. SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE IN THE W GULF TOMORROW AS THE UPPER PATTERN CHANGES LITTLE. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE GULF COAST ON FRI INCREASING THE CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE NE SECTOR. CARIBBEAN SEA... SOMEWHAT OF AN UPPER RIDGE/TROUGH/RIDGE PATTERN COVERS CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. A BROAD UPPER RIDGE IN THE EPAC EXTENDS ACROSS MEXICO TO OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA W OF 87W. AN UPPER TROUGH REMAINS ESTABLISHED BETWEEN 72W-87W. BROAD UPPER RIDGING FROM A TROPICAL ATLC UPPER HIGH STRETCHES EWARD INTO THE CARIBBEAN E OF 70W. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS ADVECTED BETWEEN THE TROUGH AND RIDGES. ONE PLUME OF MOISTURE IS ADVECTED FROM THE EPAC OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND INTO THE GULF. ANOTHER PLUME...MUCH WEAKER...EXTENDS FROM S AMERICA TO THE GREATER ANTILLES. ELSEWHERE...DRY/STABLE AIR ALOFT EXISTS. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE W COAST OF COLOMBIA ENHANCED BY THE TROPICAL WAVE. TRADE WINDS ARE NEAR 15 KT IN THE E AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BUT WEAKER IN THE W CARIBBEAN. THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THOSE MAGNITUDES FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS WEAK HIGH PRES STAYS IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A RATHER BROAD UPPER LOW IS IN THE W ATLC NEAR 32N70W WITH AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING S INTO THE W CARIBBEAN AND E GULF OF MEXICO COVERING THE AREA W OF 65W ACROSS FLORIDA. THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IS SUPPORTING TWO SFC TROUGHS. ONE TROUGH IS ALONG THE E COAST OF FLORIDA FROM 31N79W TO 23N80W. WHILE THIS TROUGH IS RATHER WEAK IT IS WELL DEFINED WITH A LINE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED SMALL SCALE TSTMS. A STRONGER SFC TROUGH IS LOCATED ALONG 32N59W 27N67W 21N71W. A SWATH OF MOISTURE IS WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. THE SFC LOWS ALONG THE TROUGH OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS APPEARS TO HAVE DISSIPATED. GFS STILL DEVELOPS A LOW ALONG THIS BOUNDARY...WHILE THE OTHER MODELS HAVE SLACKED OFF. FARTHER EAST...AN UPPER TROUGH IS OVER THE E ATLC N OF 22N FROM 18W-40W WITH THE ASSOCIATED LOW WELL N OF THE REGION. AT THE SURFACE...LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE E ATLC E OF 60W WITH A 1023 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 30N40W AND A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 30N51W GIVING THE AREA SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. AN UPPER HIGH IS LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA NEAR 8N18W WITH AN E/W RIDGE ALONG 8N/9N TO NEAR 50W SUPPLYING A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ.

great second pic lou but why wasnt it shared with me first

Wednesday, May 24, 2006 sunset in drizzle saturday ,May 27, 2006 sunset sunset may 30 2006