wolves78

TROPICAL STORM ALETTA NEAR 15.4N 101.0W AT 0900 UTC. ALETTA IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THE STORM HAS BEEN MAINTAINING A BALL OF CONVECTION ON IT'S E SIDE WITH VERY COLD TOPS. THERE IS EVIDENCE OF AN ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PATTERN ABOVE THE STORM WHICH IS CONDUCING TO MAINTAINING STRONG CONVECTION

...TROPICAL WAVES... A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 2N HAS BEEN MOVING W 10 KT THE PAST 48 HOURS. THERE IS AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE AXIS WHILE ACTIVITY E OF THE AXIS IS MOSTLY ISOLATED. THERE IS SOME INDICATION OF A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ABOUT THE AXIS BASED ON CLOUD MOTION. ..ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG...9N77W 10N91W 14N100W 11N110W 8N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N TO 10N E OF 89W. NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 8N94W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N110W TO 10N113W TO 8N117W TO 8N121W. ISOLATED MODERATE NEAR 6N140W.

but CB you are only alowed 3 pics a comp how many is that now 5-6

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1445 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E LOCATED AT 15.1N 101.3W AT 1500 UTC 27 MAY MOVING N AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS TO 40 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE. ...TROPICAL WAVES... TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W FROM 2N-10N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 W OF AXIS. UPPER ENVIRONMENT DOWNSTREAM APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR BETTER ORGANIZATION WITHIN NEXT 36-48 HRS. ..ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS ALONG...AXIS 7N79W 14N99W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM S OF AXIS FROM 82W TO 95W AND FROM 100W TO 103W. ...DISCUSSION... UPPER LEVELS... UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MEANDERS FROM 32N109W 26N111W 26N134W 21N140W. VERY DRY AIRMASS DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE N AND W OF AXIS. MID/UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 10N118W WITH RIDGE EXTENDING TO 11N99W. WEAK SHORTWAVES CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO REGION BETWEEN UPPER TROUGH AND RIDGE. WEAK DEFORMATION ZONE ALONG 96W REMAINS S OF INFLUENCING T.D. ONE-E UPPER OUTFLOW PATTERN ALLOWING SOME WESTERLY SHEAR OVER SYSTEM. SHEAR APPEARS TO BE DECREASING AND COULD ALLOW T.D. ONE-E TO INTENSIFY WITHIN SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. SECOND MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE NEAR HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER FEEDS UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INTO ITCZ E OF 95W AND LETS MAINTAINS WEAK EASTERLY UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT OVER TROPICAL WAVE AT 88W. SHOULD THIS RIDGE MOVE FURTHER S FORCED BY UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PRESENTLY OVER WRN MEXICO...IT COULD FAVOR STRENGTHENING OF TROPICAL WAVE. as for what you ar on about mondy it is a long shot but its the rite time for some action that is some decent convection though would say if it get to sea then we will be in for a treat within the next 72 hours lets see how it develops

thanks paul all i can say is well caught and dam lucky at the same time excelent stuff

there's more than enough water for this country just look at what is being sugested in the news ATM get water out or the thames and problem solved i said this about a month ago but oh dear the uk are so slow GOOD job we dont live in the sahara

thanks for re-name on topic dont know how to do it thats why i left it Indian Ocean also bubbling away nicely could be another strong one or a passing invest? looks to be alot of convection in there this is just my call on it crimsone prob wrong but looks about rite to me

no probs KW BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1015 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 53W/54W SOUTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10 KT. IT IS MOVING THROUGH FRENCH GUIANA NOW. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN CENTRAL SURINAME AND ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF FRENCH GUIANA. A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W/83W SOUTH OF 9N FROM PANAMA INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND NOW FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 76W AND 79W INCLUDING IN THE GULF OF URABA AND EASTERN PANAMA AND THE PACIFIC OCEAN WATERS JUST OFF NORTHWESTERN COLOMBIA. THE ITCZ ALSO IS PRETTY CLOSE TO THIS AREA OF PRECIPITATION. ...THE ITCZ... ITCZ 8N10W 5N20W 4N30W 4N40W 5N47W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 12W AND 16W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND FROM 2S TO 8N WEST OF 17W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 12W AND 16W.

nice one steve looks like you had a decent chace day. thanks for all your posts and have a safe journey home

Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...TROPICAL WAVES... A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 52W/53W SOUTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE INLAND IN NORTHEASTERN SOUTH AMERICA...NORTH OF THE EQUATOR TO THE COASTLINE BETWEEN 50W AND 58W. A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 81W SOUTH OF 9N FROM PANAMA INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STRETCH FROM NORTHWESTERN COLOMBIA NEAR 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 76W AND 83W...ALSO COVERING PANAMA AND NEARBY WATERS IN EITHER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA OR IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. THE ITCZ ALSO IS PRETTY CLOSE TO THIS AREA OF PRECIPITATION. ...THE ITCZ... ITCZ 8N10W 5N20W 4N30W 4N40W 5N47W 5N51W. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 24W AND 26W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE ELSEWHERE FROM THE EQUATOR TO 10N EAST OF 40W...AND FROM EQUATOR TO 8N OVER THE WATERS AND NEAR THE SOUTH AMERICA COASTLINE BETWEEN 40W AND 58W.

OMG roger thanks for that what a griping read

nice one steve thanks for shareing that with us look forward to more while you are out there be safe though how long u staying for? also been keeping an eye on your APRS signal wow close call

plz post reports here

please post reports in here

you forgot just one thing your VW camper van

Brickfielder in that report you forgot to mention tornado and hurricane with the odd super cell well why not all other types of weather are in there what a strange few days of weather coming up

well 2 decent storms the second one was impressive and just in the last 5 mins had another 3 CG's

well 5 rumbles of thunder and 4 flashes of lightning and very heavy rain with strong winds all gone calm again now the sun is back out

that was amazing paul but nothing like being there i guess carnt wait till i can do what you lot have just done i had the sub woofer on with that on what a sound but you must have had ear ache later

thanks again paul just waiting for it to load just a quick question 4 you when do you think you will have the colgate clip uploaded?

had the volume up on the last one paul woke the kids up :lol: awaiting next one thanks for posting mate bet you are still stuck at US time ATM?

thanks paul great footage carnt wait for the rest thanks again for the virtual tour

still think another 2 weeks b4 anything will show and be worthy of talking about even though the chinese season started early the US will start quiet IMO

lol ozzie you go get ya kip mate you need it look forward to the rest of the vids take care mate

just watched it ozzie was the net playing me up looked like a street lamp got hit but if you look at it again you will notice that the lamp about 20ft away went out on the right hand side one minuet it was on then the next after the strike it had gone out with it what a close call you will notice as you look back on all your footage things you didnt see at first thanks for the vid mate