wolves78
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Posts posted by wolves78
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...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 2N HAS BEEN MOVING W 10 KT THE
PAST 48 HOURS. THERE IS AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE AXIS WHILE ACTIVITY E OF THE
AXIS IS MOSTLY ISOLATED. THERE IS SOME INDICATION OF A WEAK
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ABOUT THE AXIS BASED ON CLOUD MOTION.
..ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG...9N77W 10N91W 14N100W 11N110W
8N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N
TO 10N E OF 89W. NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 8N94W. ISOLATED
MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N110W TO 10N113W TO
8N117W TO 8N121W. ISOLATED MODERATE NEAR 6N140W.
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but CB you are only alowed 3 pics a comp how many is that now 5-6
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BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1445 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E LOCATED AT 15.1N 101.3W AT 1500 UTC
27 MAY MOVING N AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS TO 40
KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W FROM 2N-10N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 W OF AXIS. UPPER
ENVIRONMENT DOWNSTREAM APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR BETTER ORGANIZATION
WITHIN NEXT 36-48 HRS.
..ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS ALONG...AXIS 7N79W 14N99W 5N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM S OF AXIS FROM
82W TO 95W AND FROM 100W TO 103W.
...DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVELS...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MEANDERS FROM 32N109W 26N111W 26N134W
21N140W. VERY DRY AIRMASS DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE
N AND W OF AXIS. MID/UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTERED NEAR 10N118W WITH RIDGE EXTENDING TO 11N99W. WEAK
SHORTWAVES CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO REGION BETWEEN UPPER TROUGH AND
RIDGE.
WEAK DEFORMATION ZONE ALONG 96W REMAINS S OF INFLUENCING T.D.
ONE-E UPPER OUTFLOW PATTERN ALLOWING SOME WESTERLY SHEAR OVER
SYSTEM. SHEAR APPEARS TO BE DECREASING AND COULD ALLOW T.D.
ONE-E TO INTENSIFY WITHIN SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. SECOND
MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE NEAR HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER FEEDS UPPER
LEVEL MOISTURE INTO ITCZ E OF 95W AND LETS MAINTAINS WEAK
EASTERLY UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT OVER TROPICAL WAVE AT 88W.
SHOULD THIS RIDGE MOVE FURTHER S FORCED BY UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
PRESENTLY OVER WRN MEXICO...IT COULD FAVOR STRENGTHENING OF
TROPICAL WAVE.
as for what you ar on about mondy it is a long shot but its the rite time for some action that is some decent convection though would say if it get to sea then we will be in for a treat within the next 72 hours lets see how it develops
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thanks paul all i can say is well caught and dam lucky at the same time excelent stuff
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there's more than enough water for this country just look at what is being sugested in the news ATM get water out or the thames and problem solved i said this about a month ago but oh dear the uk are so slow GOOD job we dont live in the sahara
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thanks for re-name on topic dont know how to do it thats why i left it
Indian Ocean
also bubbling away nicely could be another strong one or a passing invest? looks to be alot of convection in there
Yes, The NHC have said similar themselves regardless of whether it becomes a TS - the are has already had a reasonable amount of rainfall over the past week or two. A strong TS could be potentially disasterous.One thing though - not being great at understanding sattelite images sometimes, could anybody do me a favour and mark the low center with an X for me? lol. I can see the overall disturbance, but I can't identify its center
this is just my call on it crimsone prob wrong but looks about rite to me
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Thanks for keeping everyone updated Wolves and Crimsone Only a few days to the offical start of the hurricane season!!!
no probs KW
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 53W/54W SOUTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10 KT.
IT IS MOVING THROUGH FRENCH GUIANA NOW. ISOLATED MODERATE
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN CENTRAL SURINAME AND
ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF FRENCH GUIANA.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W/83W SOUTH OF 9N FROM PANAMA INTO
THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND NOW FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 76W AND 79W
INCLUDING IN THE GULF OF URABA AND EASTERN PANAMA AND THE
PACIFIC OCEAN WATERS JUST OFF NORTHWESTERN COLOMBIA. THE ITCZ
ALSO IS PRETTY CLOSE TO THIS AREA OF PRECIPITATION.
...THE ITCZ...
ITCZ 8N10W 5N20W 4N30W 4N40W 5N47W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 12W
AND 16W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND FROM 2S TO 8N WEST OF 17W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND FROM
5N TO 8N BETWEEN 12W AND 16W.
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nice one steve looks like you had a decent chace day. thanks for all your posts and have a safe journey home
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion
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...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 52W/53W SOUTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10 KT.
ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE INLAND
IN NORTHEASTERN SOUTH AMERICA...NORTH OF THE EQUATOR TO THE
COASTLINE BETWEEN 50W AND 58W.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 81W SOUTH OF 9N FROM PANAMA INTO THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STRETCH FROM NORTHWESTERN COLOMBIA
NEAR 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 76W AND 83W...ALSO COVERING PANAMA AND
NEARBY WATERS IN EITHER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA OR IN
THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. THE ITCZ ALSO IS PRETTY CLOSE TO THIS
AREA OF PRECIPITATION.
...THE ITCZ...
ITCZ 8N10W 5N20W 4N30W 4N40W 5N47W 5N51W. STRONG SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 24W AND 26W.
ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ELSEWHERE FROM THE EQUATOR TO 10N EAST OF 40W...AND FROM EQUATOR
TO 8N OVER THE WATERS AND NEAR THE SOUTH AMERICA COASTLINE
BETWEEN 40W AND 58W.
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OMG roger thanks for that what a griping read
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nice one steve thanks for shareing that with us look forward to more while you are out there be safe though
how long u staying for? also been keeping an eye on your APRS signal wow close call
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plz post reports here
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please post reports in here
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just shown my eldest this video tonight.. she jumped out of the settee when the thunder rang out..
she wants to go storm chasing with her mate over the summer.. but muggins here will have to be the driver..
my storm chasing kit for the uk..
1.. flask of tea..
2.. good book that will last at least 3 weeks..
3.. lap top.. great for watching the latest dvd downloads..
4.. barron... knights.. love to listen to 70s comedy..
5.. insecticide to remove the crawlers..
6.. video camera.. what the hell.. the footage would be good for a laugh anyway..
7.. digital camera.. should create another pro/against paint shop debate regardless.. always good for a laugh..
8.. mobile phone.. where would you be without 3 ey??
9.. sandwiches.. when you look at them and loose your appitite.. at least you can feed the wildlife..
10. good pub guide.. tried and tested rescue kit..
you forgot just one thing your VW camper van
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Brickfielder
in that report you forgot to mention tornado and hurricane with the odd super cell well why not all other types of weather are in there
what a strange few days of weather coming up
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well 2 decent storms the second one was impressive
and just in the last 5 mins had another 3 CG's
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well 5 rumbles of thunder and 4 flashes of lightning
and very heavy rain with strong winds
all gone calm again now the sun is back out
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Will have to go through that tape tomorrow, or may have a quick look now if i can now i have sussed this upload video thing.
Paul S
that was amazing paul but nothing like being there i guess carnt wait till i can do what you lot have just done i had the sub woofer on with that on what a sound but you must have had ear ache later
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thanks again paul just waiting for it to load
just a quick question 4 you when do you think you will have the colgate clip uploaded?
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In abut 20 minutes will upload the Lightning strike that nearly killed me, make sure you turn your volume up for that one :lol:
Paul Sherman
had the volume up on the last one paul woke the kids up :lol:
awaiting next one thanks for posting mate
bet you are still stuck at US time ATM?
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thanks paul great footage carnt wait for the rest thanks again for the virtual tour
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And as it was written (by kold weather), so did the tropical waves start arriving in numbers...
still think another 2 weeks b4 anything will show and be worthy of talking about even though the chinese season started early the US will start quiet IMO
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No worries Wolves and yes you do notice thing on video that you dont notice when there as i dont remember seeing that light blown whilst beeing there untill i looked at footage.More to come tomorrow and i really need to thin k about bed LOL.
lol ozzie you go get ya kip mate you need it look forward to the rest of the vids take care mate
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Hmmm im not 100% what actually got struck but if you look at the light you just see it blow and sparks shoot out.I have more footage to post but need to look through my footage as there is 4 tapes worth which is gonna take a bit of time.
just watched it ozzie was the net playing me up looked like a street lamp got hit but if you look at it again you will notice that the lamp about 20ft away went out on the right hand side one minuet it was on then the next after the strike it had gone out with it what a close call
you will notice as you look back on all your footage things you didnt see at first thanks for the vid mate
but CB you are only alowed 3 pics a comp how many is that now 5-6 
Tropical Storm Aletta
in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Posted
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA NEAR 15.4N 101.0W AT 0900 UTC. ALETTA IS
NEARLY STATIONARY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THE STORM HAS BEEN
MAINTAINING A BALL OF CONVECTION ON IT'S E SIDE WITH VERY COLD
TOPS. THERE IS EVIDENCE OF AN ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PATTERN ABOVE
THE STORM WHICH IS CONDUCING TO MAINTAINING STRONG CONVECTION