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thunderhead 2005

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Everything posted by thunderhead 2005

  1. thunderhead 2005
    ok do i need to setup my camera ???
  2. thunderhead 2005
    Cells SW of IOW CS lookout
  3. thunderhead 2005
    anyone got the 18z fax chart this should show the line where the storms will be
  4. thunderhead 2005
    line of coverence maybe?
  5. thunderhead 2005
    Cells firing everywhere Sussex moving NW, hello ladies this way, one cell SW portsmouth
  6. thunderhead 2005
    iv'e done some research, i don't think the sea temperature plays a part because since 1990's the sea temperature has increased not decreased, maybe other things are why these things die off? http://www.ukcip.org.uk/wordpress/wp-content/PDFs/UKCP09_Trends.pdf
  7. thunderhead 2005
    not this time as there is cape, also look at the last sat 24 front from the north is pushing down SE this is making the air very unstablised.
  8. thunderhead 2005
    Cells firing up in the channel heading N/NW
  9. thunderhead 2005
    Ok ladies and gents now it's initiation time.
  10. thunderhead 2005
    Anyone in CS England keep an eye out for the cells north of Caen
  11. thunderhead 2005
    Absolutely spot on, we have an unstable air mas hence why it feels so close and humid.
  12. thunderhead 2005
    And as predicted north of Caen activity has intensified north of the cold front.
  13. thunderhead 2005
    Patient my friend, Thundery rain is to the SW france as it drags up that's where the instability will be, just to the N/NE of it.
  14. thunderhead 2005
    If I had to guess everyone should be looking at the radar south of the IOW and Brighton towards Le Harve & Cean. the low is circling anticlockwise so this high cloud will slowly move W/NW.
  15. thunderhead 2005
    Keep an eye out for any activity between the warm/cold front that's where the highest cape will be, and I estimate that is where the storms will be around IOW / Brighton south of it.
  16. thunderhead 2005
    You guys are too impatient, back in the 90's storms didn't kick off until 6pm at the earliest, normally French imports where not until 8pm. it's only 14:46 and many times things explode un-expected. we have rain which is a good sign, but it's very elevated give it until it least 6.30pm.
  17. thunderhead 2005
    The Main event wont be until 3-8pm, maximum cape values and higher risk.
  18. thunderhead 2005
    seems thats cells S/SE of IOW is pepping up.
  19. thunderhead 2005
    They are weakening, however the question is what happens when it reaches our shore?
  20. thunderhead 2005
    Definately elevated they are leaving the french coast guys in CS England keep an eye on the storm north of Cean heading NN-NW
  21. thunderhead 2005
    Correct based on the current direction they are going
  22. thunderhead 2005
    Keep an eye on Le Havre, thats where we want storms to be for CS England
  23. thunderhead 2005
    So what happened to the trough that was slipping down from the NE
  24. thunderhead 2005
    We are now approaching prime hour for storms, not alot of initiation tbh. there are pockets of unstable air mass but nowt on the radar returns, i think our hope is the cold front moving SW/NE or Imports, but you know what happens with imports
  25. thunderhead 2005
    That would be on tee with Estofex prediction, possible MCS "IF" it survives the channel, but then could head NE like always
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