Coopsy

Just taking a doctoral degree in psychology - tonight is perfect preparation to conduct scientific research.

Lol great minds...beat me to it

More and more greens showing already. Bodes well for the pinks

The alcohol is kicking in for some it seems

Moving west? I know what you mean - it reminds of the summer storms that come over from the continent

The Arpege is now showing something similar - not making much inroads to the SE. Not sure what to make of it tbh

March 2005 we had an all day snow event with 9/10 inches of snow whilst many other areas had very little - its a good spot As for 1987... 2.5 feet.

I think that’s a pretty good estimate. Ties in with initial precip, mid Kent streamer then Thames streamer. Having lived in lordswood, walderslade woods and blue bell hill in the past, they always do well in this set up. And all over 400ft and with orographic lift, helps enhance totals.

Although fairly cold this morning at minus 18oC - the extreme cold is literally on the doorstep. (Minus 60 wind chill for some) Its not often I’ve seen a weather warning for almost all of the prairie provinces for extreme cold. To put that into perspective thats almost 700,000 sq miles under an extreme cold warning (about 7 times the size of the entire UK)

Just catching up on forecasts and models and it’s looking good folks. Even those in the west being bought into the action. Most in the SE will see good accumulation over the next 3 days. With another possible big snow maker still on the cards mid next week. Some spots in the amber have a potential memory maker. This kind of set up is what you dream of as a snow lover , not just a day to thaw event but days and days of snow. Just spotted the latest met office forecast and can understand them specifically mention north Kent and potential of a foot or more of snow as there’s a lot of NE winds forecasts til Wednesday - the potential is there for days of convective showers/streamer opportunities (and of course other areas where the wind changes direction) There will be lots of surprises popping up I’m sure. How often can you go to bed with snow that’s been played in/walked on and wake up to a fresh cover....for a few days running? I hope everyone takes it in and enjoys it for what it is - even if the snow depths aren’t legendary there’s going to be settled snow for most. But for those lucky ones - potentially a top 5 event for some.

Regarding the Met Office warning. If you look at the guide to the warning matrix, it’s already at the highest impact, but the likeliness is lowish. IF they think it’s guaranteed then it’ll move into red. But we know how tricky it can be forecasting snow, so if things don’t change and asyou get closer to T0, I’d imagine seeing the tick move up a box to just under the red.

Half of Alberta has a weather warning for extreme cold . Minus 40 to minus 50 wind chill. I’ll take the snow thanks

Absolutely dumping here right now - pics don’t do it justice. Visibility really restricted. RCMP just tweeted this...

Ok just for giggles - where do you think will have the most snow and how much by midday Monday? I’m going with blue bell hill (Kent north downs) at 25cm.

It certainly will be and you should get to turn boiling water into snow with the temps coming up They sure do. Take a look at this, think you’ll like it. Shows all the parameters for warnings for every weather type for each province. Criteria for public weather alerts - Canada.ca WWW.CANADA.CA Environment Canada issues alert bulletins for the following weather hazards.

I spotted that as I was checking out the Calgary webcam. Beddington Trail/Country Hills looks bad at the mo. The snows setting in now. Switching between light and moderate and brown roads slowly turning white.

Up to 20cm being forecast between now and tomorrow evening. Surprised there’s not a warning as that fits within the parameters. Currently flurries in the air.

I saw the met office forecast from 4 hours ago was posted but didn’t see this latest one so just popping it here. (Apologies if you’ve already seen it) This forecast has more in the Amber. Its not often a forecast talks about ‘significant’ snow and ‘all day heavy snow’ and parts of the SE getting ‘cut off’. Sunday for those in the Amber will likely be an all day heavy snow event, even in the yellow it’s going to be good. And if I’m not mistaken on the 30th anniversary of the legendary 1991 snows.

What fascinating forecasts and charts popping up. One thing that’s certain is you’d be very unlucky if you didn’t see snow settle over the next few days. At this stage snow amounts and locations is uncertain. BUT in this set up any type of streamer can set up as wind directions change over time - with 50mph winds forecast and winds changing direction as things pass through. Id expect Thames streamer and mid Kent streamer and others affecting elsewhere. And when they get going, on a strong wind, expect those to go further inland. It really is an exciting few days coming up.

Yeah but some models give kent snow though. So it really is a wait and watch as a few miles either way will make a lot of difference to a lot of people

Agreed as conversely it could go further north and more in the rain. Thats said the cold is the one progressing so you’d think it’d push through and hopefully bring in more people for the chance of snow. It really is setting up to be an interesting spell

Latest met office forecast for the weekend.... There could be a real mix of emotions saturday into Sunday in here. Currently it looks like north of London doing very well based on this forecast but a slight tweak and the extreme south east could also be in with a chance.

Ended up with about 12+cm so right on the money for the snowfall warning. Lake Louise had a fresh foot of powder. Great conditions. Well based on the ECM snow accumulation chart I think everyone might do well. I’m crap at reading these but (correct me if I’m wrong) it looks like anything from 10-20cm for everyone over the next 72/96hrs, higher the further west and south you are.

I think it’s looking positive. Temper it , it might but the possibility is there for the next weeks events. It could range from a few cm’s for many from convective showers right through to big convective streamers with possible trough formations and even a channel low if everything aligns. (assuming things don’t go pear shaped at the last minute which it has done many times) Heres a great article by Jo Farrow which explains predominantly sea effect snow which affects the SE. She touches on trough and low formations in this type of set up too. Again this is all conjecture at this time but something that might happen if everything falls into place. Sea Effect Snow - the UK version of Lake Effect snow. Very cold air across the North Sea WWW.NETWEATHER.TV Very cold easterly flow, found when a high pressure sits over Scandinavia and brings air to the UK from Siberia. If conditions are right, significant snow can result.

I actually said that as I was watching it. Love the fact he talks about different models, and shows the options of what could happen. Imagine that on UK telly.