Polar Low
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Posts posted by Polar Low
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ANYWEATHER Doesn't matter what they, nor the state write if the uneducated attempt to read/understand it! Ha.
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Neil Harris Anyone who mocks the MO for warnings that don't materialise are mocking their own stupidity. The warnings are about handling risk percentages & public safety. No more, no less. It's hilarious how many people misunderstand this basic concept. In marginal situations, the warnings are correct, regardless of outcome.
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Belper will do just fine out of this, won't be marginal there come 9am.
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Lisa Martin Fancy you to do OK still -temps will drop a degree or two within the next hour. Keep us updated!
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makelikeaturkey I think Mansfield/Nottingham will probably do best locally. Here in Newark I think we'll keep the snowfall till mid afternoon but I'm doubtful of accumulations here. Lacking just 100ft or so of elevation is going to hurt us. Going to be nice to see heavy fall though, even if it does just make puddles!!!!
As for yourself, evaporative cooling might play a part as heavier stuff moves in within the hour. Let us know and good luck.
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Surprised to see it start as dry snow at this intensity, was expecting a horrid mix until the heavier PPN arrived around 7.30-8.00am.
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Light snow falling, just started.
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Could not be closer to the borderline, here in Newark! I expect snowfall fairly consistently throughout the day, but likely wet with accumulations unlikely. However, Mansfield for example, 20 miles away, will far exceed 5cm. Nevertheless, will be enjoyable to watch heavy falls albeit not settling. I'll take it.
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Could not be closer to the borderline, here in Newark! I expect snowfall fairly consistently throughout the day, but likely wet with accumulations unlikely. However, Mansfield for example, 20 miles away, will far exceed 5cm. Nevertheless, will be enjoyable to watch heavy falls albeit not settling. I'll take it.
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29 minutes ago, tooby said:
They’ve been out since 6pm mate
Must only be focusing on the likes of Lincoln Road, London Road, Bypass etc then. And even that is largely covered now I'm told.
I'm not really moaning. Will be issues for rush hour though, right in the town centre (Church) the roads are under a reasonable, full blanket; so the residential streets and back roads a little further out the town centre will be worse affected.
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Good covering here in Newark in the last hour, Looks likely to continue for another couple, too
Probably end up with 5cm or so I imagine. All surfaces including the main town roads are covered, so much for the gritters!
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32 minutes ago, Thundery wintry showers said:
Yes, I'm guessing that evaporative cooling mixed out the warmer air aloft that was causing the freezing rain at the beginning.
Amazingly this is my first proper lying snow event in downhill Lincoln since I moved here in April 2021, I did have several mornings with slushy dustings in the winters of 2021/22 and 2022/23 but in each case I had to walk uphill to the Lincoln Cathedral area to see anything close to a full covering.
19 minutes ago, Aiden2012 said:Surely your getting a pasting right now ?
Just down the road in Newark we already have a decent blanket on all surfaces including main roads - grit???
Looks like we might end up with 5cm or so.
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Light powdery snow falling here this morning, light showers feeding in.
Little warm up for tomorrow. Feel the E Mids especially, but perhaps more widely, that we're in good shape.
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Just now, Jarrow Posh said:
Is it me or is there a little more intensity and frequency in the shower activity showing on the radar now?
Very,very light snow here atm.
Yes, as forecast.
Showers will continue to pep up, perhaps with a brief lull this afternoon.
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Some of the posts in here of people panicking/berating are absolutely bloody hilarious. Thanks for cheering up my morning.
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6 minutes ago, MattStoke said:
Negative double digits should be achievable mid week over snow cover should winds fall light and skies clear.
He's talking about daily maxima. Not sure if you realised (sorry if you did!)
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Offfftttt! Some of these model outputs for Saturday night/Sunday are putting a lot of people on a knife edge.
Local bias for me; the NE'ern extent in terms of precipitation from the low looks pretty much slap bang on my location, arguably falling 20-30 miles short. However the latest ICON's shift N would put the E Mids into the game.
If it's the former; then selfishly speaking, this would a disaster. If the low doesn't make it, but gets close, Sunday could be bone dry as convective showers will be sparce or potentially non-existant for locations close to, but not under, the low.
Expect more slight adjustments due N/E/S/W. I'm hoping it verifies further SE by 50-100 miles, or indeed further North by the same distance.
Again, I'd take the former now just to ensure plentiful showers.
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4 minutes ago, SnowLover87 said:
Have you seen BBC 10.30 pm all yellow by Wednesday
Again, I refer back to my previous post. Midnight Thursday any effort to identify what is going to happen at +144 is purely about following trends and factoring in model bias. +144 is completely FI. Come Wednesday, it could be worse, or better (depending on which side of the coin you look at) but ultimately the only thing that's certain is that corrections will happen right up to t48/t72.
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40 minutes ago, SnowLover87 said:
In Dudley. Look at BBC all yellow by Wednesday. Da.p squb I say. Models over playing this. Atlantic onslaught soon.
I disagree with your view on the models. Irrespective, noting your last comment - bring it on! Could amount to some staggering snowfall totals. There is now way the Atlantic blows through this kind of setup without significant resistance, a stall would be inevitable - the question is; where. Classic battleground scenario if FI verifies. Many changes will verify between now and then, though.
Fantastic weekend coming up regardless, reinforced until Wednesday at the earliest. Anything beyond that is FI.
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4 minutes ago, weirpig said:
The only concern i have and to be fair its not really that a big deal but if the uppers are so low we get that alpine type powdry snow which in my opinion is bloody awful. You can have a foot of the stuff and the ground is clear but up the corner of some terrace house it upto the upstairs bathroom.
As for some of the snow depth predictions in this thread I think - quite understandably - that some people are going into hype overdrive.
There's absolutely no evidence suggesting totals of a foot of snow widely in the SE/EA. I doubt we'll even see that locally.
I imagine the average falls in favoured areas will be closer to GFS - up to 15cm.
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As explained, Chrome has detected that you use the same password on NW as you do on another website which has been associated with a potential data breach.
It's always good practice to use unique passwords on your accounts anyway; you can use something like LastPass to store them all to make your life easy!
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My triumphant (in my own head at least) return to these forums after a 4 year hiatus. I hope both new and old regulars are keeping well in these exceptional times.
Quick thanks to @Paul for his patience in restoring access to my 16 year old account! All my own fault, I may add.
Look forward to enjoying this thread Sunday onwards. Seems we are on the brink of something quite memorable.
Also, whilst fun to discuss; isn't it refreshing that 72hrs before the commencement of a cold snap we are now more concerned about the longevity of the deep cold; rather than the usual concerns of a marginal setup from day dot!
Lets enjoy the ride.
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Sunday frankly could be a memorable event for all of the Midlands.
I tentatively suggest that at least those on the Lincs Border in addition to the North, East and Southeast Mids can start to bank on that one, with a margin for shifts north/south.
Forecast right now though puts the entire Midlands county into play.
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Unless they were certain that the area would not be affected, then they were right to keep the warning. Keyword being 'warning', folks. If there was any risk of significant disruption to that area this morning, then they couldn't possibly (nor should they) have removed the warning. It does absolutely no harm, they aren't there to get your hopes up, they are in place to protect people.
It's better to have the warning there than not, nobody ever got injured, delayed, or killed because it didn't snow.
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Midlands regional discussion - Winter 23/24
in Midlands Weather Discussion
Posted
Lovely stuff here in Newark, coming down by the bucket load. Just starting to settle now. Will enjoy the next few hours - imagine we'll maintain this until mid afternoon before a gradual reversal of temps. 1.8C and dropping right now.