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EastLothianSnow

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Posts posted by EastLothianSnow

  1. HIgh, after a lull around 4-7pm convection around the Forth is likely to peak again with a streamer developing and convection behind persisting right through into tomorrow afternoon in the southeast.

    Hope your right LSS, would be nice given we have only had a proper covering once this winter and even then it was 2cm and lasted only a day. Down in Avonbridge this afternoon near Armadale and there's a few cm's here. How's things looking in your part of Fife?

  2. At the foothills of the Lammermuirs smile.png Just had a light flake or two and then it went off again lol Still watching....now with a cuppa in hand and the radar on!

    Looking closer at the radar it looked like that splodge just clipped above musselburgh/pans area and went towards the lammermuirs. The next part of the band should have more promise.

    Ahhh in that case it doesn't surprise me you have seen more than me up here lol. Most we have had all winter is a brief covering in December that lasted 1 day, lucky if it was mm's in depth and a few passing flakes here and there.

    Really hoping something comes along and gives us a decent dump in the near future. I reckon East Lothian has been pretty unlucky so far.

  3. Not much to say this morning on the model front except look at these snow forecasts from the NAE. Some places could be in for a right pasting over the next 48 hours but unfortunately some will miss out altogether.

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    Hi Catch,

    How accurate are these precipitation charts? They do seem to indicate heavy snow right down to sea level in the east and suggest I could get a decent snowfall even though I'm at sea level? Would love it to be the case.

    As for snow watch - damp outside with very light snow not settling currently.

  4. Thanks very much. Could well be, you're the last in line for the milder uppers so they may not even get that far, in which case you might manage to squeeze at least a few hours of snow out of it. It's bound to be marginal though being so close to the forth and any cover could be quite transient but I wouldn't rule anything out yet.

    Very jealous of northeast England's forecast at the moment though, not even a hint of a warm sector and staying as snow throughout. Southeast borders could be the place to be.

    Yea the uppers do look favourable but I always wonder if being so close to the coast will cause it to fall as sleet. Would just be happy to see a few centimetres on the ground for a time. Reckon patience is the name of the game though, going by many of the comments on here the end of the month could be when the real fun starts. Just good to be talking about snow prospects again!

    Yea things do look more straightforward in NE England, surely wouldn't need much of a change to put us in an equally favourable position? The possible easterly midweek looks interesting!

  5. 13011400_1212.gif

    By midnight, temperatures still between 0C and 2C everywhere.

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    This is exactly the upgrade we needed, it wasn't huge but it's just enough for what would be a big snowfall for the east coast.

    Interestingly this is also an upgrade for everywhere else since the front is more active and would give significant snowfall to all of England and even into Wales too now. The warning is bound to be put back on for tomorrow's snow if this is still present in the 18Zs.

    Don't post here too often but am a regular viewer of the forum, cracking place to be with so many laughs as well as expert opinions, a brilliant read, it never fails. Couldn't be a more interesting time to be on the forum either!!

    LS - Love reading your view on matters, particularly like the sound of this upgrade for the next few days snow! I am in Prestonpans, East Lothian so pretty close to the forth. Do you reckon this upgrade is enough to get me some snowfall in the next few days? Must say I have been expecting rain/sleet but would love to see some snow!

    Cheers

  6. No snow here, plain old drizzle...

    Had a light covering Sunday night that was promptly washed away Monday morning and some snow on Tuesday night that didn't lie. Considering we are next to the forth it's to be expected i suppose.

    Next week could have a bit of potential for us though!? Looking good for many of us i think! smile.png

  7. Sunday looking hopeful, again the North by Northwest theme continues.

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    Been following the carnage in the States on Twitter most of today. Huge storm systems, weather bombs over land and numerous Tornados.

    On the models here nothing changes.. AH and PV ruling the roost.. !

    Let's hope somewhere gets a good blast on Sunday

    Sunday looks promising. GFS shows heavy precipitation over southern and south eastern scotland for 12 hours solid with snow the whole way through going by the precip type charts. I usually take no notice of that but at 36 hours out is it worth looking at?

    Regardless of the models i can't see me getting any snow down here in the sea air but i would love to be surprised. Don't even care if it lies, just to see hours of falling snow would make me happy :)

  8. hi

    Had to look up Preston Pans but yes it could be although you might just get a bit of shelter, the direction would be critical. The temperature bit might offset what I've just said. If there is an increase in temperature with height, up to about 3,000ft, it can cause the wind speed to 'funnel' between the surface and the inversion the temperature structure causes at 3000ft, thus increasing the actual wind speed at the surface. Hope thatis explained clearly enough-ask again.

    Similar to snowman, again not totally sure of your exact position re the Forth-Clyde valley.

    Thanks for that John. Too be honest whenever these storms appear we do usually get some really strong gusts here, my thinking was that with the winds coming from the NW rather than W/SW as they normally do in these storms we may actually be hit a bit worse than usual with lack of shelter from that direction with the winds coming right down the forth and into my area?

  9. does it have to be in capitals?

    Still time for the track and depth to change but not only are the Northern isles going to get, even for them, some very high wind values as the winds veer into the NW, I suppose possibly in excess of 90mph but the Forth-Clyde valley? Its very finely balanced as to when the flow goes through the valley and linked into what temperature values are shown in the bottom 2-3000ft but it might be very serious for that area. One I'm sure UK Met are watching closely along with all the already mentioned pssible areas of concern.

    Hi John,

    Although i don't post very often i do read the forum on a daily basis and enjoy reading your posts, very informative. Being on the coast in East Lothian we are used to getting some high winds, the worst i can remember being in December 1998 when they peaked at over 100mph and ripped some structures down and tore roofs of buildings. Could we be looking at similar strengths in my neck of the woods on Thursday evening/night into Friday? Could you explain what you meant with your reference to the temperature values that are shown in the bottom 2-3000ft?

    Thanks

  10. you know that really fine drizzle rain you get? was like that but snow, nothing to be excited about, i was just please at how well the radar worked lol.

    It has to start somewhere lol. Looks like some really heavy snow in the central belt now, fingers crossed some of it gets here, not forecast until 9pm onwards anyway so still plenty time!

  11. It has been changing constantly for me area too, was supposed to have snow showers all day according to them, not a drop fell from the sky lol.

    Although rain today has you getting snow soon :D

    I had a look at that site, does it just show you the current radar, i.e. 30 mins ago or does it show you a forecast radar? If so, where is that as i can't find it.

    I am a bit dubious the showers will reach me and even if they did the other members mentioning rain/sleet further west does not fill me with confidence.

  12. Anyone noticed the MetOffice forecast icons for this evening/tonight for Edinburgh has changed. Was showing next to nothing earlier but now shows heavy snow showers between 9pm and 12am then sleet showers between 12am and 3am. Possibly a few of these heavy showers coming into the west making it this far east? Whether they reach me in East Lothian is another matter though...

  13. Hi,

    Having had a browse through the models there seems to be opportunities for Central, Southern England for snow on quite a few occassions over the coming days, although marginal of course for some area, particularly further south you go.

    What i am struggling with, and i am no expert, is that the BBC and MetOffice both mention the possibility of 'longer spells of sleet and snow' for my location in South-East Scotland on Sunday/Monday yet i cant see on the models where this is going to come from.

    I would usually take the 'symbol' 5 day outlook forecasts on these sites with a pinch of salt only the MetOffice update for the longer term forecast starts from the tuesday (next week) and also mentions longer outbreaks of sleet and snow in the more northern areas.

    Can anyone shed any light on this for me?

    Thanks,

    :whistling:

  14. Just been out for a very agreeable lunch down at The Shore in Leith - where the snow is lying on the dock side. Very nice to see :)

    Snow has not shifted from the pans today either so we have 'coastal snow' still too, this has been only our second ice day of this cold spell, being next to the coast has not been helping matters, maximum of -0.5 today and now back down too -2.8 as i type this. Snow still covering all surfaces. Plough came through earlier but a lot of the snow must have frozen to the road because they are still all white despite the plough coming through, i would say we have maybe 2 inches of snow on the ground at the moment.

    Hoping for lots more this week, although not looking forward to the daily trips down the Edinburgh City Bypass to work if the forecasts validate :)

  15. Looks like this beefy one might just be clipping the south and east of the city - traffic cams from Straiton to Sherrifhall/Craighall tells the story.

    No complaints, it all adds to the city-wide cover and the eastern side has had to take the brunt of any north-sea (ahem) "warming" in the cold spell.

    Not tonight though ... sledging in the Pans tomorrow I think !

    Sledge at the ready right enough by-tor. Not enough snow to get a decent use but hopefully we can keep what we have now until the bigger stuff comes in Tuesday onwards, that would be a first for Viva la Pans, the 4 degrees we have seen here over the past week is positivily tropical by current standards is it not :)

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