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Rob

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Posts posted by Rob

  1. I am trying to be realistic and understand that we may not get what is predicited but it's pretty hard when you look at some of these charts. BBC News 24 weather has just shown what looked like some snow showers down our way for Friday night.

    As I'm aware we are expecting light snow showers overnight, giving no more than a dusting for much, which the radar is currently reflecting, so i'm confused as to what you are expecting?

  2. Posted Yesterday, 15:42

    Well I for one sure hope we get a better winter than last year.

    By that I am obviously only talking about January and February.

    Apart from the first few days of January and a couple at the end

    plus the last day of February the 850 -5 isotherm was no where

    to be seen over the majority of england and wales apart from a

    brief flirtation with kent around the 20-22nd of the month.

    The general public that I have come into contact with also agreed

    that from the turn of the new year onwards there was no winter

    unless you count a little sleet on the 7th of January.

    The CET for the 2010/2011 winter is another example to me anyway

    of how the CET can skew your idea of how certain seasons panned out.

    I would however stick my neck out even this early in the autumn

    to say that so long as we do not see the sun ramp up for a prolonged

    period of time then a big winter ( severe perhaps) could very well be

    on the cards with a very negative NAO and AO towards end of November

    through December,January and even well into February.

    You really sticking your neck out with that forecast! Hope it doesn't come back to bite you!

  3. My averages were:

    December: 1.4c

    January: 5.4c

    February: 7.3c

    So pretty much in tune with SP1986, December being way below average however February brought the season average right up, hense why people are saying it was a mild winter, however if you look back in detail it really wasn't!

  4. Can i ask a question please ,i am a complete novice when it comes to the weather so if this questions seems stupid i apologise now lol.By any chance could this storm still change track? or is it set in stone now as to where she will hit ?

    Never say never, as we all know the weather can suprise us, but it's about 95% certain now that this is going to track toward the UK

  5. Not related to Katia but today I have already recorded a sustained wind speed of 25 mph, which is actually what the forecast speed for Monday was.

    I've recorded 31mph here, I wouldn't pay much attention to the model based forecast speeds, most seem to be underplaying just how powerful this storm really is, I think the Met Office are on the right tracks with their forecast warnings.

    i thought we got 60 mph gusts! it was pretty windy that day anyway :s

    Perhaps along the extreme south coasts but definately no further inland!

  6. Well I'm too old and ratty to care if I'm doomed really - but has the current stopped or changed or moved or anything at all? nea.gif

    I think there has been suggestions that the gulf stream has infact slowed, but whether there's any scientific proof behind it to verify this, I don't know.

  7. Weather Report for Maidstone, Kent, United Kingdom

    Date: 11 September 2011

    Time: 13:14

    Current Weather

    Partly Cloudy

    Observations

    Temp: 20.4°c

    Feels: 20.4°c

    Dew Point: 4°c

    Pressure: 1006.0mb

    Visibility: 10km

    Cloud Cover: Few

    Humidity: 33%

    Rain Today: 0mm

    Current Snow Depth: N/A

    Wind: 10mph from the WSW

    Gust: 20mph

    UV: 5 out of 10

    Station Forecast: Stormy

  8. I don't see the reasoning behind extending the warning to the North Midlands, unless it's for rain?

    Certainly the orange in Southern Scotland and not Northern Scotland, it probably down to the effect it will have on a larger population, rather than a more southerly track.

    Certainly though I think in reality a warning is only really warranted north of Cumbria. But then again who am I to talk, I am afterall not the professional forecaster

    Seeing as the warning is for wind, I doubt it's for rain somehow....

    I can see exactly why the Met Office have extended the warning, the models are showing potential for gusts up 70mph or even 80mph in some exposed spots in these parts, well within weather warning criteria I believe.

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