Yozzer

Yes, by the look of 0z, track has shifted very very slightly to west, so a bit worried about amount of rain falling onto snowpack in New England, which together with possible ice damming in rivers could cause some major flooding.

Yes, looks like the Mid-west gets a brief cold shot in time for your trip...enjoy!Still think GFS is pushing the storm later in the week a bit too far offshore, time will tell. If it goes up the immediate eastern seaboard I think this will be the best one of the season.

WF, What are your views on the storm being progged for the east coast late next week? Depending on the track, NYC could get a fair dump out of it. PS, Dalton in NH, where I have my vacation home got down to -34C this morning!!

News is that records are being broken in many areas of US and Canada for snowfall this winter, despite fact it has not been (relatively speaking) particularly cold. For instance, Concord in NH, about an hour north of Boston has had over 96" of snow since 1st Dec, beating all records going back to the 19th Century!March about to start on a snowy note as well with an Alberta clipper pepping up as it reaches the coast, 6-12" should keep Northern New England under the firm grip of winter for a while longer!

Latest storm approaching North East US from Ohio Valley expected to dump a foot or so on N New England, maybe 18" or so through Northern Maine. High amounts not due to intensity of snowfall, more due to length of event. High winds on the tail of the storm likely to cause some drifting too, so not great travelling conditions. Expect some snowfall in NB, but probably a changeover to sleet/rain will keep amounts from being too excessive.

Station down the road from Dalton here in NH has recorded 81" so far this season just 3" short of entire total last season, despite a very dry January. Feb/Mar usually bring greatest chance of big storms in New England (Valentines day storm last year dumped 2 feet!), so that total will be shattered. Storm this weekend will bring mostly rain even to northern New England as warm moist air is drawn up from way south/east, so we might have to wait a few days before we reach last year's total. As you say, the storm will give blizzard conditions in your neck of the woods so take care on the roads!

Temperature at Whitefield NH (just up the road from my place) fell to -30C last night! Storm approaching from the Ohio valley looks like it will pull in quite a bit of moisture and warming which will overrun this very cold air producing fairly significant falls of snow, up to a foot. What concerns me most though, as an absentee, is the potential for this to change over to a period of freezing rain with the risk of downed power lines etc.

Not sure of your location in NB, but Brett Anderson has posted some estimates of what you can expect from this storm, obviously depending on its exact track. There is considerable doubt on this, as 50 miles east or west could make a huge difference.Fredericton, NB....10-15 cm of snow Wed, then possible sleet or freezing rain Wednesday evening. Saint John, NB.....10-15 cm of mod/hvy snow early Wed, then sleet Wed afternoon followed by ice or rain by eve. Moncton, NB....10-15 cm of snow followed by sleet Wed aft. then ice and rain by eve. Yarmouth, NS....3-8 cm of snow early Wed. morning then sleet and then rain by afternoon

Hi WF, Check out Accuweather and Brett Anderson's look at the LR euro model for N America. Looks like you could get your winter started properly in a week or two's time as the jet stream moves further south.

Sorry, when I saw the thread title I was expecting something else completely...I'll go now!

Threat of more severe weather now over Maryland and Virginia with temps there 20+ and dew points 15+, air very unstable with threat of thunderstorms, very large hail and tornadoes. The east is certainly not out of the woods yet. Seen some of the devastation in Kentucky and Arkansas, can't really imagine what those unfortunate folk went through, my heart goes out to them. Very sad.

Well, my little house in the great north woods of New Hampshire is currently getting buried again after a (relatively) benign January. Up to a foot of snow is expected over Northern New England by the end of Weds night, with a number of storms progged for the following week or so, and an arctic airmass arriving this weekend and temps below -20. Looks like the gopher was right!!

The exact origin of its name is unknown, though there are at least six possible explanations of why it became the "Black" Isle, ranging from the most intriguing, through its association with witchcraft and the black arts in mediaeval times, to the more prosaic, that the soil here is very black, or that it has so many trees that it looks black when viewed from surrounding areas in Winter. From my personal experience, there are many days of lying snow on the Black Isle in an average winter, not so much though at the coast. I really don't think anywhere in Scotland would qualify for the UK's most snowless area as in Winter anything coming from the West right through to the South-East has the potential to bring snow showers, even to outposts such as St. Kilda. For that title you would need to be way South and West.

Hi Debs, Just watching BBC news 24 and noticed they had the pic you took of your ditched car! Royalties will follow...but don't hold your breath!

Just looking at the weak low coming from Great lakes and firing off another development off New England coast. Not much been mentioned about this one, Accuweather calling it a nuisance, but I feel it may produce a bit more than that, wouldn't be surprised to see 6-12" in some parts of central and northern New england due to slow movement of precipitation bands.

Just a holiday home. May spend more time across there in the future. Looked at green card, would not qualify unless I won lottery or went on (very long) waiting list!! Hoping GFS wrong and it doesn't rain there for our arrival. Looks as though it might, then freeze straight after. In any case, some moderation of temps looks likely there over Xmas.

Chose NH as it is tax free. Must admit the current strength of pound v dollar and weak US house prices helped make the decision! House has 400' frontage on to Connecticut river, so looking forward to canoeing in summer too. What made you settle 'over the pond?'

Just spoken to my caretaker guy near Whitefield, NH. About 10" powder fallen, not too much blowing about but wind beginning to pick up now and started snowing again. Looks like the snowmobile trails will be in good shape by the time we arrive.

Just checked latest radar and webcams. Small(ish) area of mixed ppn S NY state looking quite fragmented now. Cold air hanging on in S New England as I thought, Boston currently -1 and heavy wet snow accumulating. Check out www.hazecam.netNew England webcams. Burlington is getting buried!

Secondary low now deepening rapidly. The ppn so far has merely been the precursor, as this warm moisture laden air moves up the coast of S New England later the heavens will open. Would not be surprised to see rates in some areas of 2-3" per hr, especially over the north and mountains. The ski resorts have already had a pretty good start to the season, this will certainly be 'Christmas come early!'

Going there over Xmas/New Year so looking forward to a decent white Xmas for once. Roof is metal, so avoids snow build up by allowing heat to melt the bottom of the snow pack, allowing it to slide off...or so I've been told! Latest GFS running a succession of storms up the Eastern Seaboard over next couple of weeks, so looks like I95 areas could get 'lucky' soon.

I was not referring to the change to rain in S. New England, rather the area of intense ppn being slightly more to the east than is currently progged, i.e. N/E NY State,N Vermont/N. NH, N & WCent Maine, as well as Eastern Quebec. The models seem to be having difficulty with the cold air damming east of the Appalachians just now. Jury will return its verdict Mon am...

Recently bought ourselves a holiday home in Northern New Hampshire, Dalton in South Coos County. Temp there at present -14, dew point -21. Looking at the current situation, I think too much faith is being vested in the models bringing the storm too far west. I feel things may change quickly overnight so the area at most risk is shunted very slightly further east, away from west /central Quebec and into eastern Quebec and northern New England (but not the immediate coast). The reason is I think the temperature gradients are steeper than the models are currently showing, allowing a rapid deepening of the storm slightly further east than currently progged, but I would be pleased to hear of any thoughts on this. ps, I have asked our caretaker guy to turn up the heating to keep the snow from building up on the roof!!

Sorry, no. I have one of those mobile phones that only make phone calls!! Not going that route for another couple of weeks, so prob won't see it again til Autumn. I wonder if the webcam is back on line?