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mulzy

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    Model Output Discussion October 2012

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted · Edited by mulzy

    With regards to the reliability of the various GFS runs, would be very interesting to see the anomaly correlation for days 6,7,8. The day 5 anomaly correlation seems to suggest negligible differences in the verification between the various runs.

    We can all cherry pick examples to prove a particular point, but I think these verification charts should take some of the subjectivity out of the debate.

    My two pence and probably time to move on from this discussion....

    Edit: Just seen the reply from Chio with regards stats from days 8-10.

    South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - July 20th 2012>

    in Regional

    Posted · Edited by mulzy

    Am I the only miserable grump that finds this weather too hot? Kids are grumpy, everyone short tempered and now takes 2hours to get 3miles because of the Olympic traffic and stupid tourists who stand in exits to read maps!

    Lol I am old and grumpy, it is lovely to see the sun and be able to go out if I want rather than if it stops raining. It's one extreme to the other 28c possibly wed? And then my met office app showing 18c on Sunday!

    Think ice cold cider tonight and a BBQ will make me feel better! Would have a drink now but kids are here! Anyone for babysitting?!

    Have fun all! smile.pngsmile.png

    I'd rather prefer 28C to 18C - shame that this wonderful weather is expected to breakdown on Friday then back to rubbish (possibly right through to the end of August).

    Enjoy folks, enjoy! Just got back from a two hour lunchbreak, boss not too happy but do I care?

    Model Output Discussion 30/06/2012

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    Hats off to Gfs, it does get a lot of flack,but it has set the trend in recent days! No point fighting online as to which model is best! Anyway back to the models, and lots of heat and humidity for the south in the next week, then the north cental areas, plagued by that cold front...Looks as though some very thundery conditions developing later in the south by Thursday/Friday.....bad.gifgood.gifair_kiss.gif

    What's there to fight about? The ECM is the gold standard as the verification stats show.

    South East England & East Anglia Regional Discussion - July 12th 2012>

    in Regional

    Posted · Edited by mulzy

    I hear that people are already suffering SAD symptoms. Cripes! What are they going to feel like come the depths of winter poor souls. My writing has suffered enough what with the gloomy weather and my moggie dying. sad.png And I've got a writers conference in September. Must stop radar and sky watching. biggrin.png

    HI Keraophile,

    Maybe it's to do with expectations - not sure. I guess in Winter, we know there will be a lack of sunshine, whereas in Summer we expect to see some decent sunny weather. Speaking for myself, this weather is getting me down far more that the gloom of Winter.

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