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mulzy

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    London & The South East Regional Discussion - Part 13

    in Regional

    Posted · Edited by mulzy

    Getting a little heavier but don't believe that all of west London has 2-5cm, it doesn't. 1-2cm at best here and only on favoured surfaces..

    Well on my route A40/A406/A205/A3 - maybe with the exception of Kew which has a dusting. Definately 4-5cm in Harrow and 2-3cm here if not more.

    Snow easing off now.

    0.1c

    Significant Snow Risk This Weekend - General Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I think all this talk about rain is nonsense tbh

    We are likley to see a snow event proceeded by rain for western england also northwestern areas where the milder air will mix out the cold air eventually.

    Southern and eastern england in my mind will see a snow only event with inland areas away from the extreme coasts a given. Remember that the forcast states cold hanging on in east and south esat england even after the event has passed .

    Nonsense it may be but I'm only reflecting what the latest models are indicating....

    London And The South East Regional Discussion Thread - Part 3

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by mulzy

    I don't like the talk in the model thread about the west taking our snow. <_< I am hoping they are wrong and we get a good old snow battleground over us for once in a blue moon.

    Thanks for the update Yamkin I will talk that as good news though as i am east of you so it should hit me first then make it's way to you if the wind is in the right direction. lol But then if that snow is from the front then I will get nowt

    Snow Queen One - It will hit Yamkin first and then move East towards you.

    Still a hard one to call - we probably wouldn't know the extent of any potential snow till Friday evening (referring to the fronal snow here - there are snow showers expected over the next 48 hours as well)

    -1.1c / -8.5c DP

    Model Discussion January 18th

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted · Edited by mulzy

    IMO the UKMO T120 NH chart looks great for cold prospects

    post-115-0-01752500-1326904696_thumb.gif

    But then the ridge gets battered out of the way at T144, still that monster low at T144 looks like it could move SE to me if it were to verify, big big big if past T120

    That monster low also appears on the NOGAPS and GEM tonight at 144h - not a good sign at all

    very quiet in here tonight - that speaks volumes.

    Model Discussion - 16th January

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted · Edited by mulzy

    May not be particularly on-topic but the MetOffice 16-30 day forecast has been updated:

    "The forecast for the first half of February is very uncertain. As with the day 6 to 15 forecast, there appear to be two main scenarios, each equally probable, but which are very different. It is also fairly likely that the prevailing weather type at the end of January will continue into February. The first scenario consists of a changeable westerly or southwesterly type, with rain at times (amounts greatest in the west), and with temperatures noticeably above average for early February, with only occasional frosts. The alternative scenario is that very much colder weather, with winds from an easterly or northeasterly quarter, will prevail well into February, bringing widespread frosts, and snow to some areas. In this scenario it would be the east that was most vulnerable to snowfall"

    Seems like there is a slightly less than 50% chance of cold weather in early February - ties in with some of the ensemble model output I guess....

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