SnowJoke
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Posts posted by SnowJoke
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Torrential rain falling here now, no thunder as of yet though
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Very large convective drops of rain falling in the center of MK now, sky filling in with dark clouds... Have this feeling it's going to go bang within the hour
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Got woken around 4:30 am by some torrential rain hammering against the window, but nothing electrical in nature. Today does look very good for thunderstorms around the south Midlands and south east, anywhere north and east from Wiltshire up to Lincolnshire later this afternoon and evening looks to be in a prime location for some very strong storms. Charts and model outputs look really good with large amounts of mid and surface based cape, as well as some strong shear later this afternoon. Wouldn't be surprised to see a couple of low topped super cells, or large hail producing storms today.
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Sporadic large convective drops of rain been falling in the center of mk for ten minutes or so, eerily calm wind wise, really feels like it is going to do something soon even have that musty smell in the air that normally accompanies a thunderstorm.
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Just started raining heavily in MK, sky is dark so hoping to hear a nice rumble soon....
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Sky turning very dar here again as it has on and off all afternoon. Been some amazing looking undulatus formations with the odd congestus billowing up between any gaps. Feels and looks ripe out there for a storm but as of yet diddly squat,,
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Nice sky here in mk now, large patches of alto cumulus castellanus with very dark bases, looks like it's trying to developing into a storm winds got very gusty and swirling around
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What is that lightning app called?
Links here mate, it's run by meteo group BV - http://www.meteoradar.co.uk/lightning/LightningApp
You can set alarm to go off even a night and wake you if your dedicated
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Not sure if it was anomalous or not but my lightning app on the iPhone just went off saying there was a strike within 10KM radius of Milton Keynes, can anyone confirm, can't see anything on the sferic plotter.
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Hopefully today will be better than yesterday storm wise around here, was looking forward to being woken up during the early hours by that huge mass in France, but alas not a single rumble, just a light bit of rain around 7 am this morning. Sky is beginning to clear now with some good gaps and the temperature is climbing, humidity levels also feel a lot higher today, currently it's like sitting in the jungle. Popped out to the shops a while back for some smokes and the clouds were interesting, cirro-stratus with alto cumulus undulatus underneath, showing signs of instability in the mid levels.
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Fingers crossed, Think I may get an early night as that enormous MCS over France looks like it'll head up here in the early hours, catch a few winks before it goes bang and wakes me up, lightning app primed to set of phone alarm at 10KM notice
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Keeping an eye on the cells popping up around belgium & france, looks likely they'll cross the channel through kent & east sussex, then london onto the south midlands during the late evening if they hold together,
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Some rapid cumulus development in the area some if which are beginning to tower up, looks like the cap is close to breaking as temp here is sitting at 25.4'c
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Kids don't half say the funniest things. My mates little boy gets excited about thunderstorms as we've let him come outside and watch with us since he was 3 or 4 years old he's 6 now. I told him yesterday we might get some big storms this week. So he wouldn't go to bed until my friend phoned and he spoke to me, just asked about 20 mins ago if I could ask the weatherman on the telly if he could have a thunderstorm, but he didn't want any tornado's like they have in america because he didn't want his playstation 3 blowing away.... I said i'll see what I could do and to go to bed or we wouldn't get anything.... PMSL
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Ok, to say what I thought and asked about earlier, there seems to be no action whatsoever in the English Channel, yet. Still the BBC and the Met Office showing much action tonight if anything.
It's because thunderstorms can form very quickly within an hour, plus what you and the BBC are expecting during the early hours will be high based storms, and will not occur unless the theta plume is destabilised sufficiently to propagate showers. Any showers which do form will be feeding from MLCAPE, hence it's still early on in any thundery event and 5am is almost 8 hours away, a long time for anything to get going....
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Showers have started to form across the channel now.
The sharp returns in the channel that look like showers are anaprop.
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Lovely sunny day here in MK, the odd fair weather cumulus springing up now and then, temperature is hovering around 20'c in the shade at 12:30 so a few more degrees to go by mid afternoon, might hit that 25'c today. More beer and BBQ food needed
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I feel people are reading to much into the -Li and surface based CAPE charts as regards to storms. With the advection of warm moist air [Theta Plume] what needs to be watched is the MLCAPE values as any storms that form overnight will be high based, or start of as surface based over the continent during daylight hours forming MCS's and move north overnight becoming elevated and being sustained by the theta energy. Im not ruling out surface based home grown storms, but these will all likely be very close to the weather front stalling over the west, and then they will be dependant on any cloud cover clearing allowing insolation during daylight hours.
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Few small cumulus clouds developed this afternoon as the temperature hit 24'c in the shade. Only just come in from being in the garden all day, sat in the sun drinking a few beers and had an epic BBQ this evening, feel so bloated now though after eating burgers, hot dogs,spare ribs etc
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Pretty sure no storms are forecast for MK today, but it's jusy hit 20'c outside and some of the fluffy cumulus that were floating about are growing very large with low very dark bases. It feels very humid and looks thundery outside at the minute.
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Looking very exciting next week as regards storm potential. A few possible thunderstorms over the weekend if temperatures can break the cap aided by any wind convergence zones. Next week dare I say it looks good for some overnight MCS development pushing up from the continent on a warm humid south easterly wind. If the residual cloud from any MCS clears there is also a chance of home grown storms during daylight hours.... Time to check my camera and HD camcorder me thinks in anticipation
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Thing about this though, is that the steering winds look to have more of a southeasterly component, so a good chance of some possible MCS's drifting up the East Coast
I wouldn't even mention MCS imports, the last couple of years have seen residual cloud and general clagg from European MCS's completely mess up storm development over the UK even though the charts showed great potential.
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Brilliant thunderstorm to the north of Bedfordshire this evening, Sky went very dark around 8:30 and started rumbling. Left work early and drove to the nearest hill, first night time light show i have seen since those massive imports last summer! I have high hopes for all us storm fans this summer, its going to be our year!
While 10 Miles away in MK we got nowt, we usually do quite well for storms but I have that horrible gut feeling this year is going to be a duff one. Apart from that heavy squall in January and three passing rumbles, everything else has missed by a few miles every time.
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Torrential rain & pea sized hail falling for the last 10 minutes in MK from a huge CB with a very long out stretched anvil, but sadly no lightning & thunder at all which has supprised me totally as it's gaining strength all the time.....
Convective / Storm Discussion - 21st May 2014 onwards
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Just heard a long deep rumble of thunder coming from the east of MK near Bedford way.