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Everything posted by Paul_1978
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Paul_1978 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Perhaps a renewed bout of amplification in the latter stages of the ECM - a bit of a northerly at the end. Something to hang our hats on as we enter winter. (Remembering as of today it is actually still autumn). -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Paul_1978 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I nearly didn’t even bother looking at the charts this afternoon. My initial thought…. For God’s sake GFS….. DON’T DO THIS TO US!! Is the next chase on already?! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Paul_1978 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You’re not really new here are you?! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Paul_1978 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No, most people just wait for the run to complete. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Paul_1978 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Where can we find your blog? -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Paul_1978 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Add “Sceuro” and “Griceland”. -
Met Office and BBC Weekly/Monthly Outlooks
Paul_1978 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
New blog issued Friday lunchtime. Lots of talk of hill snow and seemingly not much at lower levels: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2023/cold-spells-to-come See also this accompanying graphic: -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Paul_1978 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Usually on the Met Office website! They update the medium term outlook every day. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Paul_1978 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Enjoy your input, and whilst we don't necessarily all agree with one another, we have a common interest with most of us looking for a bit of the white stuff. I wondered what "Met4Cast" is - are you a company or organisation, or are you posting in a personal capacity? -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Paul_1978 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
According to his profile he hasn't logged on Netweather for over 3 years since October 2020 so I guess not. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Paul_1978 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Great chart, but is it 3-4 weeks too early? -
Can’t edit my post. I of course meant wet start!
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After a west start here in Wakefield, we have a dry and sunny spell, albeit a bit breezy. I've managed to get my washing out on the line! But will have to bring it in before 12:00/12:30 I think as it looks wet this afternoon.
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Quite unusual for it to form literally just off the SW coast of Ireland I think.
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Indeed, the first I heard of it was when the warning came up on my phone this morning, but admittedly I haven’t been keeping my eye on the models for a few days. Looks like the GFS is looking for another storm on Weds into Thurs, but the ECM doesn’t want to know at the minute.
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Paul_1978 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
“Bomb cyclone”….. I really don’t like it when people and even some meterorologists use terms like that. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Paul_1978 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It looks like most of the UK will be affected, and for at least 48 hours. GFS has a further deep low into the following weekend. Looks like a nasty low (or two!), and some rough weather ahead. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Paul_1978 replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks more like an Omega block to me. When people say “wedge” I imagine something a lot thinner than that. -
The Remarkable Snowfalls Of October 1836
Paul_1978 replied to Weather-history's topic in Historic Weather
Love the style of journalism - much different (and preferable) to today's style of writing. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Paul_1978 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
OK for what? -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Paul_1978 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes, but an El Nino can lead to colder than average weather in the UK, so we have conflicting drivers here. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Paul_1978 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I work in Leeds City Centre and there’s some great real ale pubs, particularly Whitelocks and The Angel Inn. As regards the weather, last night was the most uncomfortable night’s sleep I’ve had in a long time. Looking forward to the less warm weather, although I have to say the ECM and GFS look poles apart this morning. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Paul_1978 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Tip for you - ignore what the "media" are reporting, and stick to trusted sources who actually specialise in the weather, and do not specialise in headline grabbing.