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Everything posted by rdt123
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Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
rdt123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like around 50/50 spit in the models between the return to something less harsh or the potential for something even harsher. Was surprised to see the high sink on the ecm. Really fascinating at the minute -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
rdt123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yeah I suppose in the last 15 years on the forums the main message has been get the cold here and then see. All the 12z models show DP and 850s well into the territory of snow I think it’ll come down to the usual. Interestingly there are certain places that even within this region consistently do well -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
rdt123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Doesn’t seem to show any shower activity inland which doesn’t seem plausible -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
rdt123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Can anyone shed some light on this ? When I look at the 12z uppers from Sunday onwards look to be quite severe for the north east. I’d also expect quite a lot of activity from the North Sea in the stuff easterly breeze. In anticipation I have had a look at the met office forecast for Stockton on tees and it shows mainly light sleet showers ? How can that possibly be right ? Which model is producing that output ? rob -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
rdt123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
i love the 6z - after 15 years on here its amazing to see something this rare actually happen - id have preferred next year though - going to make a serious mess of the vaccine rollout - may set us back over a week -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
rdt123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
06z looks really interesting for anywhere in the east. Looks like days of radar watching. With little thaw the whole of eastern England could see a gradual build up much like 2018 where we had no frontal activity but 6 inches after a few days of showers. Charts like these but not in FI? Eh?