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mackerel sky

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Everything posted by mackerel sky

  1. mackerel sky
    Had some soft hail and sleet earlier, plunged the temperature down to 3C from 8C in about 15 minutes, then it bounced back to 6C and the sun nearly got out. Next set of showers weren't very heavy, pushed the temperature down to 4C but of the very much wet variety. Currently 3.6C and overcast. If we do get any precipitation of significance, then it will be a lampost watch. Someone is going to get a surprise tonight. Did see snow last week, but I was in Norway.
  2. mackerel sky
    I saw snow on Sunday and on Wednesday... in Oslo.
  3. mackerel sky
    No one can tell me that wind is dying down... it's starting to unnerve me now.
  4. mackerel sky
    Without a doubt the roughest we've had it this winter tonight. A window pane has just blown out of my greenhouse and smashed. A pretty heavy (and full) wheelie bin has shifted a good 30 yards and the contents are all over the back garden now. Joy.
  5. mackerel sky
    They were ones I slotted back in and botched after they blew out after Christmas, but are completely wrecked now! smashed up on my neighbour's garden. I think this is as rough as we've had it to be honest.
  6. mackerel sky
    Pretty windy here, top gust 59 mph. Blown out two fence panels.
  7. mackerel sky
    I've lost two fence panels in the past 20 minutes... looks like next door will have our Whippets in their garden tomorrow morning.
  8. mackerel sky
    Express is a poor mans Daily Mail. But with the weather lies. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5eBT6OSr1TI We had sleet here this morning! Wow Sleet!
  9. mackerel sky
    Only a sleety mixture this morning down here. And that is as good its comes in winter 2013/2014. As I drove into Kettering it almost looked like snow. Bad times.
  10. mackerel sky
    I don't know whether geographically I can come in here,,, Having said that, when I used to commute to Newport Pagnell I crossed three regional boundaries, I started off in the East Midlands (Home), then went into Bedfordshire (East) back into Northants then into Bucks (South). All in a pleasant 17 mile commute.
  11. mackerel sky
    I couldn't care two hoots about Villa. I don't have any feeling for them whatsoever. Don't ever get me started on Leeds United.I think my wife has a cousin who used to play for Blackpool and is now at Birmingham City though. Haven't really been following his progress. He is a starter, number 4 - centre back and Welsh. Scored a couple of goals for Blackpool in the prem, launched one from 30 yards out against Everton. Here - 1.7C, light rain. Nothing to get terribly excited about.
  12. mackerel sky
    It still appears to be raining, despite a temperature of 1.7C. Not even a sniff of sleet.
  13. mackerel sky
    Ensembles are a crock of rubbish. That takes us up until almost mid February. I saw... sleet for 10 minutes this morning. The first wintery precipitation seen since late March 2013. That snow lasted for weeks. Ten minutes of sleet, in a whole winter.
  14. mackerel sky
    Cold rain with the chance of sleet at best just doesn't float my boat. Nothing on the horizon, ensembles don't support much other than westerlies resuming after Friday. Sad, but I think i'm throwing in the towel now.
  15. mackerel sky
    I was just looking through the chart archive for early February 2009. If you can't remember the first two weeks of February 2009 then at face value they don't look that remarkable. Up until then it was a snow free winter for the bulk of lowland UK. But under what can only be described as ;marginal' conditions we had 2 weeks continuous snow cover, despite no -10 uppers ever covering the UK. Once we had a dump of 8 inches, it was thawing temporarily, but then another dump came etc (one came despite uppers of -2C!). If there had been no thawing, I worked out we would have had 22 inches of snow in that fortnight. At the most we had 11 inches level, and quite a history of freeze-thaw in the snow, when we digged out on the Sunday and thought we should go back to work (all the schools closed on the thursday and friday - infact I worked from home half arsed, and it was a delight to see parents having the most amount of fun possible with their kids, before retiring to pubs in the afternoon - I also think my son was conceived then, and he is four now...). At the bottom of the layer was basically 2 inches of sheet ice, like window panes, then a heavily compacted layer of 4 inches, plus 5 of nice snow on top, when the digging out commenced. Back to the models... someone mentioned that the 528 DAM line on the FAX charts was down to the south coast, and we have low thickness values pretty much all next week. I can't contribute a lot to serious model discussion, though I used to - i've just watched things play out from 12 years of model watching here and look for analogues and what was actually born out in terms of the real weather (and 12 years is as good as it gets, check out my member number). We can talk about percentages, but I would say the ensemble support is such that with 75% confidence we should be rather excited. It isn't going to be classical cold, but with opportunities for surprise dumpings for anywhere, and that review of the early February 2009 charts fills me with glee in relation to what might come. Mods - please feel to remove elsewhere if you don't think suitable for serious discussion.
  16. mackerel sky
    But surely out of the reliable ensemble window, once the cold has left Scandinavia and we are back into default mode. We aren't going to get an easterly. Not this month. If you look at the ensembles for Berlin... nothing particularly cold is a shoe in there? I love a ramp, but there is nothing I can see on the horizon for the next 10-14 days.Give it up.
  17. mackerel sky
    Some Mammatus cloud just passed overhead, think the shower passing to the south must have some pretty impressive downdraughts associated with it. These showers look like they are dragging some cold air down to the surface - Dunkeswell in the south west was reporting rain/snow at 3C despite uppers being -1C!
  18. mackerel sky
    Groundhog day again. Zonality might get a little colder I suppose to deliver some winteryness in the west away from high ground as we enter FI. If we see the milder sectors squeezed into greens then I'm sure the Scottish Ski centres will have a fabulous season. Not much in the way for eastern parts of England as it stands, even in FI. Today was the first day this winter some frost persisted in the shade all day. And its nearly January. Piffle. Bloody weeds are still growing.
  19. mackerel sky
    Well the weather really has taken the jaffa cakes today literally. 20 miles west and it was dry. 40 miles east it was dry. Just as it looked like drying out it came again. Stuck under a N-S conveyor belt of wet. Bah.
  20. mackerel sky
    Other than a few spits and spots mostly dry here, but disappointingly overcast since mid-afternoon. It got up to 26C at 1pm, then fell to 22C by 3pm under the cloud. Could have been a very warm late August day otherwise. Something would have to come alive on the radar, and I can't see it. BBQ on tomorrow I reckon. Models and forecasts have struggled with this, nowcast says to me it might be mostly dry tomorrow afternoon. Still potential for convergence, sitting over Coventry - but nothing happening. If in the morning the winds are westerly and its dry, I think the BBQ is on!
  21. mackerel sky
    Earlier on ~ 7pm when we had the 50p splodges of rain on and off I was very optimistic. That stopped and we had basic rain. However we got away with a rather nice day, stupidly humid of course. And we might get a decent day tomorrow.
  22. mackerel sky
    Dry here now. 4mm rainfall in total. Didn't warrant the hype. Maybes 100 strikes in total, concentrated around the Derby area. In fairness, the GFS progged rainfall had about 12mm. Only the 'experts' were gunning for more.
  23. mackerel sky
    From Kinder Scout? It will be wet over the Pennines tonight, but outside of that... unexceptional.
  24. mackerel sky
    The 24hr precipitation accumulation charts posted yesterday had parts of Dorset under a stupid amount. 10mm at best?
  25. mackerel sky
    Its moving pretty quick, so I doubt it. The dregs might stall over the far parts Northern England and into southern Scotland. I doubt anywhere will see more than about 15mm out of this shambles.
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