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Posts posted by frozen_north
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Well I think the that the main reason that Svalbard has heated up is because the cold air has moved into Canada round about Hudson Bay.
If you look at the time when Svalbard was way below average Hudson Bay was way above average.
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Take most of Metchecks automated crap with a pinch of salt. You should be able to interpret the charts yourself and have an idea of the weather that way than Met checks "interesting" forecasts.
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Hello,
Is there a standard ratio for how many inches of snow it takes to equal 1 inch of rain??? I am trying to prepare for winter up hear in Canada and would like to know how I can measure the snow using my Oregon Scientific WMR-968 rain guage. In that case, is there any way of measuring snow period???
Please give me some tips when it comes to measuring snow.
Thanks,
Doug
Its widely accepted that 1mm of rain will be about 1cm of snow. So I guess that 1 inch of rain wil equal 10 inches of snow.
To measure the snow you would catch it in the rain gauge just like rain but then you would melt it down. When melted you would measure it with the rain gauge and that will give you the rain equivalent to how much snow fell.
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That's not near Lesta is it? I've been trying to pin that place down.
Lesta stays in Leicester. The HQ's of the rampers.
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The sensors in Glasgow are picking up snow ramping for Wednesday and Thursday all the way from Barlbrough. Keep watch for lastest developments.
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The ramping on the model discussion thread is getting out of control. I have heard reports that SACRA have been getting their members to ramp up the snow and cold.
The main rampers on the board for the past week have been Lesta who stays in Lesta. There is also Conor123 who still wouldnt be happy if the "Day after Tomorow" came true.
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Hudson Bay in Canada is starting to cool down with SST returning to normal on the West side of the sea however the East side still remains extremely warm for the time of year with SST's of over 4C above normal. There will be continued limited ice growth in the Bay over the next 7 days. The problem is also that the Ice from the North hasnt even reached the North side of the Bay which is very unusual for the time of year.
Most of the Cold air in the coming Week will be focused over Alaska and pretty much the whole of Russia East of the Ural mountains. Sibera is cooling down nicely.
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Well untill Hudson Bay in canada starts to freeze over there arent going to be any large increases in the amount of sea ice in the near future. The re-formation of sea ice in Hudson bay is probably going to be very late this year even though it is late already. The problem is the warm anomolies and that the cold air has been mostly on the Russian side of the Artic so far this season which has prevented the cooling of the sea taking place.
Looking ahead there is going to be limited ice development in the next couple of days as mild air moves up from the South of Canada, although the Western side of the Bay will still be in relatively cold air. I suspect this year will be another year for all those GW people to shout about the late development of sea ice in Hudson Bay and that the Polar bears are suffering.
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How did the last ice age suddenly end. There wasnt any emissions from humans back then was there. So how are humans the cause now. The climate changes over time. It is never static.
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Oviously i cannot give out an official warning, as that is left to Strattos Ferric, but given his absence, i am putting out a level 1 alert unoficially.
Ramping is to be expected all over Scotland, extending as far south as Carlisle, expect ramping over the next few days with the possibility of ramping extending into the West Midlands. Ramping levels are expected to increase over the next few days and are already bordering on level 2. Should Pete Tattum not be burried under several inches of snow, he and several others should be placed under quarantine in the Rampton hospital as will several others.
Ramping is very contagious and spreads fast, please take care when entering the model discussion zone.
I'll second that motion.
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Level 1 or 2 ramping is beggining to happen in the General Discussion thread about some snow later this week. It is currently being ramped the most by lesta.
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I never really understood the Glasgow ramping tonight. But as we get into Winter and the GFS throws up those crazy charts we need to be aware. Especially as the forum is now getting busier for winter.
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Mr Data what was the cause of the really mild temperatures.
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Well it did look like after a quite start to the season that it would pick up in September. Well we got 5 hurricanes in September none of them particulary powerful and then it just died. We've had nothing since the start of October things are starting to wind down now. Although there is another month left of the hurricane season so we could get something but its looking doubtful now.
Last year it seemed that everyday had something to do with GW and how active the hurricane season was. This year when we have hardly any the GW people have all gone quiet.
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I bet they were all blaming GW back in 1834 after that January. A CET of 7.1C. Thats hot.
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Yes for me I dont mind if the cold keeps building up North till December or january. Because if it does come our way its going to be very cold.
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I have to say that is an amazing picture. Its almost surreal. You know that it is a real photo but part of you cant believe that it is. Its a photo taken millions of miles away from the earth and potrays Saturn in such beauty.
But the image that gets me most is of earth. That everything contained on earth: cultures, religions, people, animals. Are nothing more than a few pixels accross at this scale.
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Carinthian what has caused the sudden drop in Sea ice in the Artic. I thought that Sea ice normally grows at the fastest rate now so how has it had a large drop.
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Many thanks for the reply - won't tell the children though can't stand the sad faces!
Here's hoping for a turnaround in about 2 weeks time
Its still far too early too tell what the weather will be like in 2 weeks time but there is a chance that there will be snow. But dont get your childrens hopes up.
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Looking at those charts its amazing to think the max temperature in Glasgow only reached -13C when upper air temperatures are at a relativly balmy -8C. Thats some temperature inversion.
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cant wait for the winter with all this talk off a cold one but i hate this boring time off year nothing intersting ever happens except for yesterday. :blink:
Be patient the British climate is notorious for let downs. Also anytime of the year is exciting and dont become a cold ramper by looking at the charts 200h+ and thinking its going to snow.
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Thats going to be an excellent tool for cold/snow rampers.
Scenario - Its November and the model shows easterlies for the whole of february and really cold temperatures. The rampers are going to go crazy.
It will be interesting to see the charts though. Especially in FI land e.g. 180-384h to see how it compares to the gfs at this range.
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The leaves here are starting to rapidly turn brown in within the past 2 days. The cooler weather to come should help make the place look more Autumnal.
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What makes a record breaking month? Well one which has consistent high maximums and high minimums. September 06 had both of those. Having temperatures 2.5C above average throughout the whole month is pretty unusual. We just havent had a cool day in September. Temperatures peaking at 28C on the 21st is unusual again but can happen relativly easily if the synoptics are right. September may have been warm but who is to say October isnt going to be cool.
SATSIGS
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Ive tried to calm it down. But most of the activity is coming from the Teeside area and North England.