irish1
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Posts posted by irish1
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Interesting insight into UKMO 6-10
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A second warming event also showing on GFS I see!
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Then the 06z goes and flips back! From IMBY point of view Ireland is looking rather dry still and while the UK might see heat and thunderstorms Ireland looks to miss out on both.
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36 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:
Still just one cluster in the ECM ensembles, so back to figuring it out from the individual ones.
By 18th July, we have about 60% members looking changeable for all, 20% with a north/south split, and 20% fine for all.
By the end of the run at the 21st July, it's rather more evenly spread between more settled / less settled members.
So a reasonable signal for an Atlantic driven period after next weekend, even if just for a few days.
Where is the easiest location to see ECM ensembles ?
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I’m confused by that +120 on ECM low is further south but 850 temps for Ireland are good bit higher. Starting to think this could be a serious event in southeast Ireland
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Well the ECM overnight has the Irish Met Office calling it for here anyway with the Atlantic bursting through beyond Sunday.
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The difference between GFS 6z and 12z at 150 hours is crazy, 1040 back on 12z!
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Big enough shift @ +93 on 12z GFS
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Oh dear oh dear
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Snow in Ulster at lower levels but on higher ground everywhere else imo, this storm track looks very interesting, UKMO keep it south of us but others have it further north bring severe gusts to Southern areas
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Very rare to see any lying Snow from a Westerly, best I can see is brief interludes of -6c uppers with heavily modified air from the Atlantic, I don't buy those GFS charts.
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Ah right. Are those record lows for you then?
Oh god yea, previous record was -7.6c last January
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That's quite impressive. I'm guessing you're at a fairly decent height?
No low lying land, in a frost hollow though
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-16c here at the moment, had -17,7c at 9:10am this morning.
Its a Davis Pro 2 Plus with FARS
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-14.4c at the moment with 6 inches of Snow on the ground.
www.carlowweather.com
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-2.6c here but don't look into FI
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0.4c In carlow with a DP of 0c
Dry and not expecting any showers tonight
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We are still looking to FI for any decent chance of snow and ppl need to remember how much further West we are when reading posts here. It looks cold but not much else at the minute imo
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Showers of wet snow in SE Ireland.
Photos from Monday and Today : http://www.flickr.com/photos/35000228@N06/
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Just had a nice shower of wet snow in Carlow.
Heres some photos from the cold snap : http://www.flickr.com/photos/35000228@N06/
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Snow now falling in the West of Ireland as the front from the Atlantic meets the cold air, reports in Galway and Kerry so far.
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Ok so I have narrowed down my choice to either http://www.ukweathershop.co.uk/acata..._WMR928NX.html or http://www.ukweathershop.co.uk/acata...ES_WS2300.html
There is a big difference in price, I don't mind paying the higher if its worth the difference, I want to put the data on my web-site, Any opinions welcome.
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I hope so Darkman, although I'm meant to drive 60 miles to Finglas at 9am tomorrow, even in a AWD do you think it will be possible?
Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
ECMWF +120 & +144 are the worst tease for Ireland! Wouldn’t take a lot for us to tap into it mind.