Continental Climate

AAAAHHHHHHH!!!! Because of that damn shortwave we end up in a sothwesterly flow http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1321.png!!

haha couldnt make it up, cold below uk cold above it with us in the middle http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1142.png!!

Im happy with this chart http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2012112618/gfsnh-0-96.png?18!! Also happy with the fact that its just going to get colder and more festive feeling and who knows us members on the eastern side might even get a few flurries of snow thrown in if thats all we get from this cold snap then fair enough its still a great start to winter in my book!! Lots to look forward to!!

At least three hundred miles further west i would estimate

ECM pretty ugly at 168 http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1681.gif!!! I wasnt expecting this !! Im still going with UKMO though, we cant even get agreement about friday lol

Im not sure this chart screams of the atlantic being in control http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1441.gif!! Anyway awesome run from the UKMO ive been saying that for two days now!!! because of its tenacity in these situations follow the UKMO as it has been rock solid throughout!! http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm961.gif!! excellent chart http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.gif!! Awesome chart!! There are a few posters on the forum who are on a wind up im sure one posted back that the UKMO was a dreadful run, a clear wind up!! Anyway rant over

Good spot mate its like a devil dog about to destroy the uk with record breaking cold

Some more good news from a coldies perspective there nick the faxes are going to be increasingly important now as we enter the 96 - 120 timeframe!! If the ECM is wrong ( which i believe it is) it is almost unheard of

This is truly epic model watching better than any soap, look at this chart and only at 120 http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1201.png!! Not as good as UKMO but still good. Where now for the ECM!! Do the faxes update tonite?

This is a damn good chart http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1141.png!! There is fight in this cold spell yet!! UKMO leading the charge

If GFS gets to 120 and follows UKMO i will call this as a major wobble by ECM dosent happen frequently but this could be one of those times

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1021.png!1 Squeaky bum time

Im happy with this run now and ive seen enough http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1321.png much better block in the atlantic and pretty much blocks eastward progression of low pressure systems hopefully sending all the energy north westwards instead of barrelling toward us

Yep that is true about the emergy however our northerly/noreaster is now a bit flabby and just meh

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1141.png!! A better run coming up more ridging in the atlantic and the canadian low will head up west greenland ( I hope)

Lots of ugly little shortwaves everywhere http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1021.png!! They are like little gremlins and breed like flies

Just for fun heres the 168 ECM http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1681.gif!! However i am sure everything will be modeled a lot further south in the coming runs and we will be in an easterly flow by 168 thats my gut feeling but all guess work at this stage lets get 96 and 120 nailed first!!!

A good ECM http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1441.gif!! In terms of the ridging to greenie quite similar to the ukmo we only need the arctic high to be a little further south on the ecm and they would be identical!! that tells me all i need to know from tonite look no further than 144 and BACK THE EUROS!!!

Nice chart mate but we need to get 96 and 120 sorted out first thats far from settled at the moment

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm961.gif!! I quite like the way this is heading should be a decent easterly or noreaster by 120!! Either that or the greenie low pressure will crash through (unlikely)

PHEW!!! Steve another cracking chart there mate and the UKMO in my view is the only one with consistency really, its the model is was waiting for and its still onside!!! To be honest its getting to the stage when im not really bothered what the GFS pumps out now, 15:30 is losing menaning for me now its all about 16:30 UKMO and 18:30 ECM

Lets see what the ukmo says a bit later but if it goes down the GFS route ie like the chart above then i think its curtains for the initial easterly i think but after that who knows, so hard in these situations to get agreement

A little underwhelming i must say http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1081.png we seem to have lost the easterly

A couple of days ago on the models we had massive ridging right up to greenland of our atlantic high now barely reaches iceland http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn841.png lol just goes to show in these situations FI really is aboput t96 not saying this is gonna be a rubbish run mind you just commenting

well just when i thought i was getting ok at reading the models i check this thread out and i realise i arent lol!! My initial thought was that all three models looked better than the 12zs of yesterday http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1441.png!! Not brilliant but still pretty good for the time of year and better than yesterday http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1441.gif!! Again not awesome but pretty damn good with all that northern blocking and better than yesterdyas i think!! http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1441.gif!! Saving the best until last and pretty spectacular i think you will all agree I will call the UKMO a definite upgrade!! Why all the despondency i genuinely thought this thread would be buzzing when i checked the models!!! Oh well back to the drawing board for me