Jarrow Posh
Members-
Posts
92 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by Jarrow Posh
-
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Jarrow Posh replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I remember it well TEITS.heaviest snow I've ever seen.Will be interesting to see how well the HRes models do in picking up on the convective showers an possible streamers this time round.All eyes will be on the radar from Saturday PM for me. -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Jarrow Posh replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Jarrow Posh replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You're right,we in the NE normally profit from a strong easterly with plenty of snow showers however,at the moment,there isnt a huge amount being modelled.Im hoping the HRes models will start to pick up on this nearer the time. -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
Jarrow Posh replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think that the media organisations you mention will always hold back with their warnings until it is nailed on.Apps are also notoriously slower updating and imo a waste of time. The MO will be preparing their early warnings but we are talking late Saturday,into Sunday before the majority of the country start to feel the effects of the easterly and it associated risks as highlighted by all the major models now. I know your location well and I'd imagine once the cold comes later this weekend you shouldn't be concerned about a lack of snow showers coming along. Enjoy! -
I agree with those airing their frustrations about this winter. I live 3 miles from the coast and have barely seen any snow on the ground yet Ive only had to travel a further 2 miles inland to see plenty of snow on the ground on a more than a few occasions.Higher than average SSTs to blame I think. I'm hopeful that the lower 850s temps forecast for Saturday onwards will help deliver to all of us up here.
-
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
Jarrow Posh replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
With that set up I would think snow for most from Yorkshire northwards al all levels. -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
Jarrow Posh replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The GFS 18z has 36 hours of snow for the far north of England and southern and central Scotland from Tuesday as the front stalls and then eventually peters out. -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
Jarrow Posh replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That is as good a chart as you could wish for if cold is your thing,just need to get it closer to a more reliable time frame,t72 -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
Jarrow Posh replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I wasnt planning on it lol but i agree,everything is relative and I do look forward to seeing a good old North Sea snowmaker spring up in the models next week -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
Jarrow Posh replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As weve all ready found out to our cost living just 3 miles from the NE coast of England...barely a flake so far this winter! -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
Jarrow Posh replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And the Baltic in particular is far from Baltic! -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
Jarrow Posh replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You are right....Sometimes some charts just dont look "right" and the ECM after 144z certainly falls into that category imo...we may be proven wrong though! -
Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
Jarrow Posh replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A lot is being made of the possible snow in the south on Weds night into Thursday but my eyes couldn't help but notice the larger area of precipitation moving in off the North Sea and covering a large swathe of Northern England shown here on the ICON 18z. -
Still rollng out for me on Meteociel,where can I view it earlier?
-
Or maybe watch the para roll out?
-
Just for fun but P15 post 300z on the latest GFS run is one bitterly cold northerly,imagine the wind chill in that!
-
Wow...what a clap of thunder that was here in Jarrow ?☇☈?.Now heavy snow again
-
Showers certainly look like they are pepping up again
-
Yep,thats' what I've got my eye on,hoping for a direct hit but I think it might go south of me in T&W
-
Yep,thats' what I've got my eye on,hoping for a direct hit but I think it might go south of me in T&W
-
-
These showers off shore are really starting to grow in size and intensity.Due to hit Tyneside during rush hour