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cyclonic happiness

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Everything posted by cyclonic happiness

  1. cyclonic happiness
    Looking more promising this morning. More cold in the runs from the GFS and ECM and meto, I've noticed in the past that protracted spells of gloomy nothingness are followed by good cold spells, the sun has not shone here for at least a week....good sign!
  2. cyclonic happiness
    two words...... 'energy bills'. At least there is that bonus?
  3. cyclonic happiness
    Where is this strong polar vortex? it looks raggedy and it avoiding Greenland like there's no tomorrow. The whole of the runs for the next 12 days look unusual and interesting. I think we will hit the jackpot for cold later next month. Nothing is normal
  4. cyclonic happiness
    If they do have charts we don't have access too, it makes you wonder why we bother at all? If we can't get hold of model data which is fairy accurate, we will always be lead up the garden path and by no fault of our own, regardless of what some people say. We don't just make up that the models are showing a cold and snowy spell, we are shown it by the data.
  5. cyclonic happiness
    or 24 hours in front of the curve? I'm sure something will flip back to cold before long
  6. cyclonic happiness
    We have lost Christmas, but have one sprig of hope in the Met Office extended outlook for January, which is going for colder than average weather, with wintery hazards and also mentions south easterly winds. If we don't get anything, we may as well officially move the months around as March is now a Winter month and November is now a Winter month too. Beggars belief we can get 3" of snow in November, but not December. It always seems mild in December nowadays
  7. cyclonic happiness
    Yep, FI is at 24hrs out atm. There is no super mild weather suggested in the Meto update either, so something has gone a bit squiffy. I'll sit on the fence until maybe the 12z tomorrow and then just get drunk until new year
  8. cyclonic happiness
    This is just as bad as that legendary failed easterly from 2005, only you'd think with the advancements of technology and software, they'd be 'better' at forecasting things, but they seem a lot worse than they were back when I started netweather in 2004, it's getting stupid now. And what of the Met office hinting at colder weather after Christmas, but nothing showing up in any of the models, only Spanish winter plumes. Something has got to give
  9. cyclonic happiness
    This is getting a bit silly now. I mean. you expect FI to flop around like a fish out of water, but it doesn't do U-turns nearer into the 'reliable' like it is at the minute?? So, where are we all thinking FI is now....24hrs? I can't get my head a round the total s**tshow the models are recently, could it be they have less staff due to covid..or working from home or something. This situation is not normal, and I've been watching the models for 18 years now
  10. cyclonic happiness
    I agree with you. I have an almost masochistic desire for it to all go pear shaped at the last minute, just so I can tell myself "I told you so....seee! it's all gone wrong again!"
  11. cyclonic happiness
    Well, at least the States are almost entirely covered in warm anomalies, and we all know that very cold weather in the States causes raging zonality over this side of the pond, so that's a good side going forward. We may just lose out on Christmas day, but thereafter I think a good cold spell is still in the offing
  12. cyclonic happiness
    Now we know this run won't come off. those hurricane-like storms are even more rare than cold spells in the southern UK. I'll hang my hat up on Wednesday morning, but not until. Plenty of time for change, and as we've all seen, there's been a LOT of change in the outputs run to run
  13. cyclonic happiness
    The only thing which worries me about the whole thing, is the total lack of anything beasterly showing up on the long range Meto forecasts. I know they are afraid of getting it wrong and therefore tend to only say it's going to snow around an hour beforehand, but all they've said it that it will be 'a bit below average' nothing about easterly elements?
  14. cyclonic happiness
    I'd imagine the surface temperatures would be very cold under that bloomin' great high, regardless of the uppers. Who knows even an inversion and sub zero day, with freezing fog rime frost.....it would be amazing!! People need to stop worrying about over 10+ days time, and just look forward to what we are about to get too Mind you, what's the bet it'll just be anticyclonic gloom lol?
  15. cyclonic happiness
  16. cyclonic happiness
    Just goes to show that all the wrist slitting in the MOD thread is just blinkered as to what might actually happen
  17. cyclonic happiness
    awoke to a nice dusting of snow again this morning..... beautiful!
  18. cyclonic happiness
    Minus 4.4'c last night here. Would have been more due to the lying snow, but the cloud never broke, so it stayed 'milder'. Looking forward to going hollying in the snow to make holly wreaths for work today
  19. cyclonic happiness
    Heavy snow here still, must be around 2" so far
  20. cyclonic happiness
    Knocking on for an inch here now
  21. cyclonic happiness
    Heavy snow in Bedworth, settling on all surfaces
  22. cyclonic happiness
    It looks great for the next few days folks, we don't really need to worry about that. as for next month, it looks a bit more zonal, but we aren't even in winter yet and are about to get the best weather action in months. chins up!
  23. cyclonic happiness
    This is probably the usual 'pre cold spell wobble' we're all used to. i'll wait until wednesday next week before writing anything off. fingers crossed all!
  24. cyclonic happiness
    can it really be an unsettled but drier than average?
  25. cyclonic happiness
    Big eruption at Mount Etna right now!! :-0 Etna volcano (Italy): violent eruptive episode, parts of SE crater collapse into dangerous pyroclastic flows WWW.VOLCANODISCOVERY.COM News and eruption updates about Etna volcano, Italy
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