Godot

Whoops, sorry. I didn't press control-c hard enough..! That's 1 in 4.

Not to get too far off-topic, but the chance of heads and tails would always be 50/50, independent of the previous results. For example - the chance of getting 5 heads in a row is exactly the same as getting 4 heads and 1 tail : 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 = 0.03125 (1 in 32)

At the moment my preferences are lead mainly by the desire to see Bluetongue stop spreading, ie - the colder the better and preferably two consecutive hard frosts. My two favorites would be snow and thunderstorms, although I haven't seen the former for almost a decade. I'd love to see the excitement on here should a major, widespread snow event occur; the discussion beforehand and the reports when it happens. Being able to photograph snowy landscapes at day and night would also be absolute heaven. Thunderstorms, well, that doesn't really need explanation does it? :lol: Again it's partly reading other people's reports etc online, watching and waiting, and then going out with all my gear to photograph, video and sound record. I don't like mild weather in winter, unless it's really windy. Going out in mild, windy weather is always something of a thrill, and I'd love to record the sounds of it with my new Zoom H4 and specially purchased deadcat. That seems a little unlikely the way things are going. Mild, humid weather is the absolute worst. It's comfortable and my animals really suffer in it.

I finally got to see it tonight. Photos here, here and here.

Another temporary mirror, this time of Frankwell Quay : Friday, before rainfall Latest January 2007 flood, for reference

I've temporarily mirrored some grabs from the Bridgnorth webcam to help people to gauge for themselves how much the river has risen. In sequence - 1 / 2 / 3 / 4 / 5 / 6 / 7 / 8 / 9 And here's one from the floods in January this year for comparison. These will all be deleted in 48 hours. Basically there was a large rise in levels over Friday afternoon and overnight into Saturday, with a much slower but constant creeping up since.

Some very sad footage of some poor woman who'd just raced home from work to find her two cats had drowned at home.

The SEC reported an X1 flare at 0506-0516UT this morning, although it seems to have been 'downgraded' since.

It seems that the sunspot has produced it's first X-class flare (X1) at around 0500UT this morning.

Another M-Class flare has occurred in the last hour, and the culprit is now revealing itself : sunspot area 960 Along with new sunspot area 958 it looks quite impressive. The latest NOAA forecast is worth a read and gives the following probabilities : Class M 60/60/60 Class X 10/10/10

Radio 4's morning forecast was more bullish than the late night one. It mentioned widespread snowfall except for the coast. Either way, petition to have the M4 relocated to just off the South coast?

I hope none of you are too disappointed if it doesn't come off. I've missed every even remotely significant snowfall since 1994 or 1995 I think, and to see one would make my decade, truly. So hopefully there will still be a vain chance going into tomorrow night/Thu morning and, if there is, I will be pulling my first all-nighter since having to sleep with goats in an insecure shed during a gale 3-4 years ago. It may snow, it may rain, wherever we live. If I saw am overnight snowfall that melted at 6am then that would be more than good enough for me. I'll be out and in posting to the forums, hopefully taking video and stills if we get lucky, and the reports here are going to be fascinating reading as it plays out. And whatever happens, let's keep our sense of humour and perspective along with our cameras and keyboards, eh? PS - I have no idea what that emoticon means, but it fits the sentiment.

I have to say that one of the main reasons I'd hope for a good dumping, if it ever happens, is that it's always great to read and contribute to the 'as it happens' type threads. Late nights, treks outside with video and stills/camera, running back to read the forums is so much fun, regardless of the extreme event in question.

Absolutely. It was only a matter of 3-4 hours since I'd come away from reading the model chat with the belief that there was now next to no chance of snow in the South, so hearing that only proves your point that this is changeable either way. The only reliable forecast right now is for an extended spell of widespread nailbiting! Edit : For the record, I don't expect snow here.

The forecaster on Radio 4's PM just said that there was some 'uncertainty' in the models, but that he was giving a 'heads up' for a substantial threat of snow for Southern Britain. Wait for listen again to become available and fast-forward to the last 5 minutes to hear it.

Ah yes, thanks for that. It should now say 'Ilminster, Somerset'! Nothing here since that earlier storm, but I'm hopeful given the recently issued slew of UKMO warnings. I use a camcorder to capture lightning strikes, but you have to separate the fields to get usable stills from video.

Ilminster, Somerset A brief but sharp thunderstorm this morning at about 0945hours. Here are a couple of stills :