Don
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Posts posted by Don
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Rain starting to arrive now, a little earlier than forecast.
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At 9.3C, I was only 0.3C out, so not a bad guess in the end. Glad I didn't revise it at the beginning of the month when I thought I may have gone way too low!
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Warm here this afternoon and have opened windows. Not wall to wall sunshine, but bright enough.
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Dry here this morning and fairly bright although again, not particularly sunny.
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Latest Metoffice contingency forecast covering the final month of spring and first two months of summer.
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After a chilly start, this afternoon was warmish but sun never quite made an appearance. Back to rain this evening.....
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Another above average month for both temperature and rainfall. However, probably a drier month compared to recent.
12.9C and 80mm please.
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Addicks Fan 1981 SC25 has indeed been stronger than forecast and a more active cycle than 24. However, it is still in the weak category of solar cycles so far.
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Addicks Fan 1981 A moderate La Nina event looking likely on the latest CFSv2.
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Rather overcast this morning and decidedly chilly in the wind. Hints of blue sky now, but sun yet to be seen!
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11 minutes ago, Frigid said:
Lol what was I thinking
Wishful?!
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Harry233 Yes, winter 2020/21 was great for northern UK and reasonable for southern UK.
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Summer8906 Yes, June 2013 was the final month of that sustained cold period with January to June all coming in below the 1961-90 average. Imagine the prospects of that happening now?! It flipped spectacularly after the opening days of July.
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B87 That forecast is subject to change anyway, could be sunnier than predicted or less sunny. We will just have to wait and see.
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B87 Looks very decent from Friday 3rd to me? No heatwave but after the last few weeks, that will be pleasant enough for most.
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Updated Metoffice outlook has dropped the possibility of a return to below average temperatures after next week and now going for average or slightly above.
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Weekend has not been as poor as I was expecting either. Yesterday (staying down south this weekend) was mainly overcast but the rain didn't arrive until late afternoon. Evening and overnight saw lots of rain, but after a showery start today, this afternoon has been ok with some sun, but feels more chilly than yesterday.
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31 minutes ago, SunnyG said:
This pattern is here to stay for medium term (I consider June/July as medium term). Maybe it'll change in August?
No reason why this pattern will persist until June/July.
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2 hours ago, SqueakheartLW said:
Wondering if the switch back to La Nina will bring to an end this extended wetter and generally warmer than average period we've had really since the Nino developed last year.
Maybe drier but can't see us losing the warmer than average theme.
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Azazel We will just have to see.
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*Stormforce~beka* And your point is?
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*Stormforce~beka* Even I'm forecast 15C on the UKV!
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sundog I wonder if it will lead to a cooling of the rest of the Pacific, which is currently very warm?!
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2 hours ago, WYorksWeather said:
I would probably err more towards 9.6C or 9.7C
No doubt I will get stick for saying this, but yet another above average month! However, nowhere near as mild/warm as it was looking to be earlier on in the month.
Moans, ramps and banter
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Humid this evening and feels more like summer than spring!