Lettucing Gutted
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Posts posted by Lettucing Gutted
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Rest in pieces 2019! Also rest in pieces 2000s! Also rest in pieces 2010s! 12C
Last sub 0C, last sub 1C, last sub 2C, last sub 3C and last sub 4C December all in 2010.
200mm of Atlantic garbage
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20 hours ago, Thundery wintry showers said:
In the long run I think yes, but I think it will be a slow and erratic process, as it would seem that for every X amount of warming in the Arctic, our northerlies only warm by a very small fraction of that amount. I reckon we'd probably need at least another 2 to 3C of global warming, even taking into account the Arctic amplification, to make it close to impossible to get widespread lowland snow from a northerly
Even with a "slow" warming of our northerlies, it won't take much more warming to wipe out proper cold months, cold seasons and cold years. These are already as rare as hens teeth as it is. Our last proper cold January was back in 2010, our last proper cold February was back in 1996, our last proper cold March was back in 2013, our last proper cold April was back in 1989, our last proper cold May was back in 2013, our last proper cold June was back in 1991, our last proper cold July was back in 2011, our last proper cold August was back in 2014, our last proper cold September was back in 2015, our last proper cold October was back in 1993, our last proper cold November was back in 2016 and our last proper cold December was back in 2010. Our last proper cold spring was back in 2013, our last proper cold summer was back in 2011, our last proper cold autumn was back in 1993 and our last proper cold winter was back in 2012/2013 and our last proper cold year was back in 2010.
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Rest in pieces miserable "autumn" 2019! 13C
Last sub 3C November in 1915. Last sub 4C November in 1925. Last sub 5C November in 1993. Last sub 6C November in 2016.
200mm of Atlantic garbage
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Since the October 2019 CET thread hasn't been started yet, I'll start it this time. I'll leave RJS to post all the usual averages and statistics though.
15.5C.
Last sub 6C October in 1740. Last sub 7C October in 1896. Last sub 8C October in 1992. Last sub 9C October in 1993.
200mm from monsoons and Atlantic garbage
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19C
Last sub 11C September in 1952. Last sub 12C September in 1986. Last sub 13C September in 2015. Winter 2019/2020 is over before its even started.
200mm from monsoons and Atlantic garbage.
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Rest in pieces summer 2019! 21.5C
Last sub 13C August in 1912. Last sub 14C August in 1986. Last sub 15C and last sub 15.5C August in 2014.
200mm from monsoons and Atlantic garbage!
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The misery of the 3rd millennium continues... 22C
Last sub 14C July in 1922. Last sub 15C July in 1988. Last sub 15.5C July in 2011.
200mm from monsoons and Atlantic garbage!
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My worst summers:-
-2018
-2013
-2003
-2006
-2014
My best summers:-
-1985
-1986
-1993
-2011
-1987
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My worst months of 2010s are:-
January 2014
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
May 2014
June 2018
July 2018
August 2018
September 2018
October 2018
November 2018
December 2018
My best months in 2010s are:-
January 2010
February 2010
March 2013
April 2012
May 2013
June 2012
July 2011
August 2014
September 2015
October 2012
November 2010
December 2010
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19 hours ago, summer blizzard said:
Aug 97 and Aug 04 show that very warm and wet is possible though rare.
If I remember correctly Augusts 1997 and 2004 both had a lot of hot, humid and thundery plumes which led to very warm CETs in both cases despite the near record amounts of average monthly rainfall. August 2004s warmth and rainfall was also bolstered by an unusual amount of sub-tropical cyclones such as the one that brought the infamous Boscastle flood. July 2010 was also a very warm but very wet Atlantic dominated month, ironically the only month with that combination of conditions in between November 2009 and February 2011.
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20.5C
Last sub 12C June in 1972. Last sub 13C and last sub 13.5C June in 1991.
200 mm from Atlantic garbage and monsoons.
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Rest in pieces 'spring' 2019! 17.5C
Last sub 9C May in 1902. Last sub 10C May in 1996. Last sub 11C May in 2015.
200mm from monsoons and Atlantic garbage!
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Its a shame that the slowdown won't be enough to stop and reverse the Artic and Antarctic rapid meltdowns.
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Since I love proper cold and dry crisp weather in all seasons my best eather types are any that bring clean crisp dry Arctic or Continental Polar air whether its from Northwesterlies, straight Northerlies, Northeasterlies, Easterlies or even clean Rex bloke highs. I also love Maritime Polar Northwesterlies and Westerlies as long as they are not too wet! Gentle showers or light rain or snow, nothing more. Sadly Arctic and Atlantic warming has decreased the potency and frequency of all our classic cold setups.
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I hate all mild Atlantic driven weather patterns regardless of season and I hate all heatwave patterns regardless of whether its Maritime Tropical air or Continental Tropical air involved.
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14C
Last sub 5C April in 1837. Last sub 6C April in 1986. Last sub 7C April in 1989. Last sub 7.5C April in 2012.
200mm of Atlantic garbage!
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Gray-Wolf, I think we will be very lucky if Antarctic Ice Loss and Arctic Ice "only" cause a Super-Interglacial. I fear more likely we are gonna end up in a full blown greenhouse era. We are already on track to be warmer than at least 4C above the global 1750 average. Even the Super-Interglacials of the Quaternary were only 1.5C-2C above the global 1750 average.
I also think there could be more than sea level rise involved in the pole to pole melt connection. Loss of most if not all of Antarctic Ice would reduce or even eliminate Antarctic Bottom Water production in the Southern Ocean. With less AABW or no even no AABW in the North Atlantic Ocean, North Atlantic Deep Water production would increase bigtime which in turn would beef up the warm Gulf Stream current. This would cause rapid warming and deglaciation of both Greenland and the Arctic Sea Ice.
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12C
Last sub 2C March in 1883. Last sub 3C and last sub 4C March in 2013. Last sub 5C and last sub 5.5C March in 2018.
200mm of Atlantic garbage.
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Rest in pieces 'winter' 2018/2019!
10C Last sub -1C, last sub 0C and last sub 1C February in 1986. Last sub 2C February in 1991. Last sub 3C and last sub 3.5C February in 2018. Out with a mild whimper...
Also very wet with 500mm of Atlantic garbage
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I really love your idea of cooling the Equatorial Pacific Ocean and Equatorial Atlantic Ocean. Imagine the great shift from the Hyper Ninos and pesky Ninos of today to Hyper Ninas!
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I voted the lowest ,maximum extent on record. 12.5km2
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2019 will be a very horrible year and the hottest on record at 15.5C CET. The Globe will average 16C making it the hottest year on record Globally. This summer the polar jet reaches the Artic, dies and leaves a "polar weakstream" swirling around a dying Greenland PV. The subtropical jet also reaches the Artic and replaces the dead polar jet. A main "subtropical weakstream" swirls around the North Pole whilst an even weaker "subtropical weakstream" merges with the last "polar weakstream" swirling around the dying Greenland PV. The African Monsoon Trough finally jumps the Sahara and Mediterranean into Europe and affects Britain and Europe from the 1000mb to the 500mb level with an outflow ridge on top to form the British Monsoon system. The British Monsoon forms a monster Mid-Atlantic Ridge and a monster Bartlett Ridge sending heatwaves to obliterate the last of the Artic Ice. Britain always remains mild if not very mild in winter and always remains hot if not very hot in the other seasons but swings from flood to drought so many times you just can't keep up! Britain gets monster floods from the interaction of the British Monsoon with Spanish Plumes which also create Supercell Thunderstorms and F5 Twisters. However Britain also gets monster droughts when ex-hurricanes and/or rare "weakstream" troughs send the monster Mid-Atlantic Ridges toppling over Britain and merging into the monster Bartlett Ridges. I am also expecting an explosive "Methane Burp" to occur in 2019 as the warming oceans destabilise Methane Hydrates. Combined with yet more water vapour from the warming oceans, this Methane Burp will worsen global warming more than ever this year.
January the warmest on record 9.5C
February the warmest on record 10C
March the warmest on record 12C
April the warmest on record 14C
May the warmest on record 17.5C
June the warmest on record 20.5C
July the warmest on record 22C
August the warmest on record 21.5C
September the warmest on record 19C
October the warmest on record 15.5C
November the warmest on record 13C
December the warmest on record 12C
2019 will be the Bob Beamon Year of CET Warming.
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9.5C
Last sub -3.0C January in 1795. Last sub -2.0C and sub -1.0C January in 1963. Last sub 0C January in 1979. Last sub 1C January in 1987. Last sub 2C, last sub 3C and last sub 3.5C January in 2010.
200mm of Atlantic garbage
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The Atlantic had already on here in the Northwest when this forecast was posted.
Last sub 0C, last sub 1C, last sub 2C, last sub 3C and last sub 4C December all in 2010.
Predictions for 2020?
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
2020 will be a very horrible year and the hottest on record at 15.5C CET. The Globe will average 16C making it the hottest year on record Globally. This summer the polar jet reaches the Artic, dies and leaves a "polar weakstream" swirling around a dying Greenland PV. The subtropical jet also reaches the Artic and replaces the dead polar jet. A main "subtropical weakstream" swirls around the North Pole whilst an even weaker "subtropical weakstream" merges with the last "polar weakstream" swirling around the dying Greenland PV. The African Monsoon Trough finally jumps the Sahara and Mediterranean into Europe and affects Britain and Europe from the 1000mb to the 500mb level with an outflow ridge on top to form the British Monsoon system. The British Monsoon forms a monster Mid-Atlantic Ridge and a monster Bartlett Ridge sending heatwaves to obliterate the last of the Artic Ice. Britain always remains mild if not very mild in winter and always remains hot if not very hot in the other seasons but swings from flood to drought so many times you just can't keep up! Britain gets monster floods from the interaction of the British Monsoon with Spanish Plumes which also create Supercell Thunderstorms and F5 Twisters. However Britain also gets monster droughts when ex-hurricanes and/or rare "weakstream" troughs send the monster Mid-Atlantic Ridges toppling over Britain and merging into the monster Bartlett Ridges. I am also expecting an explosive "Methane Burp" to occur in 2020 as the warming oceans destabilise Methane Hydrates. Combined with yet more water vapour from the warming oceans, this Methane Burp will worsen global warming more than ever this year.
January the warmest on record 9.5C
February the warmest on record 10C
March the warmest on record 12C
April the warmest on record 14C
May the warmest on record 17.5C
June the warmest on record 20.5C
July the warmest on record 22C
August the warmest on record 21.5C
September the warmest on record 19C
October the warmest on record 15.5C
November the warmest on record 13C
December the warmest on record 12C
2020 will be the Bob Beamon Year of CET Warming.