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sundog

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Posts posted by sundog

  1. Ive quite a good memory of the cold spell of Feb 91. Ireland of course didnt get as much cold or snow as Britain,but it was a memorable cold spell. On the 6th of Feb we started getting snow showers,although for the next day or so much of the snow thawed to my great disappiontment. On the night of the 9th of Feb we got a good fall of snow,i think the snow came up from France if i remember right. The next day was beautiful,completly clear skies and a lovely covering of snow with the max temp at zero. The following day however the Atlantic made its presence felt and that was it for Ireland anyway. The last day of Feb that yr we got a brief cold snap with some snow i remember.

  2. Well done TM this month and to sundog for consistently good results. To get 4 out of 5 months within 0.3ºC takes some doing!

    Thanks to Jackone for all the hard work in producing the results and so quickly as well after the monthly CET is announced.

    Good luck to all for next month.....whatever the weather!

    c

    Thanks. Im sure my luck will run out. It just seems the theme at the moment is the last few months have been not too much either side of average. Im sure i will be caught out badly some month soon though.

  3. Not for the short term for the UK. A cooling world means increase North-south temperature gradient. This will increase the westerly flow. This will make Decembers in the UK windier, milder and maritime in the short term. But as when North-south temperature gradient increase, the westerly flow will continue to increase. The stronger the westerly flow the more unstable it becomes and likely to suddenly brake up in big anticyclone blocking.

    Is that what happened during the little ice age for example? I read before that the jet stream was stronger then it is today during the little ice ice due to a colder arctic.

  4. A very poor winter overall. Ther was signs of hope in late Dec for what might happen in early Jan and it did look like we were going to hit the jackpot but alas it didnt come to much. I did get a 3 hr snowfall on 3rd of Jan giving a few inches but low and behold the our old friend the Atlantic was back the next day and the snow was gone by lunchtime, i was left thinking what might have been if that cold spell had come off. The rest of the winter apart from some hard frosts in Feb was completly and utterly forgetable. ( yes some in Britain did get some good snowfall in March,but for me i got jack)

  5. I think it will turn out to be a very average summer. The good weather we have got recently i dont trust it at all. I didnt trust the great weather we had in april last year either as i had a feeling that things would change later on and i have the same feeling now. That coupled with what Mr Data has said in the past about summers ending in "8" just makes me think we will get an average summer at best.

  6. A fairly 'safe' forecast by the Met office I feel, in recent years they have been quite bullish in their prediction of very warm conditions, whereas at this early stage they are erring on caution by saying a bit above average, i think last year has probably made them a lot less bullish this year when it comes to temperatures. Last year has probably influenced them a great deal, particularly with regard to their above average rainfall prediction.

    Overall the prognosis for the summer matches what would be expected in the this age of global warming i.e. warmer and wetter conditions.

    It sounds to me that we could be seeing alot of 'tropical maritime' air over the country with the azores high not really ridging much over the country but close enough to ensure that we see more of a south westerly airstream. Personally, such a scenario is not something I wish to relish as it will mean quite humid conditions and often hazy murky weather particularly in the west and on hills - not great for summer walking in our hills and mountains. But we will have to see. Personally i would like a repeat of summer 2005 which was warm generally but also not too humid. Humidity is the one thing about the summer that I dislike.

    I cant stand humidity myself,dont like the heat too much either. Heat and humidity combined and christ does that put me in bad form. A summer like 2005 would be ok though.

  7. Just to further add to my last point, April 1998 delivered a marked spell of wintry weather around easter time (for some it was the snowiest perios of the winter season in what was the middle of spring!) coming on the back of another relatively snowless and mild winter, likewise April 1999 to a lesser extent. These too were strong la nina years - mmm seems to be a pattern there...

    Yes i remember the cold snap in april 1998. I think it was around april 14th or so we had about 2 inches of snow that night,it was strange waking up to a snowy scene the next morning in the middle of april. I remember for a laugh one of the radio stations here played one or two xmas songs and all. Once the april sun got at the snow that was all she wrote though, it was all gone by lunchtime but it was memorable. I think the snow came from a polar low although i may be wrong about that bit.

  8. I think this is an interesting thread. Its strange i was just thinking today to ask what would the state of la nina be for the rest of the year. If la nina was to start weaking say in a few months time and was weak in time for next winter,would that mean that next winter could be a decent one?

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