DEYS(Kent)
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
DEYS(Kent) replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS Op is a massive outlier in the short term. -
Track of storm on Icon 12 is still NW of London. Bleak for S and SE still..
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Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
DEYS(Kent) replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All trending north with Weds/Thurs feature.. More runs needed.. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
DEYS(Kent) replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM going west based -NAO? -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
DEYS(Kent) replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Don’t reply a lot on here. But the charts at the moment are loaded with potential. Much better than the mild dross that has been served up in December’s past. -
Storm Eunice - 18th February
DEYS(Kent) replied to Thunder and Lightning's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Current red warning is sensible and warranted given the population in these areas. However, I feel a statement from the on duty chief forecaster accompanying this warning would help to explain current thinking and what to expect going forward warning wise for rest of the UK. -
Model output discussion 10/02/21
DEYS(Kent) replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
In other words, after milder temperatures move in from the west we could see another cold shot from the East. Or we could have HP close to the UK providing chiller, but drier weather depending on the position of the higher pressure. -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
DEYS(Kent) replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Icon so far keeps up the interest.. -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
DEYS(Kent) replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Para GFS a little different this morning. Has HP building over the UK a week today and easterly feed getting cut off..A variation of a theme and waaay too far out to be concerned about.. -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
DEYS(Kent) replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Wrong thread but is this a recent forecast? -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
DEYS(Kent) replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Easterly still favourite. Longevity and depth of cold is still up for grabs.,. -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
DEYS(Kent) replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
144 is getting there... -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
DEYS(Kent) replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM sticking to its guns... -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
DEYS(Kent) replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Low has more energy at 72 which is a good thing.. -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
DEYS(Kent) replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Would you Adam and Eve it. ECM shocker.. -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
DEYS(Kent) replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Would you Adam and Eve it. ECM shocker.. -
Model output discussion - into the last third of January
DEYS(Kent) replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is the EC control run viewable, BA? -
Model output discussion - into the last third of January
DEYS(Kent) replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Model fatigue for in here for some. Or a bit of reverse psychology going on; I’m not sure.. Early February looks like the next chase for widespread snow for the UK and the background signals are showing little chinks of light in the current output. Keeps me interested that’s for sure. -
Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
DEYS(Kent) replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Whilst the deep cold runs and the specific synoptics have undoubtedly changed, I really do advise to hold off the wrist slashing for 48hrs. That said, if the latest trend continues; the blocking in the Atlantic should still be sufficient to send LP’s on a more southerly track which sets up those battlegrounds. All is not lost and still hopeful of the second bite of cold from the NE to arrive..