Number 23
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Posts posted by Number 23
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Beginning to fall here, looks like the snow was doing it's best to avoid visiting Braintree, and to be honest I don't blame it...
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My neighbour's car is the official snow depth measurement tool in the area since it hasn't moved for months. Was surprised to guesstimate about 4 - 5 cm on the roof which has accumulated over the past few days. Some little git has swept it off the bonnet though which has totally ruined the look.
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Looking at the warnings I reckon we'll scrape two or three inches here Sunday. Let's get it all down tomorrow, and have a rapid thaw Monday so we can all go about our business and I'll be happy.
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Yeah Braintree's got a few flakes falling now. Game almost certainly off tomorrow, so lay in and bacon sandwich instead.
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Essex literally seems to have had a snow shield up all day.
Yeah it's quite interesting really, at work today we were getting snow reports from pretty much 360 degrees around us!
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Whilst this spell has been a dull affair for us in Essex this time, it has been amazing seeing some of the images around the country. Demonstrates how, even in conditions which seem to guarantee big snowfalls somewhere along the line, the distribution can be very fickle.
Sunday's mini-event will hopefully bring something to those who want to see a covering. What I'd really like now is some Atlantic influence in our weather - could do with warming up after a week of bone chilling cold!
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Having read TEITS & BA's comments I'm inclined to think football may not be cancelled for me Sunday
which would be nice as the weather was slowly pushing our season into early summer already!Am I right in thinking it's the strength of the cold that the models underestimate in these situations, rather than overcooking the front?
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Work in Chelmsford and hardly anything there, got home and about 2cm on grass and cars etc. Not overwhelming to be honest, but interesting for an hour or so about 3pm. Hoping for a breakdown at end of the week as I hate cold & dry/showery weather!
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Just make sure you have your sled ready (for the Discovery Centre) tomorrow!!!
Haha yeah hoping I'll get to cry off work!
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This is the thread for Essex wbs Mullet so your in the right place technically, however I find it interesting to see where the weather is coming from as to which thread I visit…..so if we are getting weather from the NW direction, it’s not a bad idea to see what the members in the East Midlands are getting, from the East, we are in the EA thread anyway and when weather is coming from the South, look to the London & SE thread
Never thought of the direction of weather influencing what's relevant
lots to learn! -
I'd go with East Anglia, but its completely up to you which thread you follow/participate in. I'm borderline between East Anglia And Midlands, so just read both threads.
Cheers!
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This may sound dumb but living in NW Essex is mighty confusing - EA or SE? The discussion never seems to fit my area!
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Although it's the least reliable of the GFS runs 06z has leaned toward ECM. Now expecting the UKMO/GFS 12z's to adopt ECM's idea for the key period - reckon maybe 70:30? Not looking at the rest of the run as we still can't get agreement for three-five days away!!
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From a selfish perspective I'm glad the ECM is showing a quick breakdown - means less disruption to travel, more chance of football not being postponed again etc. The last prolonged cold spell we had here was miserable in the end - slush and ice hanging around for days on end, scraping windscreens off over and over morning and evening. Much prefer an interesting frontal snow event then a quick return to normality.
I've watched these forums for a number of years, and anecdotally it seems when one of the big three is markedly at odds with the others on successive runs at 72 - 96, then the outcome is usually the one which advertises a return to normal conditions. I think a notable exception was 2010? If I had to put my mortgage on an outcome, ECM is the safest bet.
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Taxi for the 18z!!
On the bright side, hoping I might get to actually play some football on a Sunday for the first time in a few weeks.
Lurked on these forums for many a year, and remember the times I used to tell people that a big freeze was coming on the back of 120+ output. I don't say a word now - there's a reason the forecasters don't stick their necks out!
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I think it may be time to party like it's 2005
From what I've read we could still get more bites at the cherry later - if it were Feb 28th 2013 that would be a real kick in the baubles.
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I'm not great at reading charts, but hasn't GFS been guilty of overplaying lows in the past? In some cases to our disappointment!
Surely each daily set of runs we get through without major spoilers is a step in the right direction? This is purely anecdotally, but when we have an established pattern in the reliable time frame, the change always seems to be pushed back (which is why we always seem to be chasing cold solutions). So we still have cold at the right end of the run, it's still coming from the East, and plenty of time for more fun solutions as it draws nearer?
Happy for a more knowledgeable member to put me straight! *Runs for cover*
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I know the UKMO has a reputation for playing down these situations and often gets proved right, or at least near the mark. Are there any recent analogues where the ECM/GFS ops broadly agreed with good support from the mean and 'the best of the rest' models, and UKMO still called it right?
I ask because I'm due to drive down to the Charente in France on the 21st, and I've already had two nightmare drives over Christmas before - don't think my nerves can cope with another one... It can snow all it wants once I'm down there!
EDIT: just seen JH's post looks like I'm out of luck, but still interested to know the answer as a learner.
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Still going in Braintree with no signs of abating - now difficult to distinguish road from pavement from pathway. Must have had two/three hours of continuous snowfall of varying intensity after the first batch of showers.
Feel I should get some sleep but getting increasingly certain I'll be having a lay in tomorrow!
Hope everyone gets in on the action before the evening's out.
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sounds like you've more than here in Chelmsford
I've a front wheel drive car so not too bad - but it has Limited slip diff - which sounds useful in the snow - but it just goes bonkers !
Be careful! I just wish it wasn't an important time of the month at work or I'd be skiving tomorrow
Hopefully you'll catch some of what we just had, although it's calmed down a bit now... Late night I think!
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Snowing heavily in Braintree - depths now level with curbs. I have £5 with the g/f that we'll see 4" by morning so hopefully more to come!
Just seen a van skid back and forth all the way down our street as well - could be an interesting journey to work tomorrow; I have a rear wheel drive car...
which would be nice as the weather was slowly pushing our season into early summer already!
Three Counties & East Anglia Regional Discussion - January 19th 2013>
in Regional
Posted · Edited by Number 23
If it's any consolation it stopped almost immediately. I think the clouds had a second look and saw all the chavs with staffies on bits of string, and thought there were more salubrious places to drop the payload.
EDIT: They've had a change of heart it's started again - I'm going to have a green tea and a lay down this is all too much...