Number 23
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Posts posted by Number 23
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49 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:
Not sure Spring-like conditions will be around for long, looking like a return to cold after a milder blip. Have a feeling this winter is going to go on some time, with a cold first half to Spring. Could be plenty more snow chances, before it’s done.
Yeah the Met seem to be pretty steady with the cold signal too, so I fear the worst despite a glimpse of warmer in the output. Especially with the NH profile still looking like it could open the door.
If the cold keeps us out of Atlantic downpours then it's a second prize I can live with. We really need to dry out a bit.
The met have been pretty good with their long range since new year I think, so has to be considered the form horse.
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Dusting here overnight, but wow at the snow down the road!
Now the snow risk has passed, had a sneaky look at the MOD. Hints at some useable weather appearing?
The cold can do one now... unless it's the only alternative to wet
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Rapid thaw underway here in the sun.
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Bit of light snow here to round off things. Expected nothing at all so making the most of it, as who knows, it could be years before I see it again!
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8 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:
Lol mine is the exact revere of your picture, can see lovely clear blue skies to my North so half the sky is grey and half is clear blue
You hopeful of sneaking in any more down there today Paul or just out of range?
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Can see what I assume is the bank of cloud bringing today's activity to the east and south of here, clear as a bell behind it. Lovely morning.
Good luck to those in the firing line today!
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Clearer skies here and very cold as we enter the home stretch for snow risk.
Not a classic cold spell for most sadly, but a nice distraction during the lockdown boredom, and the first proper snow of any kind for three years here. Some areas fared exceptionally well which was good to see.
In terms of sheer volume of hours with snow this was impressive, accumulation not so much.
If Feb 91 scores a 10, I'd give it a 4 or 5 for my location. If everything had stuck and settled, it would have been a solid 6 I reckon.
In the absence of something incredible emerging, my thoughts now turning to searching for spring warmth. Some dry weather would be a good start as we move towards March
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Lucked out today. Best of the spell by a mile in terms of notable snowfall. Alternating fat flakes, heavy graupel, then lighter on repeat. Perhaps a few cms from this morning. I think the bin lid has topped out about 10cms or so, but far less on the deck.
Expected about 7-10cms before the spell started - if only it could've stuck around, we'd probably have got there!!
Still, more than I had any right to expect given the complications we've had getting decent snow in this spell.
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This is really great fun, but anyone else occasionally zooming out of the radar, looking up at Scotland and thinking... that looks tasty .
Bet there's some chunky old snowfalls up there today.
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Heaviest burst so far here with large flakes, was expecting this to be a bit further south so a nice surprise tbh.
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10 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:
Largely down to the upper warm front that developed and pushed north yesterday, it helped pep up showers/develop that broader area of snow yesterday evening, but unfortunately scuppered the chances of a decent convective easterly flow, areas further north aren't having this problem.
Air can only rise if the air above is colder than the air below, the upper warm front brought a wedge of slightly warmer mid-level air meaning the depth of cold is shallow & focused in the lower portion of the atmosphere.
That's a really clear explanation. Thanks.
I mean we should all know warm air rises, but to see that principal explained in the context of the charts and conditions we witnessed is very useful.
Another question if I may, was this warm front an effect of Darcy clearing through?
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7 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:
I expect it’s also to do with the flow strength.
i read a post last night saying that the parameters are almost identical to the Feb 09 event, yet the outcome is nothing like that.
Just trying to increase my understanding, because on paper this should have been so much better.
Yeah, I agree. Despite it being way better than nothing, when I look out of the window this morning, it's hard to believe we're on day 3 of a decent event on paper. And sounds like I've done OK in comparison to many areas!
I think ground temps have had a part to play in throttling the accumulations, but even then the heavier snow just never really got going did it?
One thing i suppose is the sheer amount of time I've seen falling snow though. That's been impressive in it's own way.
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Would like to see a bit more of that moderate stuff that fell for an hour or two last night. Expectation levels are low, as I guess most of the decent stuff will be running across to my south today, but you never know eh?
This fine light stuff starting to get on my nerves a bit
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Not a sausage overnight which was a bit of a surprise!
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1 minute ago, Floatylight said:
A break in the clouds and wow the difference out there!
Brass
Looks like you did alright up there as well? Pretty much drove down the A12
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Easing off now. Looking at the radar, might be back to dandruff for a while at least. Running it back (was bathing the kids), looks like we did pretty well out of that pulse here.
A good way to kick the night off - even if I don't see much more it's scratched the itch.
Let's hope some more of us get in on the action and somewhere gets a right caning before the night's out
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1 minute ago, spayne said:
I was hoping for some of that, but just not going to make it here now.!!
I'll try to send some of it your way we all deserve a bit!
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This is actually accumulating pretty fast now
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Moderate snow here now, but flakes are much bigger than anything we've had so far.
Consequently, the patio has finally disappeared and crunchy underfoot.
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1 minute ago, Mark said:
Pretty much that. If it holds up
I'll take that, you've pretty much split my back garden there
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First break in the cloud I've seen yet to the south of here!
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More dandruff. Some heavier stuff coming off the N Sea now looks to be going to the S and N of here.
Just skated to put the rubbish out, and I can confirm that according to my bin lid, which we know is the accepted gold-standard for snow depth measurement is... about 5 cms.
Elsewhere, much more patchy. But would have been approaching a notable snowfall by now were it not for the ground temps.
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Let's hope to see something heavier later. Love prolonged snow showers, but bloody hell... this is like a buffet where you can only grab one cheese and pineapple stick at a time.
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Starting to look like a proper cold spell has hit here now, as the light stuff we're getting is slowly accumulating where it didn't yesterday.
If we can squeeze a couple of cms today would be nice. Hope some of it gets to those with little at the moment.
South East, London and East Anglia regional discussion - 8th February onwards
in Regional
Posted
Snow in Chelmsford too, bit of a surprise!