Number 23
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Posts posted by Number 23
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5 minutes ago, claret047 said:
I am not sure if I am or not. I seem to be on the line. Where are you?
I'm Tile Kiln just off Galleywood Road - Chelmsford is our nearest point though, which will be somewhere central I guess?
Danbury is in the Amber but Boreham isn't, so we're about as close as it's possible to get.
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6 minutes ago, simonhall6 said:
I’m slightly east of Brentwood near the Shenfield A12 turn off fingers crossed we should be fine !
I'm sure this will swallow us up soon as well. Just made me chuckle as Danbury, Billericay, Wickford all under it. We could lob a stone into it from where we are
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Just now, simonhall6 said:
We are both half in and half out the current amber zone lol
Haha yeah tell me about it! I'm SE Chelmsford near the Galleywood A12 junction, and was wondering if I'd sneaked in
Pretty sure we'll do OK though!
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1 minute ago, kate1 said:
We are just outside it too, but our town usually does very well from this sort of set-up..... and it's early days!
Yeah I'm chilled at the moment!
These warnings will wander around a fair bit over the next day or two I'm sure.
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Ooh - I'm within a gnat's chuff of the amber area.
Expect more updates though!
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2 minutes ago, southbank said:
yep some of us at Natwest that travelled by trains were sent home as we were based in aldgate east - leaving us that lived in inner london to work the shift out . Never forget the work home not seeing so much snow since Jan 87 and the biting winds
Remember making giant swiss rolls out of the snow with friends in our local park near Brentwood. It just kept coming. We were ten years old and couldn't believe what we were seeing.
We lived at the top of a steep hill near the A12, and the footpaths were shovelled clear as the snow was so deep - impossible to differentiate between the road, the pavement, and people's driveways. Either side of the cleared areas the snow almost reached my waist.
Was the start of my love for big snow events and extreme weather in general.
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After a horrific January, isn't it nice to know in just 36 hours it's eyes down for the radar. And it's a proper, non-marginal, once-in-a-blue-moon event.
I don't put too much stock in the automated apps of course, but the MetO one has geared up for my neck of the woods to 12 hours of heavy snow and light snow right out until Monday night. Also showing a sniff of shower potential into Tue/Wed but too far out to bother about. Maybe the 7-10 cms I called here might have been a little conservative, but it's luck of the draw I suppose. Could be anything from 5-15 I reckon.
Somewhere is going to get plastered. Got everything crossed for the region, we definitely earned this one!
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18 minutes ago, Surrey said:
Good guess.. I think people with some altitude might get more.. Plus details of showers streamers will almost be a now cast thing..
Cast our minds back to 2018 I think it was when we had a big area of light PPN dump 2-5cm across a large part of London and the south east that wasn't on any models..
Absolutely, part of the fun with convective set ups is you never know until the day!
Reckon those who get under a streamer / decent train of showers could top out around 20cms.
Not quite the outrageous totals being mentioned elsewhere last night though
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Would be interesting to see a full map of predictions vs final totals from around the region!
I'm going for between 7 - 10 cms here when all's said and done.
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OK, without wanting to get totally carried away, as the projected snow totals will vary as we get closer to the time... I wonder to which easterly of the past we might compare this against come next Sunday?
Suppose this will depend on what we get coming off the Atlantic next week.
Looks a decent event as it stands, but could be epic for some!
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I'm not too worried about met warning areas just yet.
Anglia weather going for snow flurries into the weekend. Even a modest southward correction and surely that wording will change.
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I was ten years old in 91 living near Brentwood, remember looking out of the window in disbelief as the showers just kept packing in.
The thing that struck me about it, and something I've loved about major events since, was how quiet and calm everything went as the snow piled up. Felt like the world had stopped
@stainesbloke can't see paperboys being allowed out in that level of cold now made of sterner stuff back then.
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Just now, stainesbloke said:
Yes, looking more and more likely that the UK will see a very wintry spell. Has a feel of February 1991 to me, a classic never to be forgotten. Enjoyed that spell immensely. Fingers crossed for you all
I was thinking 91 this morning, my favourite cold spell and arriving about the same time! I wasn't fussed on an easterly unless it was the real deal, this seems to be exactly that.
I was convinced we'd see downgrades after some patchy output for our region, but I think we're getting very close to being able to say it's on IMO.
I think once we're in agreement at +72 I'll finally feel comfortable
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Premature to call the easterly nailed after one set of runs being in broad agreement.
If the bookies offered odds on model output, I'd have had a sly tender on at least one of the 12z suite breaking rank again today.
When we see divergence toward a less extreme solution, for me it's a sign we'll probably end up with a middle ground.
For all it's faults, pretty sure we've had plenty of occasions where GFS has been the first to sniff a pattern, then first to drop it when we finally get agreement. Then we end up with a slow convergence of the extremes it churns out across all the models.
Purely anecdotal and unscientific, but still...
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Poxy morning here in Chelmsford, windy and yet more rain. Cat sorely regretting his decision to wake me up at 1 am to go out.
Not many analogies left to describe the current conditions. Not even an otter's pocket does it justice.
Not even that fussed on talk of easterlies at the moment. I'm craving warm dry weather, and a walk round the park with the kids in the sunshine. Somebody hit the fast forward button please!
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Any of my fellow Essex / Kent crew up for a sleety mix this weekend?
Thought not.
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36 minutes ago, SLEETY said:
wierdly we seen more snow in March in the last 10 years,so maybe not the time to write of snow chances yet
Still being mocked in the yorkshire thread I see,very strange why they care what we get here or not
Be sure to raise a toast to the offenders when they're celebrating breaching 25 degrees in July
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Great pictures all round.
Cracking day here in Chelmsford after an abysmal day yesterday. Unbroken sunshine and even feels warm on the face.
I'd gladly take this on repeat until Spring.
Stay safe on the ice rinks in the affected areas!
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That ppn can do one elsewhere, thanks. Bloody sodden here!
Dry and sunny please. Or dry and cloudy. Mild and dry would do. Anything that's dry. And not chilly. I'm done with chilly, too.
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1 hour ago, Floatylight said:
I was going to ask as on radar your under dark pink?
Yeah, it really tried but amounted to nothing. Mainly sleet with some big flakes mixed in.
Total fail for Essex and Kent again by the looks of it but not surprised tbh!
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Tell you what, much more of this and we'll top out at around 0cm
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>Well. Snow just started in Chelmsford but it must be about as marginal as it gets, alternating sleety mix and falling on wet ground.
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Now snowing lightly in Chelmsford
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The sky just farted out a bit of sleet here in Chelmsford but feels a fair bit warmer too. Frost vanishing at a rapid rate.
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
in Regional
Posted
I'd take that, thanks!