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Everything posted by Number 23
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
I'd take that, thanks! -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
I'm Tile Kiln just off Galleywood Road - Chelmsford is our nearest point though, which will be somewhere central I guess? Danbury is in the Amber but Boreham isn't, so we're about as close as it's possible to get. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
I'm sure this will swallow us up soon as well. Just made me chuckle as Danbury, Billericay, Wickford all under it. We could lob a stone into it from where we are -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Haha yeah tell me about it! I'm SE Chelmsford near the Galleywood A12 junction, and was wondering if I'd sneaked in Pretty sure we'll do OK though! -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Yeah I'm chilled at the moment! These warnings will wander around a fair bit over the next day or two I'm sure. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Ooh - I'm within a gnat's chuff of the amber area. Expect more updates though! -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Remember making giant swiss rolls out of the snow with friends in our local park near Brentwood. It just kept coming. We were ten years old and couldn't believe what we were seeing. We lived at the top of a steep hill near the A12, and the footpaths were shovelled clear as the snow was so deep - impossible to differentiate between the road, the pavement, and people's driveways. Either side of the cleared areas the snow almost reached my waist. Was the start of my love for big snow events and extreme weather in general. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
After a horrific January, isn't it nice to know in just 36 hours it's eyes down for the radar. And it's a proper, non-marginal, once-in-a-blue-moon event. I don't put too much stock in the automated apps of course, but the MetO one has geared up for my neck of the woods to 12 hours of heavy snow and light snow right out until Monday night. Also showing a sniff of shower potential into Tue/Wed but too far out to bother about. Maybe the 7-10 cms I called here might have been a little conservative, but it's luck of the draw I suppose. Could be anything from 5-15 I reckon. Somewhere is going to get plastered. Got everything crossed for the region, we definitely earned this one! -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Absolutely, part of the fun with convective set ups is you never know until the day! Reckon those who get under a streamer / decent train of showers could top out around 20cms. Not quite the outrageous totals being mentioned elsewhere last night though -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Would be interesting to see a full map of predictions vs final totals from around the region! I'm going for between 7 - 10 cms here when all's said and done. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
OK, without wanting to get totally carried away, as the projected snow totals will vary as we get closer to the time... I wonder to which easterly of the past we might compare this against come next Sunday? Suppose this will depend on what we get coming off the Atlantic next week. Looks a decent event as it stands, but could be epic for some! -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
I'm not too worried about met warning areas just yet. Anglia weather going for snow flurries into the weekend. Even a modest southward correction and surely that wording will change. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
I was ten years old in 91 living near Brentwood, remember looking out of the window in disbelief as the showers just kept packing in. The thing that struck me about it, and something I've loved about major events since, was how quiet and calm everything went as the snow piled up. Felt like the world had stopped @stainesbloke can't see paperboys being allowed out in that level of cold now made of sterner stuff back then. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
I was thinking 91 this morning, my favourite cold spell and arriving about the same time! I wasn't fussed on an easterly unless it was the real deal, this seems to be exactly that. I was convinced we'd see downgrades after some patchy output for our region, but I think we're getting very close to being able to say it's on IMO. I think once we're in agreement at +72 I'll finally feel comfortable -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Premature to call the easterly nailed after one set of runs being in broad agreement. If the bookies offered odds on model output, I'd have had a sly tender on at least one of the 12z suite breaking rank again today. When we see divergence toward a less extreme solution, for me it's a sign we'll probably end up with a middle ground. For all it's faults, pretty sure we've had plenty of occasions where GFS has been the first to sniff a pattern, then first to drop it when we finally get agreement. Then we end up with a slow convergence of the extremes it churns out across all the models. Purely anecdotal and unscientific, but still... -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Poxy morning here in Chelmsford, windy and yet more rain. Cat sorely regretting his decision to wake me up at 1 am to go out. Not many analogies left to describe the current conditions. Not even an otter's pocket does it justice. Not even that fussed on talk of easterlies at the moment. I'm craving warm dry weather, and a walk round the park with the kids in the sunshine. Somebody hit the fast forward button please! -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Any of my fellow Essex / Kent crew up for a sleety mix this weekend? Thought not. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Be sure to raise a toast to the offenders when they're celebrating breaching 25 degrees in July -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Great pictures all round. Cracking day here in Chelmsford after an abysmal day yesterday. Unbroken sunshine and even feels warm on the face. I'd gladly take this on repeat until Spring. Stay safe on the ice rinks in the affected areas! -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
That ppn can do one elsewhere, thanks. Bloody sodden here! Dry and sunny please. Or dry and cloudy. Mild and dry would do. Anything that's dry. And not chilly. I'm done with chilly, too. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Yeah, it really tried but amounted to nothing. Mainly sleet with some big flakes mixed in. Total fail for Essex and Kent again by the looks of it but not surprised tbh! -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
>Well. Snow just started in Chelmsford but it must be about as marginal as it gets, alternating sleety mix and falling on wet ground. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Now snowing lightly in Chelmsford -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Number 23 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
The sky just farted out a bit of sleet here in Chelmsford but feels a fair bit warmer too. Frost vanishing at a rapid rate.