BurwellWeatherWatch

good to see that one being laid to rest. As much flak as the MO get, it would be incredible if they were using data that is >12 hours old to prepare a forecast. It has admittedly seemed on a few days this winter that their 6-15 dayer has been more reflective of the previous day's 12zs but that is presumably coincidence together with the fact that they are looking at the bigger picture.

lol so the warmest one on record ever? I'll go for 3.4 please

2.3 please

all the 8s, 8.8C please.

I'll go for 5.9C

Because it was Sean Pertwee! cf his character in Cold Feet - I think that's how he normally talks. Good footage and moderately enjoyable to watch - but overall it was hugely sensationalist and the Met Office came over as unduly self-congratulatory. There were some very dubious generalisations, especially at the opening. I'm glad they didn't try to draw too many global warming conclusions from this one-off event (on either side of the argument). The oversimplistic link between the SSW and the 'event' - outlined at the end - was also rather misleading. But overall, the actual snowstorm (?) strikes me as less amazing than the fact we went for best part of 20 years without one, given our northern latitude.

I think this is the month we are going to crack the magic 3. Having predicted 3.1 for January, you've just got to trust me on this :winky: So I'll go for +2.8C A pretty exceptional first week for cold; a chilly middle and a spring-like end is on the cards

8? lol! That sounds like it would be record-busting by a long way but I don't have the figures to back up that instinct. I'll go for +2.9C - the first sub 3 month of recent times by a whisker.

as a lurker this thread is quite hilarious! I'm still quite happy with my guess of 3.1C and think I'm in good company with Mr Data! However, as cheeky monkey kindly pointed out, even if my answer turns out to be good, my calculation of it was a bit dodgy. So I may lose marks for working... Should be within around +/- 0.5 anyway. Doesn't look likely to change massively between now and end of the month. Roll on the February guesses! p.s. Is WIB the new IB?

I'm going to go for a month of four quarters - i.e. roughly a week of each of the following: 1) Cold 2) Seriously cold 3) Fairly mild 4) Cold Based on how December is working out CET-wise, I'd therefore go for 3.1C. I think it will be notably colder than recent Januarys, but we probably won't achieve the elusive sub-3C.

Hello from a lurker who's just sprung into life! My first attempt at this: 4.4C Essentially cool/cold 1st-8th Fairly mild 9th-18th At least one exceptionally cold period between 19th and 31st Happy Winter everyone!