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Posts posted by bazookabob
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8 hours ago, Stelmer said:
For my part of Leeds, 2010 produced about 7 inches of snow over several falls. I don’t think a sustained event to drop over a foot like in days past will happen easily again, unless it’s a once in 100 year snow event.
January 2018 did so (just about hit a foot) in an overnight fall, and I'm just down the road from you, and slightly lower elevation I suspect...
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Dry here despite the lying radar!
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Incidentally, M62 is fine east of J26 but overhead signs showing 90 minute delays over the pennines so bear in mind if planning that journey. Warnings seem pretty accurate in the end.
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Made it to work at Cleckheaton. Similar amounts to Garforth, 3-4 inches. Was snowing hard again when I left Garforth. A nice end to a snowless winter.
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Yeah getting heavy here now, just need bigger flakes. Radar filling in nicely so I'm feeling positive.
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Don't panic, the easterly wind is starting up now, some heavier stuff moving up from Sheffield and eastwards from ireland/Wales. Remember yesterday, no accumulation until teatime then it settled easily despite not being all that heavy. From now on is when I am expecting this event to get going.
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Yes there is a bit of a gap on radar moving up from Sheffield towards Leeds, however this event for me hasn't really got going at all yet, I wanna see what happens when this easterly wind starts up, right now it's dead calm.
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6 minutes ago, Harsh Climate said:
Similar amounts here, nothing on roads or pavement though.
We are currently in -7dam air, hopefully it stays all as settling snow as it slightly warms to about -5dam air here. If it's looking good at 5pm nothing to worry about then as colder air slowly filters in again later.
I'd be very surprised if we get anything other than snow here, not sure what the predicted dew points are but -5 T850s are more than low enough for this kind of event. It's just a case of waiting for the heavy precipitation to arrive lunchtime onwards. What's we've got now is just a bonus as far as I'm concerned.
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Well considering yesterday was supposed to be dry and our first snow wasn't forecast to arrive until about 10am today I'd say we're nicely ahead of the game. Once that easterly wind sets in then I expect the orographic lift everywhere west of the A1 to get things going. A surprising amount from last night already there as a base and fine flakes coming down
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Under a mini streamer of moderate snow now, heaviest we've had today. What stands out is how slowly the flakes are falling! This is actual speed lol
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2 hours ago, Harsh Climate said:
Cheers that puts me a little more at ease. Sounds like you know ya stuff about your locality in certain weather scenarios, can't beat local knowledge!
Found this chart, it's from. This morning but it illustrates the point I was making, the accumulation totals really only drop off dramatically to the east of the A1, just west of Tadcaster, also note lower amounts through the Aire valley at Castleford to our south!
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Whilst tomorrow's Amber warning does look at first glance to be focused on the Pennine chain, ofr here in Yorkshire it actually covers everywhere west of the A1 / Vale of York which includes a lot of major population centres, notably Leeds, Sheffield, Bradford and Wakefield to name a few. Even the yellow warning mentioned 5-10cm for this areas before the Amber was issued. I would suggest the M62 through West Yorkshire will be even more horrific tomorrow evening than usual!
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Few heavier bursts coming ashore in the Hull area now, will be interesting to see if F they make it across to give us a dusting after sunset, prior to tomorrow's predicted whiteout! I work in Cleckheaton, well inside the Amber warning and our work are famous for not letting us go home early no matter how much snow there is. So may just stay home if the forecast doesn't change by morning!
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8 minutes ago, Harsh Climate said:
My only grape about charts like that is it shows a very sharp decline in snow away from Pennine areas.. I would hate for it to be snowing like mad in cookridge (where i tried to buy a house last summer) but be in a snow shaddow here in Kippax, that woul really suck lol.. Last bbc shoed it ramping up over most yorkshire thursday evening though!
I think we'll be fine if it turns out as they're expecting... The Amber warning splits Garforth in half, but past experience tells me that the rise/fall in elevation just east of the A1 is where any accumulation drop-off will occur. There certainly won't be any snow shadow in Kippax with an easterly, if anything its the opposite in an easterly, with our area marking the start of the rise in elevation between the Vale of York and the pennines. Everything to the east of the A1 is barely above sea level until you hit the Wolds.
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That's some big old totals they're forecasting for tomorrow, my main worry is that met office snow warnings are always wrong for here! Anyway, i'm bang on the Eastern border of the Amber, suspect anywhere west of the Vale of York (i.e. West of about Tadcaster) will do well if it goes down as expected. Incidentally, am I missing something, I went to bed last night expecting a clear sunny day today, but it's been snowing lightly for the past several hours! How can the forecast change so dramatically in the spade of 12 hours? That's the thing that's keeping me from getting too giddy about tomorrow's blizzard forecast!
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Absolutely nothing in East Leeds... This is heading for our first ever snowess winter at this rate! However I work in Cleckheaton so sounds like I might at least see some lying snow this morning?
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Well Cleckheaton actually the place to be for a change. Nothing at home but a whiteout for a while here. Settled on vegetation only though. Blue skies now!
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God grief the snow is miles away in Berwick on Tweed or something! Why in earth is the warning for so far south Once that band fizzles over Newcastle, its another bone dry cold spell of nothingness. This winter is not going well at all for us. Not sure what's happening in the southeast but they at least have something falling from the sky down there... again!
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Good grief the met Office text forecast for us is depressing. It just sounds like a shorter, breezier version of the December spell. Anyway, luckily all the snow round here seems to fall in March and April nowadays so not long to wait now
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Heading for York and rumbling away