Cat 5

This reminds me of Judith whats her name last night on Egg Heads. She said something like 'we are meant to pay some kind of levy' to help reduce CO2 emissions - the presenter then replied, if you stop using your private jet so much that would reduce CO2 emissions... stunned silence was the reply!

Tropical Cyclone Nicholas seems to be taking a similar route to last years most powerful Cyclone George (Cat 4). Georges path; http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:George_2007_track.png Nicholas projected path looks like it may come close to Port hedland again. Nicholas_Projection.doc

That sounded so sarcastic SP lol These massive sways in temp are very interesting (that sounds sarcastic as well!)

haha - stick that one in your pipe Red Raven Osbourne! Osbourne! Osbourne!

Thanks Kold Weather. You dont think there will be a Cat 5 this year then? Interestingly, the last five years have had seven Cat 5 hurricanes the five years previous only had the one!* *(That is not confirmed by the way, just from my notes I have got to hand!)

Thanks for your comments SS. I know what you mean about the predictions - as with most things the nearer the time you make the predictions the more accurate you could (should!) be... However, I am so sceptical about the forecasting in this area I would be willing to offer my predictions for the 2012 season now :lol:

Ivan certainly is keeping a rather strange track...! It is zig-zagging all over the place. Not sure if this image is working!

Just thought I would give this comp a bit more exposure by posting this in here. Go on take a look and post up your thoughts. Cat 5

There are many different modeling systems out there trying to predict how the 2008 hurricane season will fair. Lets see how we get on as individuals and once the deadline has passed, I will work out the average and see how we fair as a group. I will keep things simple and restrict the predictions to 5 categories. Date first named storm is formed: Last storm dissipated: Name of strongest hurricane:* Number of Hurricanes (Cat 1+): Number of major Hurricanes (Cat 3+): The earliest a storm has formed in the last 10 years is 20/04/03. Therefore, giving an extra 3 weeks, I will make the deadline for entries 23:59 on Monday 31st March 2008. * Here is a list of 2008 Hurricane names; 2008 Hurricane Names Arthur Bertha Cristobal Dolly Edouard Fay Gustav Hanna Ike Josephine Kyle Laura Marco Nana Omar Paloma Rene Sally Teddy Vicky Wilfred Can we please keep this thread clean of general chat and leave only for the predictions? There is a seperate thread running for general discussion, thoughts and opinions on this competition. Regards, Cat 5 Cat 5's predictions Date first named storm is formed: 14th May Last storm dissipated: 28th November Name of strongest hurricane: Gustav Number of Hurricanes (Cat 1+): 11 Number of major Hurricanes (Cat 3+): 4

Please post any thoughts / comments on the competition in here.

Hey - you were up in my neck of the woods. I live in a new housing development that overlooks the Wallace monument - it was really nice to wake up on our first morning up here with the castle, monument and Ochil hills as our scenery (as opposed to the Urban Jungle that is Essex where we moved from last year)!! Nice pictures!

Lets jkust leave it as follows! Dec/Jan/Feb = Winter Mar/Apr/May = Spring Jun/Jul/Aug = Summer Sep/Oct/Nov = Autumn

Aye, it looks like a nice summers day out the window up here. I will predict St Davids day, 1st March Heathrow airport.

I saw a thread earlier mentioning the fact that temperatures of 16C+ were expected today. Someone suggested that we could be close to an all time high temperature for todays date. Does anyone know if we broke the record max today anywhere?

Sattelite image of the Indian Ocean taken at 06:30 this morning. From left to right you can clearly see Ivan (TS), Hondo (Cat 4) and the new system 17S (TS).

SS - can you post a link to what you think is the best sat images of Hondo please? Cheers matey

Not sure what exposure this web site has but its the one I use for a quick look at whats going on around the world... http://tsr.mssl.ucl.ac.uk/

Yeah thanks SS... appreciate the updates. Seems like you were right about the favourable conditions - another system has developed in the Diego Garcia area and one just South of Christmas Island. What are your thoughts on Hondo intensifying to Cat5 status? Interestingly, the last Cat5 Cyclone was back in November 2004 when Bento followed a very similar path to Hondo. Both systems developed approx 400 - 500 nm East, SE of Diego Garcia.

Looks like a biggie, up to Intense Tropical Cyclone within 48 hours, thankfully there is no land in its path (on my map anyway!)...

wow - when I saw Gene go through Fiji I thought it would bottom out and cause no more problems. Instead it has intensified and is threating New Caledonia and Vanuatu. Both islands are close to my heart as we know Caledonia is Latin for Scotland and Vanuata used to be called the new Hebredies. Lets hope this Cyclone continues to veer Soutwards :unsure: Thanks for the continued update Somerset Squall & Cookie

I have not got a weather station, but from pure instinct I can hear/see the wind speed rising I would guess to gusts of 45mph here in Stirling. No precipitation.

Snow showers starting up again for Glasgow centre.

It does look a bit deceiving as if it is vertical, however as LH points out it is just the planes vortex Looks pretty cool though!

Not for me - one stands out by a mile! As for the weather related one that was a very tough choice between RJS and DW. Well done all though on a great bunch.

As expected the landfall has seen the downgrade to Tropical Storm. Damage seems to be minimal thankfully. But, as mentioned above, the threat of rainwater is severe. According to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm of Fame's strength (category 1) at landfall includes: Storm surge generally 1.2-1.5 metres (4-5 feet) above normal. No real damage to building structures. Damage primarily to unanchored mobile homes, shrubbery, and trees. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Some coastal road flooding and minor pier damage. There is also the potential for flooding further inland due to heavy rain.