Cat 5

Thats the one Mezza - thanks. Out of interest, Gordon was last years strongest hurricane with top winds of 105 Kts and made a Cat 3.

Nice one - thanks Snow Bear !

Just a thought. After looking at the past track of TS Jerry, would it be possible for a system to continue on through the colder waters up to British coast lines? I realise that it is highly unusual for these systems to head over to Europe but I recall that one last year made landfall in Portugal!? (or am I dreaming!) Cheers, Cat 5

I wonder how long it will take for the media to relate these squall's to global warming From the reports I have read these are very localised events - only damage to a handful of residencies. No doubt this will be sensationalised though, I wonder if we will have a centre page spread tomorrow in the current bun diagramming 'How tournadoes develop'. God help us when an Atlantic Hurricane ventures over and smacks us in the I have a problem!

Thanks paul - I cant believe I have not come across this site before. I've had a quick look through the different areas and I like what I see. Especially the Extreme weather section See ya around ! Cat5

Afternoon all, I work within the insurance industry and spend a lot of time analysing data, reporting loss figures and generally keep an eye on developments out in the gulf. I know that literally millions of pounds are spent every year in Catastrophe modelling systems in an attempt predict the likley activity for the season. What a load of #*%$ that is. Every year, you will get the full spectrum of highly active to very inactive and all inbetween. Of course one company will get the result correct and they will then win a few contracts for the following season. A typical example could be as follows 1/04/07 - Company A predict a higher than average liklihood for an active season 01/06/07 - 70% liklihood of an above average active season 01/08/07 - No Cat 5's - 50% Chance of active season 01/10/07 - Lets say 4 hurricans make landfall - Below average active season Grrrrr - The funniest thing is the excuses, aherm sorry I mean reasons, always goes back to the El Nino's and the sand in the sahara... I know we have to spend money in this field but I wish we could be more honest. We can not confidently predict this and we can not avoid them occuring. All we can do is prepare ourselves for them as they will hit New Orleans, Housten, Mobile, Miami, cancum etc it's just a question of when! Cat5