Cold Winter

Tomorrow: Northerly gusts reaching 50-60mph, possibly 70mph right on the coast but very breezy inland too. Feeling raw in the windchill. Tonight: Rain coming into the west now will spread east through the afternoon. Showery outbreaks and turning colder overnight with some hill snow, most likely rain/sleet to lower levels. Risk of ice anywhere that gets close to freezing. Tomorrow gusty along the coast with showers off the North Sea, possibly becoming wintry to lower levels as the day goes on though not certain. Drier inland.

Yellow warning for wind just issued for coastal areas tomorrow.

Don't take this literally but the ECM snow depth by Thursday evening looks good for most of our region. It highlights the wintry potential next week has to offer us but still lots could change. Slight adjustments north/south will make all the difference with the passing lows.

Yes it’ll be windy tomorrow, gales along the coast, and feeling raw if you’re out in it.

GFS & ECM will probably swap over come morning, just to test us that little bit further

Phenomenal 18z coming out. A relief after the ECM but still trying not to get too excited...... going to be a nervous model watch in the morning.

Snowing here now with big fat flakes

Anyone had rain/sleet turning to settling snow? Just started here and sleety mix so far. Hoping evaporate cooling kicks in though not particularly hopeful!

Rather ironically - since you posted this the lamp post outside our house has been changed to LED!!!!

Certainly some very interesting charts appearing now. Looks like the next few days (possibly weeks) are going to be spent checking the models with every spare moment. Hopefully some lamp post watching will be thrown in for good measure! Still all a long way away and details will change, but it's about trends, and at the moment they're heading in the right direction if you like cold.

Our Met Office didn’t name it as a storm. Either way, it’s causing significant disruption in places and I think the Met were spot on given a challenging forecasting situation. Conditions will never be exactly the same throughout a warning area.

Sounds like some serious conditions developing in areas over West Yorkshire in particular. Stay safe everyone! Air temp remains above freezing here so suspect we might just get some sleety rain, but will report back once it arrives.

Yes, Malton. Just been out for a walk - that windchill is something else!

2.0c here, dewpoint -3c. Expecting some very brief transient snow then mostly sleet before rain later.

Arpege is known to over-do winds a little but what concerns me is the difference from the previous run to this one coming out now, which suggests max gusts ~120km/h (=75mph) across a large swathe of inland England and Wales... and it’s happening in the middle of the day. Could be some disruption.

Gust of 86mph in the last hour at Capel Curig, Wales. Not unusual for there but think it's the strongest gust on land so far.

Very breezy out there this afternoon, blowing the potted plants about and all the leaves coming down are making it look very autumnal. Nice weather if you don't have to go out in it!

My hunch is that the Saturday/Sunday system will edge steadily southwards on the models, ending up affecting Northern France & the south coast - but that's only based on similar things which have happened before. Remains to be seen how strong it'll be - anything varying from very weak to very powerful looks on the cards at the moment, but again, I'd be surprised if the GFS isn't over-doing it somewhat.

Yes, looks like it on satellite. Hopefully a decent evening before then.

Had a belter of a shower half an hour or so ago, and now another setting in. Drifting during it, with poor visibility... think it was almost worthy of the ‘b’ word!!

Looks like I’m about to hit the dry spot ?

Radar looking good now. Somehow I still manage to be in line for the slightly lighter stuff, but glad I’m close enough to the coast to get some. Hoping it carries on this way (or better) through the night!

The beast needs to roar otherwise I think he’ll need to be put down at this rate. Had around 8cm this morning. Can see it physically melting away in places. If it stays sunny for most of the afternoon I doubt there’ll be much left!

What fell here earlier seems to be melting fairly rapidly. Not surprised given that the sun is a bit stronger by the end of February.... though I am surprised that given the severe depth of cold we apparently have, it’s happening as quick as it is.

Didn’t do well overnight, around 1-2cm at most. Then got a really beefy shower an hour or two ago, quickly followed by another, and now the grass is covered and there’s about 8cm on solid surfaces! Perfect start to the day. ?