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opplevelse

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  1. opplevelse
    Not quite sure what you are looking at to see the center of the eye hitting at 6:30UTC? On this radar loop (the official one) http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?r...11&loop=yes It looks like the center is unlikely to make landfall until at least 7:30UTC
  2. opplevelse
    Roger, yes, you are right. Technically landfall is when the center of the eye hits the shore ... so perhaps I should have said Ike has made "eyewall-fall" Although I think it will be more like 1.5-2hrs before the center of the eye makes landfall, judging by the radar.
  3. opplevelse
    Wind field shows a 55knts just at the eyewall
  4. opplevelse
    Good morning all! Eye has just hit the shore NOW Ike has a well defined eye on both the sat and radar loops, but it is still a bit ragged Looks like eye has tightened alot overnight Here is the radar image at landfall (about 8 minutes ago) EDIT- wouldnt save ... there you go!
  5. opplevelse
    Well little one decided she needed a feed so woke daddy up so I decided to play around with the most recent MODIS true colour shot of IKE from 17:05 UTC today This is my modded version to highlight cloud top features. Click on pic for much larger and sharper (although still only half resolution) version This is the original ... warning VERY VERY LARGE! http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/realtim...171000.250m.jpg
  6. opplevelse
    before I try and sneak off ... here is the latest 85GHz pass, it shows there is still a huge amount of very heavy convection on the south east quadrant, and that likely loops around to the North east as well (although the scan didnt cover that). To be honest, in this, only 4hrs ago, Ike looks better than it ever has
  7. opplevelse
    thank you... you should! ... media "meteorologists" ... Anyway ... eye has visually collapsed again on the Vis and IR images, but still looks semi stable on the radar. No recent amazing data from any of the buoys. I'm off to bed, if the little one decides I am allowed. THANK YOU!!!!!
  8. opplevelse
    Well it has yet to be "Officially" categorised as cat 3 ... but looking at the hurricane hunter data Kold and others posted, I would think they will declar it soon. It may or may not hit as cat 3 ... dunno, and it doesnt really matter to be honest. The winds are the secondary problem with this cane. kold weather ... SNAP!
  9. opplevelse
    What on earth makes you say that? It is the most ragged sad excuse for an open eye I have seen on a cyclone! It is far from "fully developed" !
  10. opplevelse
    a massive central eye has also cleared on sat also note how much ike has shrunk in size over the last 3 or 4 hours ... quite incredible, it has just shrivled up edit- fix spelling mistake ... hard to type with one arm holding a 3 week old, and one on the keyboard! LOL
  11. opplevelse
    eye clearly visible on radar now
  12. opplevelse
    HogHedge, that pic along with a pile of others was posted yesterday in the other thread ... very cool :lol: Eye has definitely passed 42361 now and wind speed is re increasing. Pressure sensor seems to be stuckon 967.8 ... I wonder whether that is its bottom out reading? Wind Direction (WDIR): SE ( 140 deg true ) Wind Speed (WSPD): 30.0 m/s Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 967.8 mb Air Temperature (ATMP): 28.0 °C Dew Point (DEWP): 26.0 °C Heat Index (HEAT): 33.6 °C
  13. opplevelse
    Very true, I remember hearing that and thinking :lol: you idiot. Oh well the stayers will be nominating themselves for Darwin awards. I notice 42361 finally updated! thanks for posting! It could very well be the eye, but I doubt it. I THINK 42361 is a little North of the eye, so the change of wind direction but constant pressure is not that surprising.
  14. opplevelse
    Yep. I just hope this fledgling eye collapses for Houstons sake. FYI this is the first time since leaving cuba that Ike has had a descernible eye. Buoy 42047 updated (13:30GMT) 40knt winds with 50knt gusts at 40deg, pressure 989hPa and falling
  15. opplevelse
    Im not sure, but you are right I did not notice that, it may only report once every 2 hours or so. I will try and find a more frequent one. The oil tanker thing is not good, the same thing happened in a BIG way off Newcastle in Australia earlier this year ... and that was not pretty and that was a small storm
  16. opplevelse
    A very large and very ragged open eye has formed http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/on...relative_0.html This could be the precursor to further rapid intesification / tightening, and is not good news for coastal areas. ...
  17. opplevelse
    Welll station 42316 has either blown away, or lost power with no change in any reported figures over the last hour ... which I doubt it coincidence :lol: Next in the firing line is 42047 http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42047
  18. opplevelse
    What appears to be a very ragged and very large eye (or at least a depression in the CDO) is appearing on the RAMSDIS Visible loop ... if an eye does descend, expect rapid intensification and tightening.
  19. opplevelse
    Winds at 42361 sustained at 81.6knots (122m AMSL) at last update 13:15 UTC No change in direction nor pressure (Surprisingly!) Wind Direction (WDIR): NE ( 50 deg true ) Wind Speed (WSPD): 42.0 m/s Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 967.8 mb Air Temperature (ATMP): 26.0 °C Dew Point (DEWP): 25.0 °C Heat Index (HEAT): 28.2 °C
  20. opplevelse
    I take it reading is not one of your strong points? :lol: :lol: Highest recorded gust so far has been 108.8knots at 122m AMSL, but this probably translates to about 95-100knots at ground level. Ike has been upgraded to cat 3 which means at least 100knot sustained winds. Read the last coupole of pages of this thread for more info. Wind is not the issue, water and the storm surge will be the killer. and I am not sure what you mean by "worse" than katrina ... worse in what way?
  21. opplevelse
    A lovely image from a little over 15minutes ago that puts Ike's size in perspective. Ike really does take up the whole GoM øæ
  22. opplevelse
    And RAMSDIS images back for the day too http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/on...relative_0.html Wind speed now down 85knots but direction is still the same so "eye" has not yet passed station 42361 Wind Direction (WDIR): NE ( 50 deg true ) Wind Speed (WSPD): 45.0 m/s Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 966.8 mb Air Temperature (ATMP): 26.0 °C Dew Point (DEWP): 25.0 °C Heat Index (HEAT): 28.2 °C
  23. opplevelse
    One of the first VISIBLE sat images for the day ... seems to show a slight depression either at or slightly NW of the center of rotation
  24. opplevelse
    Watched that for a little bit, saw simple factual errors on each station ... :lol: oh well America is full of Americans I guess. Latest update from 42361 still at 99Knots pressure dropped a little further but wind direction has not changed yet Wind Direction (WDIR):NE ( 40 deg true ) Wind Speed (WSPD):51.0 m/s Atmospheric Pressure (PRES):967.8 mbAir Temperature (ATMP):26.0 °CDew Point (DEWP):24.0 °CHeat Index (HEAT):28.0 °C Combined plot of Wind Speed, Gust, and Air Pressure
  25. opplevelse
    Looks like you can just see the eye on this radar loop http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at20...=radar&MR=1
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