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rbw

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Posts posted by rbw

  1. Last year really opened my eyes to the importance of the stratospheric profile on the synoptic developments during winter. I think the evidence is there for all to see personally.....

    Also, one post stating it's only 12th October.....well the foundations for the coming winter are starting to be laid NOW. It reminds me of how last season started....Oh it's only November.....December.....January.....tick tock tick tock.

    P.s I'll be extra naffed off if I get no snow here this winter, especially after a stormless summer. It's like a constant cycle of moderate rain, sun, cloud here and has been for 18 months!

    Couldn't agree more - the foundations of our winter are probably already built - sudden major pattern changes do happen but often they remain for months. As far as I am concerned we had the same very general pattern from Jan 2011 right through to April 2012

  2. Im just ready for Spring and summer now. Weve at least seen some snow and very cold nights. Its been a decent cold spell particularly with the 4th Feb snow and the night before reaching -10c. :)

    No, I want more than that ! Trouble is spring seems to have arrived now +8C and sun coming through !

    was thinking that myself, come along Spring! the models look awful for the remainder of Feb, like a flashback to autumn, now models should be showing settled sunny dry weather

    of course want more snow, but none of this wind and rain crap

    Wind and rain can be quite fun!! We probably still need the rain as well

  3. Nothing indicates there would be something better replacing the high though, if the Atlantic pushes through, it's SWlies all the way and with them there is zero chance of anything seasonnal (unlike the chance of some inversion cold with the high in situ).

    Any form of precipitation would be welcome to over come this severe lack of rainfall but we been stuck in a general pattern since last January and unfortunatly with the Atlantic seemingly weak I am not sure whether it will really break through

  4. It was Jan 82 rather than Dec 81 that was the most amazing here. Yes, it was cold with about 4 ins of snow in December but it turned mild before Christmas. Snow returned with avengence in early Jan 82 with 12 ins of it in my garden here and a temp of -16C. The most snow and lowest temp I have ever recorded

  5. I guess it depends where in the country you are to consider it a remarkable winter. To me the only thing that was remarkable was the absense of really mild weather. To call it severe, I would expect a fall of snow of more than 10 inches that stayed around with very little thaw for at least two weeks. That was the sort of thing we saw in 1962/3 and nearly in 1981/2 which have been the only two (what I would call) severe winters I have experienced.

    Richard

  6. This may well have been a severe winter with excessive snowfall here in the south. And yet the SE didn't grind to a hault, didn't suffer very much and everything went (comparible to what everyone was saying prior to December) on like it would have done in the 60s.

    I've always protested about the hypothesis that the SE can't cope with a severe winter in modern times. This and Jan/Feb 2009 proves it can by a long shot. And conditions this month aren't too dissimilar if not worse to 1963.

    Was this a severe cold spell or not? I remember many years from the 70s when when we regularly had 5 inches of snow as we did this year. We have had 10 days of snow cover which is longer than I'm used to but 7 days isn't that rare (even since 2000). Temps of -9C happen every three or four years whereas this year we had a -12C but that coincided with snow cover. To me in my back yard I would use the term moderately severe. What do others think?

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