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rbw

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Posts posted by rbw

    General Model Output Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    The way im reading the situation is this.

    Its going to get colder,probably very cold.

    This cold spell looks the best since 1996,some really low minma look likely if the flow becomes slack as we head through next week.I wouldn't be at all suprised to hear of reports of freezing ponds/canal's.

    Now,snow,and its important we dont get obsessed with it and let it ruin the discussions.

    Some will get,some won't,thats the way of life.Nobody really knows whats going to happen in the next 24 to 48 hours so let things take care of themselves after that.

    I dont have a problem with posters referring to their regions when discussing the models,but lets bare in mind we have regional sub forums for specific regions,lets concentrate to some degree on the global or european synoptics as much as posible in here,that way people dont get peeved off with posts about other maybe more snowy regions.

    Just a thought.

    smile.gif

    I largely agree - I think the special thing about the forthcoming cold spell is that it is going to be prolonged. I am sure we will see freezing canals as the winds and clouds drop away and we need to watch for the possibility of snow developing. Apart from the possible long duration of the cold spell, I however see nothing particularly unusual. Lows of -9C are not that rare when we get these conditions but I don't think we will see a repeat of 1981 when we had ice floes on some of the major rivers, despite looking like that might happen a few days ago.

    A question - does the GFS always try to turn anything into a south westerly flow eventually? I wonder if it is biased to do ?

    R

    South West England Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Why do weather people talk in termonology that the average guy can not understand unless he is interested in wether ology or what ever it is called dont stand a chance of understanding . pls is it going to snow over the next week ?

    Possible chance of a spell of snow early next week - but far too early to tell. Also possible risk of some snow showers

    R

    General Model Output Discussion:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    06z - major snow event (away from the South Coast) followed by a prolonged freeze retaining snow cover.

    Other ensembles = colder as the LP does not get as far north, less snowy as the LP does not get as far north.

    Be careful what you wish for.

    I am not sure I can see a major snow event - when are you referring to , please?. I see showers in the east and a marginal event in the west

    R

    Temperature Measurement

    in Weather stations and equipment

    Posted

    Where should I put my thermometer to get the "official" temperature? - currently it is in the shade attached to a wooden fence, however if I place it on my car which is parked on the drive, I get a reading that is about 2C less. Any advice about what can be regarded as the real minimum temperature? I guess thermometers shout be in those white boxes but surely those will retain heat like my fence?

    Regards

    Richard

    South West England Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    we can only hope rich drinks.gif

    snow due Tuesday early morning??

    latest Rob Macellwe(spelling) as the snow more widespread

    courtesy of WM Thread

    If Im correct this front will then move South before slipping away..OR STALL mellow.gif

    Must admit, I still think it will be hill snow only round us i'm afraid, unless the low shifts a little to the south. Lets hope I'm wrong!

    R

    Model Output Discussion - 26Th Dec 21:25-->

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    Someone posted a comment on why the Met Office are suggesting snow from the M4 Northwards but it has disappeared. This is a very interesting point but could as far I can see just be hinted out by this run. The area north of the M4 will be subject to the easterly in the 18zn but it will be air from the near continent which I wouldn't have thought would now be cold enough any longer.

    R

    General Model Output Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Lack of air traffic does not exist, when you have your trans-Atlantic and also your other air traffic!

    At 5-6 days out, your already looking for excuses when 1 run go's tit's up for your location.

    No wonder this thread at peak becomes trash.

    The current 12z is fantastic for everyone.

    Take one run at a time,

    Simple

    Lewis

    Lewis

    You say the current 12z is fantastic for everyone - could you explain what you mean , please

    Thanks

    Richard

    General Model Output Discussion Thursday December 24Th:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I must I am not to optimistic about the setup for 29/12 as winds are going to be drawn from the near continent rather than well to the east. I suspect the coldest areas will be too dry and the wettest areas will be very marginal. May be I have just been here too many times before, however I said the same in Jan 82 and we had more snow than I have seen at anytime in my backyard and followed by very low temps

    General Model Output Discussion Tuesday December 22Nd:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I posted this in this forum a while ago and it got moved to the "will it snow thread" but that is not what I am asking. I am trying to understand why the forecasts don't seem to be showing what people are suggesting here

    Widespread snow is being talked about if next weeks models come off but the Netweather Forecasts show +3C and sleet for me at least. Are the forecast not keeping up or are the indications that this is an event that will be for the north of the country only?

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