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rbw

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Everything posted by rbw

  1. I largely agree - I think the special thing about the forthcoming cold spell is that it is going to be prolonged. I am sure we will see freezing canals as the winds and clouds drop away and we need to watch for the possibility of snow developing. Apart from the possible long duration of the cold spell, I however see nothing particularly unusual. Lows of -9C are not that rare when we get these conditions but I don't think we will see a repeat of 1981 when we had ice floes on some of the major rivers, despite looking like that might happen a few days ago. A question - does the GFS always try to turn anything into a south westerly flow eventually? I wonder if it is biased to do ? R
  2. Possible chance of a spell of snow early next week - but far too early to tell. Also possible risk of some snow showers R
  3. I am not sure I can see a major snow event - when are you referring to , please?. I see showers in the east and a marginal event in the west R
  4. +1.8C now in Churchdown and slowly falling - at what temperature is this stuff supposed to turn to snow?? R
  5. Temp now rising again here in Churchdown and turning back to rain +1.9C . Looks as if the rain belt may be coming to an end as well R
  6. Temperature not dropping now in Churchdown. It fell from 3.3 to 2.8 as the rain came in but it has now stabilised at 2.7 R
  7. -1.2C here in Churchdown just north of Gloucester. Still not confident we will see much snow in lowland Gloucestershire tomorrow. Definately loads on the hills R
  8. Where should I put my thermometer to get the "official" temperature? - currently it is in the shade attached to a wooden fence, however if I place it on my car which is parked on the drive, I get a reading that is about 2C less. Any advice about what can be regarded as the real minimum temperature? I guess thermometers shout be in those white boxes but surely those will retain heat like my fence? Regards Richard
  9. Must admit, I still think it will be hill snow only round us i'm afraid, unless the low shifts a little to the south. Lets hope I'm wrong! R
  10. Still doesn't look good for me in Gloucester on Tuesday according to the BBC site - white all round and a finger blue running up to Gloucester - bit like what happened last Wednesday! Thursday night looks better but does the back edge turn to rain? Richard
  11. Someone posted a comment on why the Met Office are suggesting snow from the M4 Northwards but it has disappeared. This is a very interesting point but could as far I can see just be hinted out by this run. The area north of the M4 will be subject to the easterly in the 18zn but it will be air from the near continent which I wouldn't have thought would now be cold enough any longer. R
  12. What I'm looking for are Channel Lows R
  13. Starts to look more interesting by 31st but that's too far away and I worry that there might be warm sectors in there R
  14. Yes, definately not looking good for England and Wales, but I must admit I would rather that than miss the snow by 3 miles as I did over the last week ! R
  15. Can someone explain to a novice like me as to what the "GFS Control" is, please as opposed to the normal GFS Thanks Richard
  16. Lewis You say the current 12z is fantastic for everyone - could you explain what you mean , please Thanks Richard
  17. Is it that scatter that is still causing the Netweather Forecast to say only a 30% ish chance of snow? It concerns me that this forecast continues to be so pesimistic? Happy Christmas everyone R
  18. I must I am not to optimistic about the setup for 29/12 as winds are going to be drawn from the near continent rather than well to the east. I suspect the coldest areas will be too dry and the wettest areas will be very marginal. May be I have just been here too many times before, however I said the same in Jan 82 and we had more snow than I have seen at anytime in my backyard and followed by very low temps
  19. May be I am misunderstanding something but the temperatures predicted by GFS don't look that excitingly low - certainly mild in the first part of next week in the south and then just below freezing. R
  20. I posted this in this forum a while ago and it got moved to the "will it snow thread" but that is not what I am asking. I am trying to understand why the forecasts don't seem to be showing what people are suggesting here Widespread snow is being talked about if next weeks models come off but the Netweather Forecasts show +3C and sleet for me at least. Are the forecast not keeping up or are the indications that this is an event that will be for the north of the country only?
  21. Widespread snow is being talked about if next weeks models come off but the Netweather Forecasts show +3C and sleet for me at least. Are the forecast not keeping up or are the indications that this is an event that will be for the north of the country only?
  22. Not sure if I am still a member of this club or not. Had about 1mm overnight here in Gloucester but all gone now R
  23. Still nothing but the tiniest dusting here in Gloucester - and prospects not good. sob! sob! Did go to some snow today though - all of three miles away! R
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